Fruticulture is a prominent component of Brazilian agriculture. Studies have shown that climatic variability and its impact on the physiological development of plant species are fundamental for planning the agricultural calendar, resource conservation, and sustainable management of production. In this context, one of the first criterion for planting a crop is agroclimatic zoning, since it provides information on climate-related risks and aids decision-making and agricultural planning. The objective of this study was to carry out climatic risk zoning for avocado (Persea americana Mill.) in the basin of Paraná River III, Paraná State, Brazil. Meteorological data from 43 stations, from 1976 to 2018, were used. The climatic risk analysis was based on the requirements of the avocado for precipitation, water balance, average annual temperature, and frost tolerance. Statistical and geoprocessing techniques ensured full regional coverage of data and contributed to decision-making. The results identified favorable climatic conditions for all climatic variables in the western part of the river basin. Despite water deficits in some months, rainfall and water balance were not restrictive for avocado production in the region. Avocado tree cultivation is not recommended in the eastern part of the basin, where there is a considerable risk of frost.
O clima do planeta está mudando em frequência e magnitude de seus eventos atmosféricos. As atividades agrícolas são altamente dependentes do clima. Mesmo com avanços da tecnologia e da pesquisa, a variabilidade da produção no estado do Paraná é afetada pelas variáveis climáticas, sendo a precipitação o elemento mais importante para as regiões de clima tropical e subtropical. Para o planejamento agrícola e para as demais atividades humanas, conhecer o clima é importante para minimizar os riscos das atividades e garantir resultados satisfatórios. A Mesorregião Noroeste Paranaense é a área mais quente e seca do Estado do Paraná carecendo de estudos que contribuam para a tomada de decisão na região. Sendo assim, o objetivo deste trabalho foi analisar a variabilidade pluviométrica, a intensidade e a frequência da precipitação na MRNOP. Para isso utilizou-se as escalas temporais anual, mensal e diária com o recorte temporal de 1976 a 2018. Por meio dos resultados, identificou-se grande discrepância nas alturas pluviométricas anuais, mensais e diárias, com parte expressiva dos eventos extremos e maiores alturas de precipitação ocorrendo em períodos de El Niño e neutralidade, enquanto os períodos secos predominam em condições de La Niña. Rainfall Frequency And Intensity And Relation With El Niño-Southern Oscilation In The Northwest Mesoregion Of Parana State, BrazilA B S T R A C TThe planet's climate is changing in frequency and magnitude of its atmospheric events. Agricultural activities are highly climate dependent. Even with advances in technology and research, agricultural production is affected by climatic variables. For agricultural planning and for other human activities, knowing the climate is important to minimize the risks of activities and ensure satisfactory results. The northwest Paraná mesoregion is the warmest and driest area in the State of Paraná and lacks studies that contribute to decision making in the region. Therefore, the objective of this work was to analyze rainfall variability, intensity and frequency of precipitation in MRNOP, as well as assessing the association between rainfall totals and extremes with the occurrence of the El Niño-Southern Oscilation – ENSO. variability mode. The annual, monthly and daily time scales were used from 1976 to 2018. Thematic maps were developed with interpolation and regressions and graphs of box graphics for an analysis of the variability. A large discrepancy was identified at annual, monthly and daily rainfall heights, with significant part of extreme events and higher precipitation heights occurring in El Niño periods and neutrality, while dry periods predominate under La Niña conditions.Keywords: climate risk, extreme events; sea surface temperature.
For the agriculture context, the water balance and precipitation analysis are essential for planning and decision-making. The objective of this work was to carry out the analyse of pluviometric variability, climatological water balance (CLIMWB) and the occurrence of dry spells in the Basin of Paraná River III, Paraná State, Brazil. For this purpose, 43 meteorological data from 43 stations, from 1976 to 2018, were used. Geoprocessing techniques were applied to regionalize rain data, in addition to box plots and probabilities to analyze precipitation and the occurrence of dry spells. A signficant precipitation variability was identified with regional and temporal discrepancies. Despite the Basin of Paraná River III is a rainy region in the Paraná State, the occurrence of dry spells was identified. Periods of 20 to 30 days with no precipitation event in the region they were also frequent, due the annual occurrence risks ranging from 80 to 50 %, respectively. The risk of 40 consecutive days without rain has already proved to be nil. The water balance exhibited sufficient values for agricultural practice with water surplus along the Basin. However, when analyzing dry years, a water deficit of more than 100 mm in a single month can occur.
Episódios de seca estão se tornando cada vez mais frequentes no cenário de mudanças climáticas. Desta forma o objetivo deste trabalho foi analisar a variabilidade pluviométrica e a ocorrência de veranicos no Estado do Paraná, com enfoque para o mês de abril, em que foi realizado um estudo de caso para o ano de 2021. Para isso, foram analisadas as alturas pluviométricas, criou-se gráficos de box plot e probabilidades para identificar o comportamento pluviométrico regional, além da análise gráfica e de imagens de satélite das chuvas de abril de 2021. Pelo estudo de caso, identificou-se que abril de 2021 foi o mais seco da série histórica. E isso ocorreu, devido a atuações de bloqueios atmosféricos e massas de ar seco, que por mais que sejam comuns essa época do ano no estado, apresentaram maior intensidade nesse ano, causando impacto no balanço hídrico, que já vinha sendo negativo no decorrer do último ano. Os impactos foram mais sentidos em Londrina e Cascavel, áreas com concentração de atividades agrícolas, que podem registrar perdas de produtividade com a seca neste mês. Uma tendência de redução das chuvas neste mês pode estar ocorrendo, visto que ao analisar a série por décadas, a última (2011-2020) já havia sido a mais seca da história com exceção de Curitiba.
Extreme precipitation events cause severe damage in both urban and rural areas. The purpose of this work was to analyze rainfall variability and detect the extremes of precipitation and droughts occurrences and relate them to ENSO phenomena in the Central North Mesoregion of Paraná (MRNCP). We used data from 44 weather stations distributed in the area of the study, from 1976 to 2018. Based on the results, it was identified the precipitation has regional discrepancies, concentrating the highest rainfall in the southern portion. The highest annual precipitation was highly correlated with the periods identified as El Niño, and then in neutrality. There were large occurrences of drought by decent, with emphasis on the winter months, especially in August. High rainfall heights recorded within 24 hours in all regions analyzed, especially in the summer and spring months.
The cultivation of apple tree is highly dependent on meteorological variables, especially temperature. The link between accumulation of degree-days (DD) and accumulation of chilling hours (CH) are determinant to field success, in the context of climate change. The objective of this study was to quantify the accumulation of DD necessary during the reproductive phenological stages for cultivar IAPAR 75 Eva, considering the accumulation of CH during the period of dormancy. The study was carried out at the Experimental Station from the Rural Development Institute of Paraná IAPAR-EMATER, in the municipality of Palmas, Paraná State, Brazil. The evaluations were from 2013 to 2019, showing for each three days, the phenological phases and the value of DD and CH. The results were submitted the simple and multiple correlation by the R® software. We verified the influence of the increase in temperature on the cycle acceleration, in addition, it was verified a tendency of less requirement for DD to advance the cultivar cycle. Were verified the value of chilling hours as 281, 156, 84, 326, 96, 76 and 11 hours of chill, respectively, and the consequent accumulation of DD to breaking dormancy was appointed as 1093, 1156, 1574, 1157, 1834, 1096 and 1838 DD, respectively. We concluded that CH causes impact in DD accumulation to development of apple tree. Higher temperatures accelerate the apple tree development. With the information of CH accumulation in dormancy, it is possible estimate the quantity of DD to develop the phenological phases. This information contributes to agricultural planning for cultivar Eva farmers
Episódios de seca estão se tornando cada vez mais comuns atualmente no cenário de mudanças climáticas. Desta forma, o objetivo desta pesquisa foi analisar a variabilidade de precipitação e a probabilidade de ocorrência de veranico na Mesorregião Centro Ocidental Paranaense. Como objetivo secundário, analisou-se a ocorrência de um veranico extremo no mês de setembro de 2020. Para isso, foram criados mapas com interpolações para regionalizar as alturas pluviométricas. Criou-se gráficos de box plot e probabilidades para identificar o comportamento pluviométrico regional, além da análise gráfica e sinótica das chuvas de setembro de 2020. A precipitação anual na Mesorregião apresentou distribuição considerável anual e mensal, com valores médios que mostram extrato do balanço hídrico todo positivo. Porém, a região possui grande variabilidade e amplitude de mais de 500mm entre os meses mais chuvosos e mais secos. Na ocorrência de períodos secos, também se identificou valores alarmantes, com agosto apresentando até 60% de probabilidade de veranicos. Reflexo dessa grande variabilidade ocorreu em 2020, cuja série de dados maior que 40 anos, apresentou o mês de setembro mais seco da história.
Mango cultivation is one of the key economic agricultural activities of fruit in Brazil. In Southern Brazil, mango presents vulnerability thanks to its frost sensitivity, indicating the relevance of climate studies to improve the production and agricultural techniques, in the context of sustainable agriculture and climate change. Agroclimatic zoning should be one of the first information to be considered when starting its cultivation. The objective of this study is to carry out climatic risk zoning for mango tree (Mangifera indica) in the basin of Paraná River III, Brazil. Meteorological data from 43 stations, from 1976 to 2018, were used. The climatic risk analysis was based on the requirements of the mango for precipitation, water balance, average annual temperature, and frost tolerance. The occurrence of frosts is the key restrict factor for production in the area of study. This meteorological factor restricted mango cultivation in the central-eastern portion of the basin. In other areas, the risk is present but the mango cultivation is recommended.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.
hi@scite.ai
10624 S. Eastern Ave., Ste. A-614
Henderson, NV 89052, USA
Copyright © 2024 scite LLC. All rights reserved.
Made with 💙 for researchers
Part of the Research Solutions Family.