Using clinical predictors, we evaluated clinical case definitions of influenza during the 1995-1996 outbreak in France. Thirty-five general practitioners collected virological specimens and clinical data. Predictors of influenza virus infection were selected with logistic regression models. The results varied with the influenza virus subtype: temperature of >38.2 degrees C, stiffness or myalgia, rhinorrhea, and cough were predictive of influenza A/H3N2, whereas fatigue, lacrimation or conjunctival injection, and the absence of stiffness or myalgia were predictive of influenza A/H1N1. On the basis of this analysis and data from the literature, 12 clinical case definitions were evaluated for their abilities to diagnose influenza virus infection. They were associated with positive predictive values of 27% to 40% and negative predictive values of 80% to 91%. We conclude that focused studies evaluating clinical case definitions of influenza with use of subsets of patients should accompany population-based disease surveillance for optimal estimates of the disease burden associated with influenza epidemics.

A high frequency of men had detectable HIV in semen. We identified a subpopulation demonstrating high levels of HIV RNA in seminal plasma, comparable to or higher than those in blood plasma, frequently associated with a substantial viral shedding in seminal cells, raising the possibility of viral production within the genital tract and suggesting heterogeneity in the potential of HIV sexual transmission among infected men.

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Selected spermatozoa may be positive for HIV RNA detection even in treated patients. Viral validation of processed semen is necessary in ART programmes for serodifferent couples, particularly in men with only partially or poorly controlled HIV infection.

The predictive value of two methods for measuring HIV RNA concentration in plasma was assessed in relation to CD4 lymphocyte counts during the asymptomatic period of infection. The design was a retrospective longitudinal case-control study for a mean period of 60 months involving 20 asymptomatic patients included in the French National prospective survey. The CD4 counts in these patients during the last 36 months of the study were stable (non-progressors) or declined (progressors). Plasma RNA concentrations were determined in each subject annually using the AMPLICOR and NASBA techniques. Only AMPLICOR gave RNA titers above the cut-off value for all the patients. The techniques agreed satisfactorily, although there was a difference, median 0.4 log10, between the AMPLICOR and NASBA values. The non-progressors had low and stable RNA concentrations. The concentration was higher in the progressors, according to the AMPLICOR technique, from their inclusion in the study, and according to the NASBA technique, from 1 year after inclusion. However, only four of ten individual progressors had stable plasma HIV RNA concentrations significantly above those of the non-progressors before the decline in their CD4 counts. These were all and only the patients with a decline in lymphocyte counts more than 100 CD4/mm3/year. In each of the other progressors, the RNA concentration was not significantly different from those of the non-progressors. Thus, when making decisions about therapy, plasma HIV RNA determinations cannot be used in place of CD4 counts and may provide valuable additional information.

The predictive value of two methods for measuring HIV RNA concentration in plasma was assessed in relation to CD4 lymphocyte counts during the asymptomatic period of infection. The design was a retrospective longitudinal case-control study for a mean period of 60 months involving 20 asymptomatic patients included in the French National prospective survey. The CD4 counts in these patients during the last 36 months of the study were stable (non-progressors) or declined (progressors). Plasma RNA concentrations were determined in each subject annually using the AMPLICOR and NASBA techniques. Only AMPLICOR gave RNA titers above the cut-off value for all the patients. The techniques agreed satisfactorily, although there was a difference, median 0.4 log10, between the AMPLICOR and NASBA values. The non-progressors had low and stable RNA concentrations. The concentration was higher in the progressors, according to the AMPLICOR technique, from their inclusion in the study, and according to the NASBA technique, from 1 year after inclusion. However, only four of ten individual progressors had stable plasma HIV RNA concentrations significantly above those of the non-progressors before the decline in their CD4 counts. These were all and only the patients with a decline in lymphocyte counts more than 100 CD4/mm3/year. In each of the other progressors, the RNA concentration was not significantly different from those of the non-progressors. Thus, when making decisions about therapy, plasma HIV RNA determinations cannot be used in place of CD4 counts and may provide valuable additional information.