2012
DOI: 10.17323/1995-459x.2012.2.6.16
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Applying Technology Roadmapping to Exploratory Forecasting

Abstract: стратегии дорожные карты -распространен ный инструмент разработки долгосрочных стратегий, определяющий опти маль -ные пути достижения цели. Применя-ется он и в поиско вых исследованиях, не имеющих заданных ориентиров и оценивающих потенциальные направ-ления развития изучаемой области. В статье демонстрируются возмож-но сти поисковых дорожных карт на примере анализа связей между клю-чевыми параметрами долгосрочно го развития соци ально-экономиче ской, науч но-технологической и инноваци-онной сфер.1 Работа выпол… Show more

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Cited by 5 publications
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“…Such regulation based on deviations and the results of only operational control reduces the circle of supporters of long-term scenario planning. Under the conditions of environmental uncertainty and crises, foresight methods are needed to predict the sustainable high-tech development of objects [54][55][56][57][58][59][60][61]. It is necessary to take into account risky complex alternatives aimed at radical changes in the complex of technologies.…”
Section: Aspect 4: Aspect-based Theoretical and Methodological Approa...mentioning
confidence: 99%
See 2 more Smart Citations
“…Such regulation based on deviations and the results of only operational control reduces the circle of supporters of long-term scenario planning. Under the conditions of environmental uncertainty and crises, foresight methods are needed to predict the sustainable high-tech development of objects [54][55][56][57][58][59][60][61]. It is necessary to take into account risky complex alternatives aimed at radical changes in the complex of technologies.…”
Section: Aspect 4: Aspect-based Theoretical and Methodological Approa...mentioning
confidence: 99%
“…It is necessary to take into account risky complex alternatives aimed at radical changes in the complex of technologies. Therefore, the use of "technology mapping" methods as visual means of presenting development trends and normative forecasts is spreading [57]. The necessity of continuous correction of the existing mechanisms of strategic planning in terms of indicators of monitoring weak signals is substantiated [58].…”
Section: Aspect 4: Aspect-based Theoretical and Methodological Approa...mentioning
confidence: 99%
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“…В большинстве научных публикаций под дорожной картой понимается пошаговый сценарий развития определенного объекта (технологии, бизнеса, компании, отрасли и т.д.) [15][16][17][18]. По определению Агентства стратегических инициатив, дорожная карта -это план связанных действий по изменению среды и движение по этому плану 2 .…”
Section: Introductionunclassified