A quantitative model of Russia's information and communication technologies (ICT) ecosystem has been proposed that describes the main relationships between its participants, as well as the impact of environmental factors on the functioning of the ICT ecosystem. Based on the model, we have assessed the longterm (until 2030) potential for the development of Russia's ICT sector in the case of the state's active and stimulating strategy and the formation of an advanced system of institutions. We have also evaluated the contribution of the ICT sector to the macroeconomic dynamics while implementing the target scenario.
The issues to be discussed at the panel included: can past experience of economy recovery following crises of 1998 and 2008 be helpful at present; what sectors were driving growth of the Russian economy in the last decade, and are they able to perform this role in the future; what growth rate is feasible in 2021; what amendments to the national projects aimed at boosting growth are likely. In addition to that the panel participants specified key factors affecting productivity and output trends in Russia, suggested ways to support economy in the course of “coronacrisis”, and pointed out to economic policy measures that could accelerate economic growth.
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The article considers the contribution of the ICT sector to the medium- and long-term development of the Russian economy. The target scenario of Russian economic development and the conditions necessary for its implementation are analyzed. The necessity of completing the ICT Ecosystem to full cycle is substantiated. The strategies of fostering “national champions” are analyzed, and a target strategy is defined.
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