A quantitative model of Russia's information and communication technologies (ICT) ecosystem has been proposed that describes the main relationships between its participants, as well as the impact of environmental factors on the functioning of the ICT ecosystem. Based on the model, we have assessed the longterm (until 2030) potential for the development of Russia's ICT sector in the case of the state's active and stimulating strategy and the formation of an advanced system of institutions. We have also evaluated the contribution of the ICT sector to the macroeconomic dynamics while implementing the target scenario.
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The article considers the contribution of the ICT sector to the medium- and long-term development of the Russian economy. The target scenario of Russian economic development and the conditions necessary for its implementation are analyzed. The necessity of completing the ICT Ecosystem to full cycle is substantiated. The strategies of fostering “national champions” are analyzed, and a target strategy is defined.
Статья посвящена оценке вклада сектора ИКТ в средне- и долгосрочное развитие российской экономики. Анализируются целевой вариант развития российской экономики и необходимые условия его реализации. Обосновывается необходимость достраивания Экосистемы ИКТ до Экосистемы полного цикла. Анализируются стратегии выращивания компаний-«национальных чемпионов», определяется целевая стратегия.
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