Introduction. Information-technical and information-psychological influences are the main negative factors affecting the information security according to the Information Security Doctrine of the Russian Federation. Therefore, modeling, evaluating and forecasting information influences on social groups and organizing adequate information counteraction are urgent tasks of management. Materials and Methods. The system-dynamic models of information influences in social networks and groups are considered. Their application for purposes of counteraction to information terrorism and extremism is proved. The description in the form of flowcharts is given. Systems of differential equations are presented. Experiments with models using the advanced simulation platform Anylogic have been carried out. Results. In a sample of Russian settlements based on the cluster analysis there have been found homogeneous typological groups that differ in the average time of disseminating information in social networks. Based on Gibbs’s Postulate, the system-dynamic model of information influences on students has been successfully tested. Discussion and Conclusion. The high consistency of simulation results with empirical data (determination coefficients of at least 90 %) is shown. Models allow forecasting the information influence and information counteraction and playing different scenarios for the dynamics of these processes.
Problem statement. The rationale for confidentiality requirements in the process of manufacturing and production testing of aviation equipment samples. There is a need to assess the effectiveness of measures to prevent information leakage through the channels of incidental electromagnetic radiation and interference and vibroacoustic channels. This situation is characteristic both for the technological equipment of the aviation industry enterprises and the equipment of the produced aircraft models.Objective. The rationale for developing the existing concept of assessing the relevance of the threats of information leakage through technical channels in the current trends of improving technical reconnaissance.Results. The article presents the analysis results of the existing regulatory and existing base of FSTEC Russia for sufficient assessment of measures to prevent information leakage through the channels of incidental electromagnetic radiation and interference and vibroacoustic channels at the enterprises of the aircraft industry in the implementation of production technologies and testing of manufactured products.Practical implications. The substantiated directions of improving the methodological basis for determining the current threats can be used in the development of methods and models for assessment of measures to prevent information leakage through the channels of electromagnetic emissions and interference and vibroacoustic channels at aircraft industry enterprises in the implementation of production technologies and testing of manufactured products.
The article considers geoecological risks on tourist and recreational areas. The focus is on the relationship fields of bioactive range (electric, magnetic, thermal, radiation, vibration, sound, and infrasound) with the grid of tectonic fault displacements and their influence on the psyche and health of tourists, servicing staff as well as on the state of buildings and structures of tourist-recreational complexes. The conclusion is made about the constant and qualitative carrying out of geoecological monitoring of the territory on which is carried out or planned to implement the tourist product and recreational activities. Discusses problems of the evaluation of geoecological risks, and to develop new and optimize existing strategies manage this risk and geoecological safety in the tourist and recreational activities. We analyze the main factors of environmental influence on tourist-recreational objects and describe the complex of problems connected with geoecological safety of tourist-recreational territories. In the light of the mentioned problems of geoecological safety authors greatest attention ispaidto natural hazards of geological origin, i.e. exogenous geological processes. Classification of the main exogenous geological processes is given. Specific examples of their appearance on tourist and recreational areas are discussed. When considering exogenous processes from the point of view of their possible danger to the objects of recreation and tourism, emphasize their connection with modern earth´s surface — the main component of the environment. The concept and examples «slow» disasters are given. Questions of quantitative evaluation of geoecological risks are discussed.
A special methodology for sampling statistical data in the popular VKontakte network has been implemented in order to create analytical and simulation models of territorial differences in the propagation of information on social networks, its malicious part as well, which has a manipulative effect on the population. Analytical models of the information dissemination speed dependence on the average size of the «friends» circle of users in various settlements of the Russian Federation are built. The explainability coefficients of the model calculated as the square of the correlation coefficient between empirical and model data multiplied by one hundred are at least 95%, which allows building fairly reliable forecasts. Seven homogeneous groups of Russian settlements were identified as a result of settlements classification using cluster analysis. Those groups are significantly different in the speed of dissemination of information in social networks. It is concluded that the application of simulation results is promising for the scientific justification of measures for informational counteraction to manipulative influences on the population in social networks with the territorial differences being considered.
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