As organic farming gains more popularity across the world, it is important to discuss the underlying trends of its development in Ukraine, who is an important agricultural producer. Organic farming may have lower environmental pressures-therefore, we seek to identify the major trends in the production and sales of the organic agricultural products in Ukraine. In this study, data on the production structure, costs, and selling prices from Ukrainian enterprises are analyzed. Conventional and organic enterprises are contrasted in order to identify the possibilities for the development of organic agriculture in Ukraine. Our results suggest that enterprises that use organic farming in Ukraine tend to produce higher output per hectare, as opposed to those engaged in conventional farming. However, labor profitability remains low in labor-intensive organic farming, especially in larger companies, and organic products remain a low percentage of Ukraine's agricultural exports. This calls for further study into the development of organic production and consumption in the domestic market, as well as the implementation of appropriate certification practices in order to ensure the growth of organic exports.
Purpose. The purpose of the paper is to study the state, perspective directions of Ukrainian exports of agricultural products and the introduction of effective forecasting using the method of mathematical modeling of a continuous system of aperiodic components. Methodology / approach. In the process of research, the fundamental provisions of modern economic science were used in relation to the groups of factors influencing the resulting indicators of export, foreign trade trends, methods of statistical analysis to assess the weight of factors influencing the resulting function, as well as modern mathematical methods for forecasting of agrarian exports were implemented. Results. The application of the developed mathematical model and the algorithm based on it, allowed to study the situation with the export of Ukrainian agricultural products to the EU, to identify trends specific to individual countries and the EU market as a whole, to assess the opportunities and prospects of niche markets, expansion nomenclature of export goods. Prognoses were given both on the export prospects of individual goods, product groups, and on the volume of deliveries to the EU. The use of factor analysis for forecasting of export deliveries allowed us to assess the impact of each of the factors and limit their amount. Originality / scientific novelty. For the first time, the method of mathematical modeling of a continuous system based on changes in its aperiodic components was used for efficient and relevant forecasting of agrarian export volumes. Even the stages of application of this method, in particular, the analysis and prognoses for individual items of the nomenclature of export goods, for individual countries – importers make it possible to represent the situation with agrarian exports more accurately and forecast future supplies. Practical value / importance. The proposed mathematical approach for market analysis and forecasting of markets can be used by both market regulators and producers and exporters of agricultural products. These polynomial equations for analysis and prognostication for individual product groups can be directly used in practice.
The article explores the main directions and trends of the modern economy – digital and its impact on globalization processes taking place in the modern world. Digital economy entered the modern definition is not so long ago, having gone through the difficult path of becoming both in the world and in Ukraine. Forming as a modern science, digital economy is becoming a feature of modern times: new terms, categories, concepts, tools are emerging and being introduced into scientific modernity. Some terms have been proposed for use in modern economic science, including: digital co-working center, cross-platform with digital industry, digital hub studio, hub association, hackathon, internet of things; some of them have been interpreted by the author. The contemporary impact of the digital economy on globalization has been investigated and some trends, implications, which can positively affect the further development of the IT industry in the economy of the world and Ukraine, especially the development of small and medium-sized enterprises basis of economic development for the coming period, especially as the next wave of the global economic crisis approaches. Although the term "digital economy" has long been used in the economic community of the world, not all its characteristics have been described in terms of theoretical economics, and even more so, those specific terms that accompany it in the economic studies of scientists. The digital economy is determined by a number of aspects in the technological, global, digitized, social fields. This article shows and substantiates ways to form some terms used in this direction and justifies (in some cases propose own) the formulation of terms that are either used in foreign-language sources or come from other fields, especially technical terms, economic substantiation of which is necessary for modern theoretical thought.
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