This article presents a method of simulation modeling that is broadly used in regional process studies. Based on this model, we have developed a system of supporting decision making intended for regional development. Potential development scenarios for the Rostov oblast have been elaborated using sta tistical data about the region.
Introduction. In the current political process in Russia, national projects occupy an important place, working as one of the main tools for the achievement of national goals. The projects are usually made more specific at the regional level of administration and include the strategic goal of regional development, the amount of resources allocated for their achievement, as well as the responsibility of the officials for their use. The article examines the impact of implementing national projects of the “first wave” (from 2006–2010 to 2018) and the first results of the projects of the “second wave” (designed for 2019–2024) on solving the problems of effectiveness growth of public administration of the balanced development of old industrial regions of Southern Russia – Volgograd and Rostov regions. The problems of this study are justified by the expansion of using program-targeted methods in the organizational environment of regional management, what implies the need to assess the compliance of the results achieved during the implementation of projects with the goals of state regional policy. Methodology and methods. The research methodology is based on the provisions of the concept of sustainable development, as well as the system paradigm of G.B. Kleiner devoted to the need for the interconnected development of the object, environment and control subsystems. In the study of the effectiveness of national projects and their impact on the balanced development of old industrial regions of the South of Russia, the effective approach and the comparative analysis method were used. Analysis. The study shows that the degree of involvement of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation in implementing program activities of national projects is determined by the volumes of regional budgets, as well as the priorities facing a region. From the standpoint of sustainability and balance of regional development, there is a disagreement in the processes of modernization changes in the subsystems of the object, environment and management, what leads to the underutilization of the resource potential of the regions in the achievement of national goals. Results. The priorities of goal setting in Volgograd and Rostov regions in the implementation of national projects are studied. The feedbacks of the regional system to the measures mentioned in national projects, as well as limiting factors for the achievement of their objectives are identified. The idea of the coordinated development of the object, environment and management subsystems of a region for the effectiveness growth of public administration of the balanced regional development is substantiated. It is concluded that the administration and management of modern national projects is not so much a managerial task but rather a political one, and therefore their implementation implies the solution of such political goals as carefulness in setting goals and choosing priorities, building effective mechanisms of the interaction between federal and regional authorities, and also with local target population.
Importance After the Republic of Crimea acceded the Russian Federation, it became very important to overcome infrastructure barriers impeding the development of ties between the mainland part and peninsula. It requires substantial investment in refurbishing the existing transport infrastructure and constructing new railway, motor and maritime routes. Objectives The research strives to improve approaches to evaluating how this project influences the development path of the national and regional economy. Methods Using the scenario-based approach, I evaluated how large infrastructure projects influence the regional development, considering the multiplicative effect on the economy arising from cross-sectoral ties. Results The findings constitute the starting point for analytical tools designated to study macroeconomic effects of the Kerch Strait Bridge construction project that stimulate the development of the Krasnodar Krai. In this respect, I analyzed the socioeconomic situation in the Temryuk district as an area that is directly involved into the large transport project. The proposed scenarios for developing the Temryuk district take into account cross-sectoral ties and the scope of feedbacks and can be included into the respective model toolkit. Conclusions and Relevance Such large projects and direct effects also indirectly influence the development of respective areas.
The study of the phenomenon of agglomeration analyzes settlement system, agglomeration effects, industry location. Foreign experience of public policy shows the evolution of the urban structure towards growth of additional employment centers as an effective tool for population decentralization and improvement of living standards and environmental quality. In Russia, large cities have high population growth rates, and the standard of living of the suburbs is still lower than in the agglomeration “cores”. Social and economic situation of Krasnodar, Novorossiysk and Sochi agglomerations is characterized by the following indicators: population, average wage, investment, shipped production, area of dwelling unit per capita. Half of the population of the region lives within the agglomerations, which account for 60% of shipped production, 70% of own investments. Wages and housing provision in large cities are significantly higher than in average in the region. High dynamics of population growth is due to migration (intraregional and from other regions of Russia) to the central areas of the agglomeration, which have higher level of social and economic development and accessibility to infrastructure. At the same time, centripetal processes worsen problems of urban environment. Development of agglomeration planning connected with Development strategy of Krasnodar Krai and industrial programs taking into account the economic relationships between “core” and periphery will form the legal basis for the design and management of the agglomeration as a single territorial object.
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