Modern transport systems are characterized by the development and implementation of intelligent transport technologies. Today, dynamic forecast models are not used in practice in the operation of a passenger terminal. Decision making is based on some regulatory values for passenger traffic, but this is not sufficient for efficient terminal management. Modern passenger terminals are characterized by dynamic process variability and consideration of diverse options, taking into account the criteria of safety, reliability analysis, and the continuous research of passenger processing. For any modern marine passenger terminal, it is necessary to use the tool to simulate passenger flows in dynamics. Only in this way it is possible to obtain the analytical information and use it for decision making when solving the problem of the amount of personnel required for passenger service, transport safety, some forecasting tasks and so on. Of particular relevance is the choice of the mathematical transport model and the practical conditions for the implementation of the model in the real terminal operation. In this article, the analysis technique of intelligent simulation-based terminal services provides a new mathematical model of passenger movement inside the terminal and presents a new software instrument. Moreover, the conditions of implementation of some transportation models during the operation of marine passenger terminal are examined. The study represents an example of analytical information used for the forecast of the terminal operations, the analysis of the workload and the efficiency of the organization of the marine terminal.

Passenger seaports are new starting-points of urban development. They form a new independent industry, become new incentives for improving urban infrastructure and increase the tourist attractiveness of the city itself and the region. In view of changes in passenger service processes, changes in route ferry and cruise networks, due to COVID-19, the heads of ports and terminals set new strategic tasks to determine the directions for infrastructure modernization and forecast development. The regions of the Adriatic and Baltic Seas were chosen as the experimental base. To find new answers, it is necessary to solve the problem of synthesizing the structure of a sea passenger port, taking into account all processes and services, the influence of the external environment, building a system of target functions and limiting conditions. Thus, the necessity of forming informed decisions on modernization based on the construction of new mathematical models is substantiated. A new function has been introduced that describes the influence of the external environment. Particular attention is given to the study of the mutual influence of the city and the sea passenger port in order to determine the need to improve transport accessibility and change the near-port transport space. The presented models of structure synthesis and target functions, models including functions of the influence of the external environment on the system “city infrastructure-sea passenger port-ferry company” allow at a qualitatively new level to solve the problem of forecasting development and form a system making decisions to improve the position of the passenger terminal in the sea region. The developed models and synthesis problem formation are applicable to sea passenger ports and terminals in other regions of the seas. The models are applicable both at the stage of creating a new marine terminal and during the study and subsequent modernization of the infrastructure. The presented new models allow the port manager to give answers to the questions of strategic development of sea passenger ports in sea regions.

According to statistics, the marine passenger transportation sectors (both cruise lines and ferry lines) show a significant increase of passenger traffic and the intensity of ship routes. But new features of the conditions for passenger traffic growth require the development of new methodological transport models for cruise and ferry networks and new practical forecasting methods. Changes are observed in the fleet composition, mostly in the direction of increased. New approach for forecasting has to be based on the interaction of such systems as «city-sea passenger port-cruise and ferry lines». This condition now determines new need to describe the principles and forms of organization of maritime ferry networks and changes under the influence of the external environment. The object of the research is the Baltic Sea region and the existing route networks of cruise and ferry lines. Exploring this system, the usage of new mathematical apparatus based on correspondence matrices and agent-based simulation was justified for estimating the workload on transport infrastructure around the passenger port and for the existing ferry or cruise route network. The practical results of new simulation model, on the one hand, justify the need for a comprehensive study of the conditions for the formation of ferry and cruise route networks in changing conditions. On the other hand, these new results could improve the quality of decision-making process in forecasting the route network on the basis of the research of passenger traffic between systems «city-sea terminal-cruise line or ferry line».

Transport sector is traditionally globally oriented, so education is necessarily connected with standardization. The importance of experience exchange between education centers and schools is obvious. More and more skills that are necessary for specialist in transport sector are connected with logistics and ICT. The most effective approach is that one in which the education is governed by simulators and especially educated instructors with great experience from real sector. In this paper, we have presented some experiences from Saint-Petersburg State University of Aerospace Instrumentation (SUAI) in Russia and Maritime Department from The University of Dubrovnik in Croatia.

Modern processes in the world economy directly affect the development and changes in sea passenger ports and their infrastructure. The principles of organization of the "city-sea passenger port" system are changing and becoming more complex. Recently there has been a significant increase in passenger traffic and cruise ship and ferry traffic in Baltic Sea. Since these objects are complex technical systems consisting of many elements, in their study it is necessary to use the system approach, to solve the problem of structure synthesis and the determination of objective functions. The objective of this publication was to study how the forecast for the development of demand for sea passenger ports (number cruise ships and passengers flow for next year) could be done by combining simulation and forecast functions. These tasks depend on the qualitative construction of specialized information simulation models. Such subsystems should be used by passenger port management for both operational everyday tasks and strategic tasks. One of the main goals of the forecast is the qualitative construction of an analytical function work of the terminal that determines the passenger flow based on real data. The article considers the solution of this problem by using the method of average growth rate and polynomial extrapolation. In the article, the characteristics and infrastructural features of the passenger ports of St. Petersburg are given, and the main directions of development based on the results of simulation are considered. The paper discusses advantages of using such forecast and their introduction in the early stages of operation of the terminal. The study represents an example of analytical information used for the forecast of the terminal load, the analysis of the workload and efficiency of the organization of the marine terminal in operational tasks using analytical function based on real data. Sažetak Suvremeni procesi u svjetskom gospodarstvu izravno utječu na razvoj i promjene u morskim lukama za ukrcaj putnika i njihovoj infrastrukturi. Načela organizacije sustava "gradske pomorske luke za ukrcaj putnika" mijenjaju se i postaju sve složenija. U posljednje vrijeme značajno se povećao promet putnika, brodova za krstarenje i trajekata na Baltiku. Budući da se radi o složenim tehničkim sustavima sastavljenim od više elemenata, prilikom proučavanja nužno je imati sustavni pristup kako bi se riješio problem sinteze strukture i određivanja objektivnih funkcija. Cilj je ovoga rada istražiti kako se može izraditi prognoza razvoja potražnje za pomorskim putničkim lukama (broj brodova za krstarenje i promet putnika u sljedećoj godini), kombinirajući simulacijske i prognostičke funkcije. Ti zadaci ovise o kvalitativnoj konstrukciji specijaliziranih modela simulacije podataka. Podsustavima trebalo bi se koristiti u lučkim upravama i prilikom obavljanja svakodnevnih, kao i strateških poslova. Jedan je od glavnih ciljeva prognoze kvalitativna konstrukcija analitičkoga funkcionalnog rada terminala koji utvrđuje protok putnika na ...

In terms of a systematic approach, till now it was not possible to investigate separately sea passenger terminals and the operation of ferry or cruise lines. So it is necessary to investigate their mutual influence, analyze the intensities, take into account the influence of the external environment and solve forecasting problems. This circumstance justifies the need to use new tools and models that allow analyzing the macro-level, consisting of all the ports in the region and the available ferry lines. For solving short-term forecasting problems, the class of polynomial problems has recommended as well. But, when taking into account the mutual influence of the terminals and ferry lines on each other, the task becomes much more complicated. The discrete nature of the initial data, schedules of ship calls which need to be combined into a single array of data, comes to the fore in the study of processes. The process of functioning of an individual terminal with varying degrees of accuracy can be represented as a sequence of several typical design modes, each of which corresponds to a change in a certain set of characteristics and number of ship calls. But when solving problems at the macro-level, the article proposes to use optimization based on the circos plot. The construction of this type of diagram is associated with the fulfillment of certain boundary conditions, which makes it possible to define the boundaries of the region, to study and to form the completeness of the initial data. The object of the study is the interconnection of selected marine passenger terminals and the existing ferry lines. Based on the initial data, transformations were carried out and a circular (circos) plot of relations was constructed. Such diagram takes into account the analysis of the mutual influence of the terminals of one region. The obtained results make it possible to improve the quality of decision making, since a representation of the macro-level planning system of the «marine passenger terminals-ferry lines» is formed within the framework of the selected marine region. Sažetak Gledajući sustavno, dosad je bilo nemoguće posebno promatrati putničke terminale i aktivnosti trajektnih i brodskih linija. Potrebno je istražiti njihov međusobni utjecaj, analizirati intenzitete, uzeti u obzir utjecaj vanjskog okruženja i riješiti probleme predviđanja. Ova okolnost opravdava potrebu za korištenjem novih alata i modela koji omogućuju analizu makro-razine, što obuhvaća sve luke u regiji i dostupne trajektne linije. Za rješavanje problema kratkoročnog prognoziranja, klasa polinomijalnog računa se također preporuča. Međutim, uzimajući u obzir međusobni utjecaj terminala i trajektnih linija jednih na druge, zadatak postaje mnogo složeniji. Diskretna priroda ulaznih podataka, rasporedi ticanja brodova, koje je potrebno kombinirati u jedinstven niz podataka, dovodi do problema pri takvom istraživanju. Proces funkcioniranja za pojedini terminal s različitim stupnjem točnosti, može se prikazati kao niz tipičnih načina modeliranja, od kojih ...

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Today, one of the main important tasks is to analyze the states of achievement related to the required levels for marine passenger terminals and their route networks, depending on the influence of the external environment (based on the discretization of processes). This proposal is relevant both to increase the passenger traffic and to change the route network of ferry lines. There is an uneven congestion of individual directions of ferry lines and passenger terminals, which determines the need to select a finite number of states for the efficient operation of the «passenger terminal-ferry line» system. For the research of changes and assessments, it is proposed to use the process discretization methodology and the formation of a new circos plot intensity diagram. This study focuses on the passenger terminals in the Adriatic Sea and the existing route network in this region. As a result of the analysis, a set of points in time are selected that are characterized by various intensities and passenger traffic. For the selected set of values, a set of new intensity circos plot diagrams are constructed. On their basis, it is possible to analyze the mutual influence of the passenger terminals on each other to analyze the ferry transportation market and the number of shipping companies on it.New scientific approach can improve the quality of research and decision-making process for research of the «passenger terminal-ferry line» system. The practical results we can see in the form of circos plot diagrams for sea passenger transportation in the Adriatic Sea region and the proposed research methodology for research and operation analysis of the «ferry line -marine passenger terminal» system based on process discretization.