A significant increase in the use of neoadjuvant chemotherapy over time was identified, and treatment with mastectomy as definitive surgical management remained high. There was significant variability in neoadjuvant chemotherapy use by the operating surgeons, in addition to factors generally associated with more locally advanced/aggressive tumors.
Background
Recurrence is not explicitly documented in cancer registry data that are widely used for research. Patterns of events after initial treatment such as oncology visits, re-operation, and receipt of subsequent chemotherapy or radiation may indicate recurrence. This study aimed to develop and validate algorithms for identifying breast cancer recurrence using routinely collected administrative data.
Methods
The study cohort included all young (≤ 40 years) breast cancer patients (2007–2010), and all patients receiving neoadjuvant chemotherapy (2012–2014) in Alberta, Canada. Health events (including mastectomy, chemotherapy, radiation, biopsy and specialist visits) were obtained from provincial administrative data. The algorithms were developed using classification and regression tree (CART) models and validated against primary chart review.
Results
Among 598 patients, 121 (20.2%) had recurrence after a median follow-up of 4 years. The high sensitivity algorithm achieved 94.2% (95% CI: 90.1–98.4%) sensitivity, 93.7% (91.5–95.9%) specificity, 79.2% (72.5–85.8%) positive predictive value (PPV), and 98.5% (97.3–99.6%) negative predictive value (NPV). The high PPV algorithm had 75.2% (67.5–82.9%) sensitivity, 98.3% (97.2–99.5%) specificity, 91.9% (86.6–97.3%) PPV, and 94% (91.9–96.1%) NPV. Combining high PPV and high sensitivity algorithms with additional (7.5%) chart review to resolve discordant cases resulted in 94.2% (90.1–98.4%) sensitivity, 98.3% (97.2–99.5%) specificity, 93.4% (89.1–97.8%) PPV, and 98.5% (97.4–99.6%) NPV.
Conclusion
The proposed algorithms based on routinely collected administrative data achieved favorably high validity for identifying breast cancer recurrences in a universal healthcare system in Canada.
Electronic supplementary material
The online version of this article (10.1186/s12885-019-5432-8) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.
Purpose: To evaluate the utility of multidisciplinary case conferences (MCCs) on physician decision making in benign and malignant breast disease management.Methods: Patients with interesting or challenging diagnostic or management issues were discussed at biweekly diagnostic breast MCCs. Prior to discussion, a clinical summary and intended management plan prior to the MCC was presented. For each case, diagnostic images/histopathology were centrally reviewed after which group discussion achieved a management consensus which was documented prospectively. Initial management plans were compared to the post-MCC consensus. A change in a management plan was defined as a consensus plan different from the pre-MCC plan or no definite plan prior to the MCC.Results: From November 2014 to December 2015, 76 patients (43 malignant and 33 benign diagnoses) were discussed in 19 MCCs. All cases presented resulted in a consensus management recommendation. Thirty-one case discussions (41%) resulted in a changed management plan (20 malignant and 11 benign diagnoses). Management changes included avoidance of immediate surgery (9% of cases), change in the type of surgery (5%), non-invasive investigation to invasive/surgical intervention (7%), and detection of a new suspicious lesion (1%).Conclusion: MCCs had a substantial impact on physician decision making. Management plans changed in 41% of cases presented, the majority due to new/clarified diagnostic information. Presentation of cases at MCCs should be encouraged, especially for challenging diagnostic or management issues regarding malignant or benign breast diagnoses.
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