Which transition comes first? Urban and demographic transitions in Belgium and Sweden

Bocquier, Philippe; Costa, Rafael

doi:10.4054/demres.2015.33.48

Cited by 45 publications

(43 citation statements)

References 22 publications

Supporting

Mentioning

Contrasting

Unclassified

Order By: Relevance

“…Therefore, urbanisation is not an inevitable outcome of the vital transition, as hypothesised by de Vries (1990) and Dyson (2011). Although data from other countries would be necessary to be able to generalise this to Europe, our results for France, Belgium, and Sweden seem to confirm the two hypotheses made in a previous paper (Bocquier and Costa 2015): "mobility transition is a necessary and underlying condition for urban transition" and "vital transition is an unnecessary contribution to urban transition". Using very different analytical techniques on Danish data for the period 1840-1940, Baudin and Stelter (2016 conclude that the rural exodus played a substantial role in Denmark's economic and demographic transitions, while the role of mortality reduction was weak.…”

Section: Figuresupporting

confidence: 80%

“…The following is a summary of the methodology used in Bocquier and Costa (2015) for Belgium and Sweden, complemented by some details from the French data. The idea is to use basic aggregated data on population, births, and deaths by area of residence to deduce the migration component of population growth without direct measurement of migrations.…”

Section: Methods and Data: Timing Of Urban And Vital Transitionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Fox concurs with Dyson (2011) -who himself followed de Vries (1984Vries ( , 1990) -who states that population growth through declining mortality may be a stronger contributor to urban transition than economic growth. Other authors consider that besides the better survival prospects in urban areas, it is mainly changes in economic production that increases net migration to urban areas, through land pressure, productivity increase, institutional changes, and other factors (Bocquier and Costa 2015). The debate is not closed, since results seem to strongly depend on the countries, data, and indicators selected.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…The debate is not closed, since results seem to strongly depend on the countries, data, and indicators selected. In the field of demographics, Bocquier and Costa (2015) show that taking migration and reclassification 3 components into consideration may lead to different conclusions than using birth and death data only, as Dyson (2011) did for Sweden. Trends in both Sweden and Belgium suggest that vital transition, i.e., the interplay of fertility and mortality, plays a secondary, unstable, and negative role in urban transition, while migration explains most of it in the long term.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…We start by checking whether the results previously obtained for Sweden and Belgium (Bocquier and Costa 2015) are confirmed for France. We apply the same methodology to French provincial counties over the 19 th century (1821-1891), when the urban transition started in France.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 4 more Smart Citations

A regional perspective on the economic determinants of urban transition in 19th-century France

Bocquier¹,

Brée²

2018

DemRes

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Section: Figuresupporting

confidence: 80%

Section: Methods and Data: Timing Of Urban And Vital Transitionsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

See 3 more Smart Citations

A regional perspective on the economic determinants of urban transition in 19th-century France

Bocquier¹,

Brée²

2018

DemRes

Self Cite

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

Polycentric development and local fertility in metropolitan regions: An empirical analysis for Barcelona, Spain

López‐Gay

Salvati

2020

Population Space and Place

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

The present study verifies if spatial variability in local fertility reflects the shift from a monocentric dense settlement model towards a polycentric metropolis organised in central cores and subcentral locations. The spatial distribution of a crude birth rate in Barcelona's province was investigated for a long time span (1975–2018), identifying distinctive trends within five concentric rings around Barcelona at four subperiods (1975–1985, 1986–1996, 1997–2007 and 2008–2018). Using multivariate exploratory statistics, local fertility rates were correlated with background indicators delineating the socio‐economic profile of each municipality in the study area. Fertility rates decreased with the distance from downward Barcelona and with population density. In the first time interval (1975–1985), fertility levels—higher in subcentral municipalities and peri‐urban locations than in downtown Barcelona—were positively associated with urban growth. In the following two subperiods (1986–1996 and 1997–2007), the contribution of local fertility to urban growth decreased significantly, reaching the lowest‐low figures at the end of the 1980s. In the most recent time interval (2008–2018), a moderate (and spatially heterogeneous) recovery of fertility rates was observed in subcentral locations. Demographic processes underlying Barcelona's expansion provide evidence in favour of a positive relationship between polycentric development and local fertility. Our article finally debates on the use of fertility indicators in the assessment of monocentric versus polycentric (metropolitan) growth in advanced economies.

show abstract

The importance of reclassification to understanding urban growth: A demographic decomposition of the United States, 1990–2010

Jiang

Jones

Balk

et al. 2022

Population Space and Place

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

An improved understanding of reclassification as a sociodemographic component of urban growth is important for urban planning and sustainable development.However, empirical assessments of the effect of reclassification on urban population dynamics are lacking, especially in countries in the later stage of the urban transition.Using recently available data on spatial reclassification of rural and urban land areas and population, and adopting multiregional demographic methods, we explicitly examine the effects of reclassification, natural growth and rural-urban migration on urban growth in the United States for the intercensal periods of 1990-2000 and 2000-2010. Results suggest that reclassification played a significant role in U.S. urban population change but its magnitude depends on assumptions about the timing of reclassification. The net effect of reclassification on urban change is the largest when reclassification is assumed to occur at the end, and the smallest when assumed to occur at the beginning, of the decennial census periods. While the impact of natural growth on U.S. urban population change is relatively stable, there is significant uncertainty in the effects of reclassification and rural-urban migration.Additionally, international migration is a key source of urban growth in the United States. We find that the places reclassified from rural to urban or from urban to rural experienced the largest changes in population sizes and age composition.

show abstract

Which transition comes first? Urban and demographic transitions in Belgium and Sweden

Cited by 45 publications

References 22 publications

A regional perspective on the economic determinants of urban transition in 19th-century France

A regional perspective on the economic determinants of urban transition in 19th-century France

Polycentric development and local fertility in metropolitan regions: An empirical analysis for Barcelona, Spain

The importance of reclassification to understanding urban growth: A demographic decomposition of the United States, 1990–2010

Contact Info

Product

Resources

About