Toward meta-analysis of impacts of heat and cold waves on mortality in Russian North

Shaposhnikov, Dmitry; Revich, Boris

doi:10.1016/j.uclim.2015.11.007

Cited by 21 publications

(16 citation statements)

References 14 publications

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“…A total of 210 papers investigated the relationships between daily temperature and human mortality counts for non-external causes using the DLNM method. Excluding the literature from the repeated study areas, 16 papers 1,[11][12][13][14][15][16][17][18][19][20][21][22][23][24][25] of which are chosen. These studies involved 420 locations from 30 countries, covering six continents (Antarctica was excluded).…”

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confidence: 99%

Mapping the increased minimum mortality temperatures in the context of global climate change

et al. 2019

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Minimum mortality temperature (MMT) is an important indicator to assess the temperature-mortality relationship. It reflects human adaptability to local climate. The existing MMT estimates were usually based on case studies in data rich regions, and limited evidence about MMT was available at a global scale. It is still unclear what the most significant driver of MMT is and how MMT will change under global climate change. Here, by analysing MMTs in 420 locations covering six continents (Antarctica was excluded) in the world, we found that although the MMT changes geographically, it is very close to the local most frequent temperature (MFT) in the same period. The association between MFT and MMT is not changed when we adjust for latitude and study year. Based on the MFT~MMT association, we estimate and map the global distribution of MMTs in the present (2010s) and the future (2050s) for the first time.

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confidence: 99%

Mapping the increased minimum mortality temperatures in the context of global climate change

et al. 2019

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“…In these articles, the impact of 3 different exposure variables had been studied on death due to external causes, which were hot waves, cold waves and daily temperatures (maximum, average). 3 studies had examined the effects of only heat waves [10] [13] [28] and 2 studies had examined the effects of both heat and cold waves [29] [30]. Also, two studies had assessed the mean daily temperature [9] [31] and one study [17] had assessed the maximum daily temperature as the exposure variable.…”

Section: Resultsmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…It seems that the effect of cold days on mortality due to external causes is less significant. One study [30] had shown that the proportion of death due to external causes is small in comparison to death due to all causes during cold waves (about 3%). Ingole et al [29] did not see any relation between cold waves and death due to external causes.…”

Section: Pearson Criterionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Ambient Temperature and Mortality Due to External Causes: A Systematic Review

Aboubakri¹,

Khanjani²,

Shoraka³

2018

ODEM

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Background: External causes include accidents, injuries or health problems that arise immediately after accidents or other external factors. The purpose of this review was to collect information about the relation between temperature and mortality due to external causes. Methods: A systematic search of articles was conducted in PubMed, Scopus, Science Direct, Embase, and Web of Science until January 2017, with no restriction. Broad searches were conducted in all fields, using key words related to ambient temperature exposure and deaths due to external causes. Results: Nine articles were included in the study. Except two articles, one of which had been designed in a cross-sectional way and the other that was retrospective, the rest of the articles were ecological. The outcomes reported were heterogeneous and different metrics had been used in the results; therefore conducting of meta-analysis was not possible. Five articles had found direct and significant relations between high temperature and deaths due to external causes. Only one study found no relation. In the case of cold, one study showed that the proportion of death due to external causes was low during cold waves. Another study showed that there was no relation between cold waves and mortality due to external causes. But one article showed that death due to external causes increased on cold days, significantly. Conclusion: The results of this systematic review showed that high temperatures (heat) were more likely to cause mortality due to external causes than low temperatures (cold). Due to the small number of studies in this field, especially in the context of cold and death due to external causes, it is difficult to make robust conclusions.

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“…The second definition, as our research performed in moderate climatic zones showed [5][6][7][8], gives on average about 8 heat waves over a ten-year period. Such quantity of waves naturally gives more data for epidemiologic research and simultaneously coincides with an intuitive idea of extreme temperatures.…”

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confidence: 99%