Real-time monitoring shows substantial excess all-cause mortality during second wave of COVID-19 in Europe, October to December 2020

Nørgaard, Sarah; Vestergaard, Lasse S; Nielsen, Jens; Richter, Lukáš; Schmid, Daniela; Bustos, Natalia; Braye, Toon; Athanasiadou, María; Lytras, Theodore; Denissov, Gleb; Veideman, Tatjana; Luomala, Oskari; Möttönen, Teemu; Fouillet, Anne; Caserio-Schönemann, Céline; Heiden, Matthias an der; Uphoff, Helmut; Gkolfinopoulou, Kassiani; Bobvos, János; Páldy, Anna; Rotem, Naama; Kornilenko, Irene; Domegan, Lisa; O’Donnell, Joan; Donato, F. De; Scortichini, Matteo; Hoffmann, Patrick; Velez, Telma; England, Kathleen; Calleja, Neville; Asten, Liselotte van; Stoeldraijer, Lenny; White, Richard A.; Paulsen, Trine Hessevik; Silva, Susana Pereira; Rodrigues, Ana Paula; Klepac, Petra; Zaletel, Marjan; Fafangel, Mario; Larrauri, Amparo; León, Inmaculada; Ahmed, Farah; Galanis, Ilias; Junker, Christoph; Perisa, Damir; Sinnathamby, Mary; Andrews, Nick; O’Doherty, Mark G.; Irwin, David; Kennedy, Sharon; McMenamin, Jim; Adlhoch, Cornelia; Bundle, Nick; Penttinen, Pasi; Pukkila, Jukka; Pebody, Richard; Krause, Tyra Grove; Mølbak, Kåre

doi:10.2807/1560-7917.es.2021.26.1.2002023

Cited by 68 publications

(55 citation statements)

References 10 publications

(10 reference statements)

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“…Europe has experienced a second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic [ 19 ]. Strict social distancing measures have proven effective in curbing the incidence of COVID-19, but as restrictions were lifted, emerging second-wave scenarios [ 20 ] forced restrictive measures to be reimposed to prevent the collapse of the healthcare system.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Disparities in the Evolution of the COVID-19 Pandemic between Spanish Provinces

López-Mendoza

Montañés

Moliner-Lahoz

2021

IJERPH

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Spain experienced a second wave of the COVID-19 pandemic in autumn 2020, which has been approached with different measures by regional authorities. We analyze the presence of convergence in the cumulative incidence for 14 days (CI14) in provinces and self-governing cities. The Phillips–Sul methodology was used to study the grouping of behavior between provinces, and an ordered logit model was estimated to understand the forces that drive creating the different convergence clubs. We reject the presence of a single pattern of behavior in the evolution of the CI14 across territories. Four statistically different convergence clubs and an additional province (Madrid) with divergent behavior are observed. Provinces with developed agricultural and industrial economic sectors, high mobility, and a high proportion of Central and South American immigrants had the highest level of CI14. We show that the transmission of the virus is not homogeneous in the Spanish national territory. Our results are helpful for identifying differences in determinants that could explain the pandemic’s evolution and for formulating hypotheses about the effectiveness of implemented measures.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Disparities in the Evolution of the COVID-19 Pandemic between Spanish Provinces

López-Mendoza

Montañés

Moliner-Lahoz

2021

IJERPH

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“…A ligeira mudança do perfil dos infectados com um aumento proporcional da contribuição de indivíduos de raça/cor branca (11% na segunda onda) pode ser reflexo das desigualdades no acesso aos serviços de saúde entre brancos, pardos e negros [24][25][26] . Embora a pandemia afete a população do país como um todo, seus impactos podem ser diferentes por conta das desigualdades que enfrentamos devido ao racismo estrutural e a situações de exclusão social que fazem parte da nossa realidade.…”

Section: Resultsunclassified

Disponibilidade de dados públicos em tempo oportuno para a gestão: análise das ondas da COVID-19

Moura

Silva

Sanchez

et al. 2021

Preprint

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“…The SARS-COV-2 virus was only identified in December 2019, and access to high-quality data with sufficient detail in such a short time is limited. Some studies reported on all-cause mortality, [3,19] in relation to COVID-19 and infection control measures, but data on specific causes of death is usually lacking.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Lockdown and non-COVID-19 deaths: Cause-specific mortality during the first wave of the 2020 pandemic in Norway. A population-based register study

Raknes

Strøm

Sulo

et al. 2021

Preprint

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Objective To explore the potential impact of the first wave of COVID-19 pandemic on all cause and cause-specific mortality in Norway. Design Population based register study. Setting The Norwegian cause of Death Registry and the National Population Register of Norway. Participants All recorded deaths in Norway during March to May from 2010 to 2020. Main outcome measures Rate (per 100 000) of all-cause mortality and causes of death in the EU Shortlist for Causes of Death March to May 2020. The rates were age-standardised and adjusted to a 100% register coverage and compared with a 95% prediction interval (PI) based on corresponding rates for 2010-2019. Results 113 710 deaths were included, of which 10 226 from 2020. We did not observe any deviation from predicted total mortality. There were fewer than predicted deaths from chronic lower respiratory diseases excluding asthma (11.4, 95% PI 11.8 to 15.2) and from other non-ischemic, non-rheumatic heart diseases (13.9, 95% PI 14.5 to 20.2). The death rates were higher than predicted for Alzheimer's disease (7.3, 95% PI 5.5 to 7.3) and diabetes mellitus (4.1, 95% PI 2.1 to 3.4). Conclusions There was no significant difference in the frequency of the major causes of death in the first wave of the 2020 COVID-19 pandemic in Norway. An increase in diabetes mellitus deaths and reduced mortality due to some heart and lung conditions may be linked to infection control measures.

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Real-time monitoring shows substantial excess all-cause mortality during second wave of COVID-19 in Europe, October to December 2020

Cited by 68 publications

References 10 publications

Disparities in the Evolution of the COVID-19 Pandemic between Spanish Provinces

Disparities in the Evolution of the COVID-19 Pandemic between Spanish Provinces

Disponibilidade de dados públicos em tempo oportuno para a gestão: análise das ondas da COVID-19

Lockdown and non-COVID-19 deaths: Cause-specific mortality during the first wave of the 2020 pandemic in Norway. A population-based register study

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