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A remarkable excess mortality has coincided with the COVID-19 pandemic in Europe. We present preliminary pooled estimates of all-cause mortality for 24 European countries/federal states participating in the European monitoring of excess mortality for public health action (EuroMOMO) network, for the period March–April 2020. Excess mortality particularly affected  ≥ 65 year olds (91% of all excess deaths), but also 45–64 (8%) and 15–44 year olds (1%). No excess mortality was observed in 0–14 year olds.

Extraintestinal pathogenic Escherichia coli (ExPEC) is the main cause of urinary tract infections and septicemia. Significant attention has been given to the ExPEC sequence type ST131, which has been categorized as a “high-risk” clone. High-risk clones are globally distributed clones associated with various antimicrobial resistance determinants, ease of transmission, persistence in hosts, and effective transmission between hosts. The high-risk clones have enhanced pathogenicity and cause severe and/or recurrent infections. We show that clones of the E. coli ST410 lineage persist and/or cause recurrent infections in humans, including bloodstream infections. We found evidence of ST410 being a highly resistant globally distributed lineage, capable of patient-to-patient transmission causing hospital outbreaks. Our analysis suggests that the ST410 lineage should be classified with the potential to cause new high-risk clones. Thus, with the clonal expansion over the past decades and increased antimicrobial resistance to last-resort treatment options, ST410 needs to be monitored prospectively.

The specificity of the enzyme(s) catalysing the covalent link between the hydroxyl side chains of serine or threonine and the sugar moiety N-acetylgalactosamine (GalNAc) is unknown. Pattern recognition by artificial neural networks and weight matrix algorithms was performed to determine the exact position of in vivo O-linked GalNAc-glycosylated serine and threonine residues from the primary sequence exclusively. The acceptor sequence context for O-glycosylation of serine was found to differ from that of threonine and the two types were therefore treated separately. The context of the sites showed a high abundance of proline, serine and threonine extending far beyond the previously reported region covering positions -4 through +4 relative to the glycosylated residue. The O-glycosylation sites were found to cluster and to have a high abundance in the N-terminal part of the protein. The sites were also found to have an increased preference for three different classes of beta-turns. No simple consensus-like rule could be deduced for the complex glycosylation sequence acceptor patterns. The neural networks were trained on the hitherto largest data material consisting of 48 carefully examined mammalian glycoproteins comprising 264 O-glycosylation sites. For detection neural network algorithms were much more reliable than weight matrices. The networks correctly found 60-95% of the O-glycosylated serine/threonine residues and 88-97% of the non-glycosylated residues in two independent test sets of known glycoproteins. A computer server using E-mail for prediction of O-glycosylation sites has been implemented and made publicly available. The Internet address is NetOglyc@cbs.dtu.dk.

We developed a clinical score to monitor tuberculosis patients in treatment and to assess clinical outcome. We used the WHO clinical manual to choose signs and symptoms, including cough, haemoptysis, dyspnoea, chest pain, night sweating, anaemia, tachycardia, lung-auscultation finding, fever, low body-mass index, low mid-upper arm circumference giving patients a TBscore from 0 to 13. We validated the score with data from a cohort of 698 TB patients, assessing sensitivity to change and ability to predict mortality. The TBscore declined for 96% of the surviving patients from initiation to end of treatment, and declined with a similar pattern in HIV-infected and HIV-uninfected patients, as well as in smear negative and smear positive patients. The risk of dying during treatment increased with higher TBscore at inclusion. For patients with a TBscore of >8 at inclusion, mortality during the 8 months treatment was 21% (45/218) versus 11% (55/480) for TBscore <8 (p< 0.001). TBscore assessed at end of treatment also strongly predicted subsequent mortality. The TBscore is a simple and low-cost tool for clinical monitoring of tuberculosis patients in low-resource settings and may be used to predict mortality risk. Low TBscore or fall in TBscore at treatment completion may be used as a measure of improvement.

Hypertension is a rising global burden, and low- and middle-income countries account for 80% of deaths due to complications of hypertension. Hypertension can be controlled by adhering to anti-hypertensive medication. However, non-adherence is an increasing challenge. This review aims to systematically evaluate non-adherence to anti-hypertensive medication among adults in low- and middle-income countries and explore factors affecting non-adherence to anti-hypertensive medication. We performed a systematic search for studies published between 1 January 2000 and 31 August 2015. A selection process was performed for data extraction with a combination of Medical Subject Headings terms: 'hypertension' and 'adherence'. Further search criteria were: language ('english'), species ('humans'), and low- and middle-income countries. A total of 22 studies met the inclusion criteria. The pooled percentage of non-adherence when using the eight-item Morisky Medication Adherence Scale (MMAS) was 63.35% (confidence of interval (CI): 38.78-87.91) and 25.45% (CI:17.23-33.76) when using the 80 and 90% cut-off scales. The factors were classified into the five dimensions of adherence defined by the World Health Organization, and the majority of the studies reported factors from the dimension 'social and economic factors'. This systematic review demonstrated considerable variation of non-adherence to anti-hypertensive medication in low- and middle-income countries depending on the methods used to estimate non-adherence. The results showed a high non-adherence when the MMAS eight-item scale was used and low when the 80 and 90% cut-off scales were used. The majority of factors affecting non-adherence to anti-hypertensive medication fell within the World Health Organization defined dimension 'social and economic factors'.

ObjectivesAlthough influenza-like illnesses (ILI) and acute respiratory illnesses (ARI) surveillance are well established in Europe, the comparability of intensity among countries and seasons remains an unresolved challenge. The objective is to compare the intensity of ILI and ARI in some European countries.Design and settingWeekly ILI and ARI incidence rates and proportion of primary care consultations were modeled in 28 countries for the 1996/1997–2013/2014 seasons using the moving epidemic method (MEM). We calculated the epidemic threshold and three intensity thresholds, which delimit five intensity levels: baseline, low, medium, high, and very high. The intensity of 2013/2014 season is described and compared by country.ResultsThe lowest ILI epidemic thresholds appeared in Sweden and Estonia (below 10 cases per 100 000) and the highest in Belgium, Denmark, Hungary, Poland, Serbia, and Slovakia (above 100 per 100 000). The 2009/2010 season was the most intense, with 35% of the countries showing high or very high intensity levels. The European epidemic period in season 2013/2014 started in January 2014 in Spain, Poland, and Greece. The intensity was between low and medium and only Greece reached the high intensity level, in weeks 7 to 9/2014. Some countries remained at the baseline level throughout the entire surveillance period.ConclusionsEpidemic and intensity thresholds varied by country. Influenza-like illnesses and ARI levels normalized by MEM in 2013/2014 showed that the intensity of the season in Europe was between low and medium in most of the countries. Comparing intensity among seasons or countries is essential for understanding patterns in seasonal epidemics. An automated standardized model for comparison should be implemented at national and international levels.

BackgroundMeasles vaccines (MV) have sex-differential effects on mortality not explained by protection against measles infection.ObjectiveThe authors examined whether whole-cell diphtheria–tetanus–pertussis (DTP) vaccine has sex-differential and non-specific effects.Data sources and eligibilityFollowing previous reviews and a new search, the effect of DTP on mortality up to the next vaccination was assessed in all studies where DTP was given after BCG or DTP was given after MV and there was prospective follow-up after ascertainment of vaccination status.SettingHigh-mortality countries in Africa and Asia.MethodsThe initial observation of negative effect of DTP generated six hypotheses, which were examined in all available studies and two randomised trials reducing the time of exposure to DTP.Main outcomeConsistency between studies.ResultsIn the first study, DTP had negative effects on survival in contrast to the beneficial effects of BCG and MV. This pattern was repeated in the six other studies available. Second, the two ‘natural experiments’ found significantly higher mortality for DTP-vaccinated compared with DTP-unvaccinated children. Third, the female–male mortality ratio was increased after DTP in all nine studies; in contrast, the ratio was decreased after BCG and MV in all studies. Fourth, the increased female mortality associated with high-titre measles vaccine was found only among children who had received DTP after high-titre measles vaccine. Fifth, in six randomised trials of early MV, female but not male mortality was increased if DTP was likely to be given after MV. Sixth, the mortality rate declined markedly for girls but not for boys when DTP-vaccinated children received MV. The authors reduced exposure to DTP as most recent vaccination by administering a live vaccine (MV and BCG) shortly after DTP. Both trials reduced child mortality.ConclusionsThese observations are incompatible with DTP merely protecting against the targeted diseases. With herd immunity to whooping cough, DTP is associated with higher mortality for girls. Randomised studies of DTP are warranted to measure the true impact on survival.