Potential global distribution of <i>Diabrotica</i> species and the risks for agricultural production

Marchioro, César Augusto; Krechemer, Flávia S.

doi:10.1002/ps.4906

Cited by 35 publications

(30 citation statements)

References 71 publications

(150 reference statements)

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“…Although some studies claim that the use of more algorithms improves model accuracy (Araújo & New ), others argue that consensus forecasting will not always outperform models built with single algorithm (Grenouillet et al ; Crimmins et al ). For the future climate projections, we employed an ensemble of five different GCMs as used in recent studies (Marchioro & Krechemer ; Gomes et al ).…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Extinction threat to neglected Plinia edulis exacerbated by climate change, yet likely mitigated by conservation through sustainable use

et al. 2020

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Forecasting the impacts of climate change on species distribution has several implications for conservation. Plinia edulis is a rare and threatened tree species from Brazilian Atlantic Rainforest. In this study, we assessed the impact of global climate change on the distribution of P. edulis. Additionally, we evaluated the efficacy of the Brazilian protected network to conserve this species. Ecological niche models were built using the maximum entropy method based on occurrence records and environmental predictors. Models predicted a reduction of climatically suitable areas for P. edulis in all evaluated scenarios in the coming years. Furthermore, we observed that Brazilian protected areas (PAs) are ineffective to conserve this species. Given the fact that P. edulis is a promising tree species rarely found within Brazilian PAs and threatened by global climate change, we strongly recommend the cultivation of this multipurpose species in agroforestry systems, landscaping and homegardens in order to promote its conservation through sustainable use.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Extinction threat to neglected Plinia edulis exacerbated by climate change, yet likely mitigated by conservation through sustainable use

et al. 2020

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“…Various software packages, such as CLIMEX, BIOCLIM, DOMAIN, GARP, GLMs and GAMs have been used to simulate the potential distribution for invasive species . However, MaxEnt (maximum entropy) was one of the mostly frequently used for present‐only SDMs for modeling and projecting current and future distributions of invasive species . Compared with other software (GARP, Mahalanobis typicalities, and random forests), MaxEnt has outperformed other methods for estimating potential species distributions, regardless of the number or geographical range of species records .…”

Section: Methodsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Potential distribution of two invasive pineapple pests under climate change

Wei

Peng

et al. 2019

Pest Management Science

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BACKGROUND The number of global invasive species has significantly increased during the past two centuries due to globalization. The understanding of species invasion under climate change is crucial for sustainable biodiversity conservation, community dynamics, ecosystem function, and resource distribution. Two invasive species, Dysmicoccus brevipes (Cockerell) and D. neobrevipes (Beardsley) have greatly expanded their ranges during recent years. These insects are now considered as extremely serious pests for various plants, especially pineapple. In addition, they are the primary vectors for pineapple wilt associated virus. However, the potential distribution range and management strategies for these pests are unclear. RESULTS In this study, potential risk maps were developed for these pests with MaxEnt (maximum entropy) based on occurrence data under different environmental variables. The potential distributions of these pests were projected for 2050s and 2070s under three climate change scenarios as described in the Special Report on Emissions Scenarios of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Results showed that both pests have similar potential distributions, with high environmental suitability in South America, Africa and South Asia. In addition, potential range expansions or reductions were predicted under different climate change scenarios. The annual mean temperature was the most important factor, accounting for 43.4% of D. brevipes distribution. The minimum temperature of coldest month and mean temperature of coldest quarter was found to be responsible for 90.3% of D. neobrevipes distribution. CONCLUSION This research provided a theoretical reference framework to develop policies in the management and control of these invasive pests. © 2019 Society of Chemical Industry

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“…The interplay between the conservatism and divergence of niches in shaping lineage differentiation is far from completely understood (Pyron and Burbrink 2009, Peterson 2011, Hu et al 2015, despite its relevance for forecasting changes in biodiversity under changing environmental conditions or invasion risks (Hadly et al 2009, Hortal et al 2011, Lavergne et al 2013, Torres et al 2018. The use of ENMs has become instrumental in recent years (Lobo et al 2010) and is applied in a wide range of fields, such as those pertaining to geographic distributions (Ramoni-Perazzi et al 2012, 2017, past and potential future distributions in response to climate change (Dyderski et al 2018, Simpson et al 2018, Warren et al 2018, species invasions (Lins et al 2018, Oliveira et al 2018, diseases and agricultural pest organisms (Carmona-Castro et al 2018, Carvajal et al 2019, Marchioro and Krechemer 2018, biodiversity conservation priorities (Bonfim et al 2018), and even archaeology (Banks 2017, d'Errico et al 2017. The use of ENMs has become instrumental in recent years (Lobo et al 2010) and is applied in a wide range of fields, such as those pertaining to geographic distributions (Ramoni-Perazzi et al 2012, 2017, past and potential future distributions in response to climate change (Dyderski et al 2018, Simpson et al 2018, Warren et al 2018, species invasions (Lins et al 2018, Oliveira et al 2018, diseases and agricultural pest organisms (Carmona-Castro et al 2018, Carvajal et al 2019…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

“…Environmental niche models (hereafter ENMs) are predictions of species distributions in geographic space (hereafter G-space) that use computer algorithms and mathematical representations of the species' known distribution in environmental space (hereafter E-space; Leathwick 2009, Peterson 2011). The use of ENMs has become instrumental in recent years (Lobo et al 2010) and is applied in a wide range of fields, such as those pertaining to geographic distributions (Ramoni-Perazzi et al 2012, 2017, past and potential future distributions in response to climate change (Dyderski et al 2018, Simpson et al 2018, Warren et al 2018, species invasions (Lins et al 2018, Oliveira et al 2018, diseases and agricultural pest organisms (Carmona-Castro et al 2018, Carvajal et al 2019, Marchioro and Krechemer 2018, biodiversity conservation priorities (Bonfim et al 2018), and even archaeology (Banks 2017, d'Errico et al 2017. ENMs have been combined with multivariate analyses of the E-space (Broennimann et al 2012), reviving the interest in ecological niches (Kozak et al 2006, Warren et al 2008, McCormack et al 2010, Peterson 2011.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Niches and radiations: a case study on the Andean sapphire‐vented puffleg Eriocnemis luciani and coppery‐naped puffleg E. sapphiropygia (Aves, Trochilidae)

Ramoni‐Perazzi

Schuchmann

Weller

et al. 2020

Journal of Avian Biology

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The interaction between ecology and evolution, particularly with regard to speciation processes, remains a main topic of scientific research. Andean hummingbirds have undergone a remarkable radiation, with many species exhibiting patchy distributions and, in some cases, taxonomic controversy. An example is the sapphire-vented puffleg Eriocnemis luciani; ssp. baptistae, luciani and meridae, which some authors merge with the coppery-naped puffleg E. sapphiropygia; ssp. catharina and sapphiropygia. Each group is distributed either north or south from the Huancabamba Depression, the major biogeographical barrier within the tropical Andes. We investigated whether these subspecies share some niche characteristics despite their geographical separation and determined their meaning in the context of the speciation process of trochilids in the tropical Andes. For each subspecies, we performed geographical predictions and paired tests of niche conservatism in environmental space. Geographical predictions included separate regions for subspecies catharina and sapphiropygia, while the predicted regions for subspecies luciani and baptistae greatly overlapped. The E. l. luciani model predicted a single pixel near to the potential area of E. l. meridae, known only from a unique, old record. Subspecies luciani and baptistae exhibited the greatest niche overlap among the pairs of taxa for most variables. However, our results clearly indicated niche divergence for the four members of the E. luciani-sapphiropygia complex, independent of the similarities or slight dissimilarities in their respective backgrounds, indicating that other forces in addition to variation in environmental parameters, such as natural selection or genetic drift, are driving the radiation of these hummingbirds. This finding coincides with the unusually high speciation rates reported for Andean hummingbirds. Thus, the currently accepted taxonomy within the E. lucianisapphiropygia complex may be even more convoluted than indicated by previous studies. Hence, the results of our study are a wakeup call to include the exploration of lineage diversification in biodiversity-related efforts.Niches and radiations: a case study on the Andean sapphire-vented puffleg Eriocnemis luciani and coppery-naped puffleg E. sapphiropygia (Aves, Trochilidae)

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Potential global distribution of Diabrotica species and the risks for agricultural production

Cited by 35 publications

References 71 publications

Extinction threat to neglected Plinia edulis exacerbated by climate change, yet likely mitigated by conservation through sustainable use

Extinction threat to neglected Plinia edulis exacerbated by climate change, yet likely mitigated by conservation through sustainable use

Potential distribution of two invasive pineapple pests under climate change

Niches and radiations: a case study on the Andean sapphire‐vented puffleg Eriocnemis luciani and coppery‐naped puffleg E. sapphiropygia (Aves, Trochilidae)

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