2005
DOI: 10.2139/ssrn.738404
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Money - Inflation Nexus in Indonesia: Evidence from a P-Star Analysis

Abstract: In this paper the effect of excess narrow money (M1) on CPI inflation in Indonesia before, during, and after the Asian crisis is empirically examined. The standard model for the monetary analysis of inflation, i.e. the P-Star model by Hallman-Porter-Small (1991), is applied and tested empirically using quarterly Indonesian data between 1981 and 2002. The empirical model is a Markov switching error correction model. The results show that the two regime P-star model, in terms of excess M1, tracks the long run dy… Show more

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Cited by 5 publications
(1 citation statement)
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“…Finding show that money -when measured by P-star or, alternatively: the real money gap -plays an important role for explaining inflation in Sweden, so the model has been applied successfully for the prediction of inflation in Sweden. Anglingkusumo (2005) analyzes the relationship between money and inflation in Indonesia based on the P* model during 1981-2002. In this paper, the effect of excess narrow money (M1) on inflation in Indonesia before, during, and after the Asian crisis is empirically examined.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Finding show that money -when measured by P-star or, alternatively: the real money gap -plays an important role for explaining inflation in Sweden, so the model has been applied successfully for the prediction of inflation in Sweden. Anglingkusumo (2005) analyzes the relationship between money and inflation in Indonesia based on the P* model during 1981-2002. In this paper, the effect of excess narrow money (M1) on inflation in Indonesia before, during, and after the Asian crisis is empirically examined.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%