Evaluating urban housing development patterns in developing countries: Case study of Worn-out Urban Fabrics in Iran

Sarvari, Hadi; Mehrabi, Ali; Chan, Daniel W.M.; Cristofaro, Matteo

doi:10.1016/j.scs.2021.102941

Cited by 14 publications

(8 citation statements)

References 77 publications

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“…The status of Iran's housing market has been thus far evaluated separately from several perspectives in some studies, e.g. reflecting on the capacity of market-making policies to improve housing supply to low-income groups in developing countries like Iran (Keivani et al, 2008), examining the role of oil economy in Iran's housing market (Khiabani, 2015), analyzing population crisis and housing prices in Iran (Gholipour and Farzanegan, 2015), investigating the trend of divorce and rising housing prices in Iran's oil economy , considering the relationship between housing prices and income inequality in the last three decades in Iran , exploring the relationship between housing policies and access to housing (Azmoodeh et al, 2020), reviewing the critical pathology of Iranian housing policies (Zarghamfard et al, 2020), evaluating urban housing development patterns in Iran (Sarvari et al, 2021) and analyzing the relationship between Iran's population and housing policies (Ghaedrahmati and Zarghamfard, 2021). In both Iran and Turkey, the housing sector is very important in their economy and both nations seek to attract more investments.…”

Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Turkey, the second home for Iranians: push and pull motivations in Turkish housing market

Ghaedrahmati,

Rezaei

2024

JERER

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PurposeThis paper examines the main drives of encouraging Iranian investors in the Turkish real estate market, focusing on the interface between push factors and pull factors that drive them abroad.Design/methodology/approachThis paper examines the main drives of encouraging Iranian investors in the Turkish real estate market, focusing on the interface between push factors and pull factors that drive them abroad. For this purpose, the trend of housing price growth in Iran and Turkey was compared. The review of the 11-year trend of rates shows that housing prices in both countries have been continuously rising, and these prices have undoubtedly experienced increasing shocks in Iran. For further analysis, 13 main variables leading to the repulsion of investment in Iran's housing market and 15 variables shaping the attractiveness of investment in Turkey were identified in this sector. Thirty experts subsequently ranked the significant variables based on a closed-end questionnaire using quantitative strategic planning matrix. Examining housing investment elasticity in Turkey also shows that “Turkey's economic stability compared to neighboring countries” and “acquiring Turkish citizenship through real estate investment” are among the most important variables. On the other hand, the pressure variables of housing investment in Iran were “decrease in the value of the Iranian currency in recent years,” “currency price fluctuations” and “severe fluctuations and instability in the Iranian housing market.”FindingsExamining housing investment elasticity in Turkey also shows that “Turkey's economic stability compared to neighboring countries” and “acquiring Turkish citizenship through real estate investment” are among the most important variables. On the other hand, the pressure variables of housing investment in Iran were “decrease in the value of the Iranian currency in recent years,” “currency price fluctuations” and “severe fluctuations and instability in the Iranian housing market.”Originality/valueFrom a theoretical standpoint, foreign investment is in support of Turkey and harmful to Iran because the Turkish government is bolstering investment attractiveness to bring increased capital inflows into this country. Practically speaking, Turkey has aimed to create a rational framework for investors by strengthening and changing its economic system, as well as amending existing constitutions in this domain. Nevertheless, Iran resists any changes in its economic system and legislation. Therefore, a wide range of attractiveness and repulsion variables has led to the migration of Iranian investors to Turkey. In the present study, such variables are illuminated.

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Section: Discussionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Turkey, the second home for Iranians: push and pull motivations in Turkish housing market

Ghaedrahmati,

Rezaei

2024

JERER

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“…CRCBPs comprise a series of interconnected sidewalk shops designed and constructed in conjunction with entertainment, residential, office, hotel, restaurant, and cinema spaces [5]. In order to achieve economic growth, developing countries are forced to increase investment in infrastructures [21]. In fact, development of an infrastructure, such as construction of CRCBPs, can positively affect economic development [22].…”

Section: Commercial and Recreational Complex Building Projects (Crcbps)mentioning

confidence: 99%

Identification and Prioritization of Critical Risk Factors of Commercial and Recreational Complex Building Projects: A Delphi Study Using the TOPSIS Method

et al. 2021

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Construction development of Commercial and Recreational Complex Building Projects (CRCBPs) is one of the community needs of many developing countries. Since the implementation of these projects is usually very costly, identifying and evaluating their Critical Risk Factors (CRFs) are of significant importance. Therefore, the current study aims to identify and prioritize CRFs of CRCBPs in the Iranian context. A descriptive-survey method was used in this research; the statistical population, selected based on the purposive sampling method, includes 30 construction experts with hands-on experience in CRCBPs. A questionnaire related to the risk identification stage was developed based on a detailed study of the research literature and also using the Delphi survey method; 82 various risks were finally identified. In order to confirm the opinions of experts in identifying the potential risks, Kendall’s coefficient of concordance was used. In the first stage of data analysis, qualitative evaluation was performed by calculating the severity of risk effect and determining the cumulative risk index, based on which 25 CRFs of CRCBPs were identified for more accurate evaluation. At this stage, the identified CRFs were evaluated based on multi-criteria decision-making techniques and using the TOPSIS technique. Results show that the ten CRFs of CRCBPs are external threats from international relations, exchange rate changes, bank interest rate fluctuations, traffic licenses, access to skilled labor, changes in regional regulations, the condition of adjacent buildings, fluctuations and changes in inflation, failure to select a suitable and qualified consultant, and employer’s previous experiences and records. Obviously, the current study’s results and findings can be considered by CRCBPs in both the private and public sectors for proper effective risk identification, evaluation, and mitigation.

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“…With the rapid advancement of science and technology and the resulting developments, many decisions are affected, especially in complex and ambiguous cases, as well as due to organizational and operational breadth (Sarvari et al , 2021; Dabiri et al , 2021). In such cases, due to the specialization of topics and the specific complexity of the issues, as well as the lack of knowledge, awareness and individual skills, individual decision-making cannot be used and group interaction should be focused.…”

Section: Literature Reviewmentioning

confidence: 99%

A hybrid risk assessment approach for assessing the earthquake risks in worn-out urban fabrics: a case study in Iran

Sadeghi

Oghabi

Sarvari

et al. 2021

IJDRBE

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Purpose To reduce financial and human losses, managing risks associated with earthquakes is essential in practice. However, in using common risk management methods, experts are often faced with ambiguities that can create profound challenges for risk management. Therefore, it is necessary to develop a logical and straightforward risk assessment model to provide scientific and accurate answers to complex problems. This study aims to recommend an innovative combined method based on the probability-impact (P-I) approach and intuitionistic fuzzy set theory to identify and prioritize the essential earthquake risks associated with worn-out urban fabrics in the context of Iran. Design/methodology/approach The opinions of 15 experts in the fields of civil engineering and urban construction were gathered during brainstorming sessions. These brainstorming sessions were conducted to determine the probability of risks and the effect of identified risks. After calculating the severity of risks using the P-I approach and converting them to intuitionistic fuzzy sets, the risks were measured and prioritized based on their individual scores. Findings The study results indicated that risk of damage due to buildings’ age and flooding risk had the highest and lowest priorities in causes of financial damage, respectively. Furthermore, the risk of damage due to building quality (demolition) and building age was the most important. The risk of flooding and damage to communication networks has the lowest importance among causes of fatalities in worn-out urban fabrics. Originality/value The study findings and recommendations can be served as a policy and consultative instrument for the relevant stakeholders in the area of urban management.

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Evaluating urban housing development patterns in developing countries: Case study of Worn-out Urban Fabrics in Iran

Cited by 14 publications

References 77 publications

Turkey, the second home for Iranians: push and pull motivations in Turkish housing market

Turkey, the second home for Iranians: push and pull motivations in Turkish housing market

Identification and Prioritization of Critical Risk Factors of Commercial and Recreational Complex Building Projects: A Delphi Study Using the TOPSIS Method

A hybrid risk assessment approach for assessing the earthquake risks in worn-out urban fabrics: a case study in Iran

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