1988
DOI: 10.1111/j.1745-9125.1988.tb00829.x
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Criminal Career Research: Its Value for Criminology*

Abstract: In a recent paper published in this journal, Gottfredson and Hirschi (1986)' argue that the concepts of criminal careers, career criminals, selective incapacitation, prevalence, and incidence, and longitudinal studies all have little value for criminologv. In our view their paper misrepresents these concepts and our research on these topics. We are pleased to have the opportunity in this paper to develop these concepts more clearly and to show their relevance for criminology.

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Cited by 522 publications
(224 citation statements)
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References 11 publications
(5 reference statements)
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“…On the other hand, it could also be that, as the series become longer, offenders are modifying their offending which results in the patterns observed. In line with a more traditional view of criminal career (Blumstein, Cohen, & Farrington, 1988) crime. This result is also consistent with the learning process hypothesis suggesting that most offenders learn from their past experiences and will try something different (i.e., committing a crime in a different way, at a different place) after the first few offenses in order to determine what strategy works best for successfully achieving their goal (e.g., Cusson, 1993;Rossmo, 2000;Sorochinski & Salfati, 2010).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 53%
“…On the other hand, it could also be that, as the series become longer, offenders are modifying their offending which results in the patterns observed. In line with a more traditional view of criminal career (Blumstein, Cohen, & Farrington, 1988) crime. This result is also consistent with the learning process hypothesis suggesting that most offenders learn from their past experiences and will try something different (i.e., committing a crime in a different way, at a different place) after the first few offenses in order to determine what strategy works best for successfully achieving their goal (e.g., Cusson, 1993;Rossmo, 2000;Sorochinski & Salfati, 2010).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 53%
“…American criminals, like foreign terrorists, were seen by incapacitation theory as "intractable and insusceptible to change" ( [11], p. 15). The rationale for incapacitation through imprisonment was that crimes that would otherwise be committed could be prevented if these offenders could be removed from the population.…”
Section: Mass Incapacitation and American Criminologymentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Bernard and Ritti (1991) as well as Andersson (1993) based their calculations of selective policy effects on a classification with a limit of two convictions (or arrests or institutionalizations in case of Bernard and Ritti). The international criminological literature generally uses five contacts with police or judicial authorities to define the frequent offender (Barnett and Lofaso 1985;Blumstein et al 1988;Kempf-Leonard et al 2001). Since our study pertains to Dutch data, and we want to stay close to the policy measures recently introduced in the Netherlands, we use 3, 5 or 10 prior convictions for selection into the selective treatment and standard prison terms of 2, 5, 10, 20 years.…”
mentioning
confidence: 99%