Conditional Deterrence: Why Do Actors Engage in Extreme Wars?

Kang, Kyungkook; Kugler, Jacek

doi:10.2139/ssrn.1030657

Cited by 2 publications

(2 citation statements)

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“…If a dissatisfied power develops missile defenses, then deterrence stability might be reduced. 42 The challenge for the dominant power in the international system and its coalition is to guarantee that emerging nuclear weapons states are satisfied with the international status quo. 43 The George W. Bush administration was correct to view limited missile defense and further strategic arms reductions as stabilizing.…”

Section: Conclusion and Recommendationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Conditional Deterrence and Missile Defense

Gibilterra

2015

Comparative Strategy

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The traditional view of ballistic missile defense is that defensive weapons are destabilizing. This article explains why the more broadly and traditionally accepted classical approach to deterrence is flawed and demonstrates the greater explanatory power and implications of conditional deterrence based on power parity theory. Given the implications that can be drawn from conditional deterrence, this article demonstrates that limited efforts at developing and deploying missile defenses enhance deterrence and reduce the ballistic missile threat in the short term and may also discourage the proliferation of ballistic missiles and weapons of mass destruction.

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Section: Conclusion and Recommendationsmentioning

confidence: 99%

Conditional Deterrence and Missile Defense

Gibilterra

2015

Comparative Strategy

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“…It was adopted in the correct prediction of the rise of China and India to major power status by Wilson and Purushothaman (2003), Maddison (2003), Organski (1958) and Fogel (2007). Other successful application of PT includes Kang and Kugler's integrated formal deterrence structure using a game theoretic approach (Kang and Kugler, 2007), Abdollahian and Kang's analysis of conflict in multiple level among subnational, national and regional actors (Abdollahian and Kang, 2008), Alsharabati and Kugler's theorization on the stability of deterrence building (Alsharabati and ), Abdollahian's development of a system of nonlinear differential equations to simulate the structural conditions that lead to inter-state conflict or co-operation (Abdollahian, 1996) among other breakthrough in scholarship (Coan and Kuglar, 2008;Arbetman-Rabinwitz and Johnson, 2008;Feng et al, 2008). Recognizing PT as a powerful framework of analysis Dicocco and Levy concluded that PT is a lively and expanding research program that has moved forward in several important substantive directions .…”

Section: The Theoretical Foundation Of the Uyo Schoolmentioning

confidence: 99%

National power and the search for a generalized theory of terrorist target selection: An introduction to the Uyo School

Dode¹,

Ufomba²

2014

Afr. J. Pol. Sci. Int. Relat.

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The assumption that terrorist organizations (TO) select their target(s) putting into consideration its own limited resources and the impact of the selected target on the national power of the victim state has been the underlying assumption of the Uyo School. In the face of the increasing search to uncover the determinant of terrorist target selection which has become central in terrorism literature does the Uyo School provide a generalized theory on the issue? And are its assumptions robust enough to provide the needed theoretical framework as a research program for more rigorous and scientific study on the subject matter? This paper makes a presentation of the core propositions of the school. It concludes that the school provides the most promising theorization on the subject.

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Conditional Deterrence: Why Do Actors Engage in Extreme Wars?

Cited by 2 publications

References 50 publications

Conditional Deterrence and Missile Defense

Conditional Deterrence and Missile Defense

National power and the search for a generalized theory of terrorist target selection: An introduction to the Uyo School

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