Climate change in Nepal: a comprehensive analysis of instrumental data and people’s perceptions

Shrestha, Uttam Babu; Shrestha, Asheshwor Man; Aryal, Suman; Shrestha, Sujata; Gautam, Madhu Sudan; Ojha, Hemant

doi:10.1007/s10584-019-02418-5

Cited by 50 publications

(29 citation statements)

References 40 publications

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“…Ultimately, this gap creates difficulty in implementing disaster risk reduction plans or associated policies. It is evident that women are more concerned about environmental issues than men (Habtemariam et al 2016;Shrestha et al 2019). Members of the same community perceived different opinions toward several natural hazards, which influence them to take a different decision on a critical issue, resource allocation, and making policy (Alderman et al 1995).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Perceived and Actual Risks of Drought : Household and Expert Views From Lower Teesta River Basin of Northern Bangladesh

Salam

Ghose

Shill

et al. 2021

Preprint

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Disaster risk perception, as well as risk appraisal, play a pivotal role in making the disaster risk reduction policy. This study examines the actual vs perceived drought risks by constructing risk indices at the household and expert levels using survey data from the lower Teesta River Basin in northern Bangladesh. Survey data were collected from 450 farmers based on the structural questionnaire. A composite drought risk index was developed to understand households’ perceived and actual risks in the designated areas. The results show that the actual and perceived risk values differ significantly among the three designated sites of Ganai, Ismail, and Par Sekh Sundar. The risk levels also differ significantly across the household’s gender, income, occupation, and educational attainment. People with poor socio-economic status are more prone to drought risk than others. Results also reveal that the mean level of perceived risk agrees well with the actual risk; females perceive comparatively higher risk than males. Expert views on drought risk are similar to the individual household level perceived risk. The outcomes of this study would help the policy-makers and disaster managers to understand the concrete risk scenarios of the study areas and to take timely and appropriate disaster risk reduction actions for ensuring a drought-resistant society.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Perceived and Actual Risks of Drought : Household and Expert Views From Lower Teesta River Basin of Northern Bangladesh

Salam

Ghose

Shill

et al. 2021

Preprint

View full text Add to dashboard Cite

show abstract

“…Likewise, in Bangladesh, women play a significant role in household decision making including post-harvest operations, crop choice and selling, rearing small and large animals, purchasing and selling agricultural inputs and outputs in addition to their typical household role (Jaim and Hossain 2011;Sraboni et al 2014). Throughout the world, women are highly involved with the environment and more concerned regarding environmental issues than are men (Bord and O'Connor 1997;Liu et al 2014;Habtemariam et al 2016;Shrestha et al 2019). It is also well established that the climate change effects are not gender neutral, and there is a substantial gender disparity in climate change knowledge and access to resources (McCright 2010;FAO 2011;Peterman et al 2014).…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

An intra-household analysis of farmers’ perceptions of and adaptation to climate change impacts: empirical evidence from drought prone zones of Bangladesh

et al. 2019

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The agricultural sector is highly vulnerable to climate change, particularly in drought-prone environments. An understanding of perceptions, adaptation strategies, and their determinants including a gender analysis can benefit vulnerable farmers and policy makers. Using a survey of 360 farming household heads and their spouses, this study identified the intra-household perceptions and their determinants, the major strategies adopted by the farmers to adapt to climate change, and the factors that affect their adaptation decision and choice of strategies including the role of intra-household decision making in a drought prone environment of Bangladesh. The adaptation methods identified include short-duration and drought-tolerant rice varieties, supplementary irrigation for crop production, non-rice winter and horticultural crops, and improved channels for irrigation and water harvesting. Discrete choice model results indicate that age, household size, membership in any organization, access to credit,

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“…For instance, farmers can infer the probability of rain the next day from the number of stars at night. Therefore, experienced farmers were more likely to perceive climate change than inexperienced farmers [34,35]. Additionally, the education helps to give agricultural knowledge a mechanistic basis of understanding, so it may also be an important factor influencing farmers' perceptions [21].…”

Section: Frameworkmentioning

confidence: 99%

Irrigation Influencing Farmers’ Perceptions of Temperature and Precipitation: A Comparative Study of Two Regions of the Tibetan Plateau

et al. 2020

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Farmers are among the most vulnerable groups that need to adapt to climate change. Correct perception is a prerequisite for farmers to adopt adaptation strategies, which plays a crucial guiding role in the development of adaptation plans and the improvement of the security of livelihoods. This study aimed to compare farmers’ perceptions of temperature and precipitation change with meteorological data in two regions of the Tibetan Plateau, analyzed how irrigation affects farmers’ perceptions. Data were obtained from local meteorological stations and household questionnaires (N = 1005). The study found that, since 1987, the climate warming trend was significant (p < 0.01), and the temperature increase was faster in winter. Precipitation had no significant change trend, but the seasonal variations indicated that the precipitation concentration period moved forward in the Pumqu River Basin and was delayed a month in the Yellow River-Huangshui River valley. The farmers’ perception of temperature change was consistent with meteorological data, but there was an obvious difference in precipitation perception between the two regions. We noticed that irrigation facilities played a mediating role on precipitation perception and farmers having access to irrigation facilities were more likely to perceive increased precipitation. Finally, this study suggested that meteorological data and farmers’ perceptions should be integrated when developing policies, rather than just considering actual climate trends. Simultaneously, while strengthening irrigation investment, the government should also pay attention to publicizing the consequences of climate change and improving farmers’ abilities of risk perception.

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Climate change in Nepal: a comprehensive analysis of instrumental data and people’s perceptions

Cited by 50 publications

References 40 publications

Perceived and Actual Risks of Drought : Household and Expert Views From Lower Teesta River Basin of Northern Bangladesh

Perceived and Actual Risks of Drought : Household and Expert Views From Lower Teesta River Basin of Northern Bangladesh

An intra-household analysis of farmers’ perceptions of and adaptation to climate change impacts: empirical evidence from drought prone zones of Bangladesh

Irrigation Influencing Farmers’ Perceptions of Temperature and Precipitation: A Comparative Study of Two Regions of the Tibetan Plateau

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