An indepth actuarial assessment for wife assault recidivism: The Domestic violence risk appraisal guide.

Abstract

An actuarial tool, the Ontario Domestic Assault Risk Assessment (ODARA), predicts recidivism using only variables readily obtained by frontline police officers. Correctional settings permit more comprehensive assessments. In a subset of ODARA construction and cross-validation cases, 303 men with a police record for wife assault and a correctional system file, the VRAG, SARA, Danger Assessment, and DVSI also predicted recidivism, but the Hare Psychopathy Checklist (PCL-R) best improved prediction of recidivism, occurrence, frequency, severity, injury, and charges. In 346 new cases, ODARA and PCL-R independently predicted recidivism. An algorithm was derived for a combined instrument, the Domestic Violence Risk Appraisal Guide (DVRAG), and an experience table is presented (N=649). Results indicated the importance of antisociality in wife assault.

The role of psychopathic traits among intimate partner-violent men: A systematic review

“…Twenty-six studies examined the role of psychopathy to predict IPV perpetration among non-convicted partner-violent men (see Table 3; Babcock, Green, & Webb, 2008;Babcock, Green, Webb, & Yerington, 2005;Bates, Archer, & Graham-Kevan, 2017;Coyne, Nelson, Graham-Kevan, Keister, & Grant, 2010;Holtzworth-Munroe, Meehan, Herron, Rehman, & Stuart, 2000;Iyican, Sommer, Kini, & Babcock, 2015;Kiire, 2017;Mager, Bresin, & Verona, 2014;Marshall & Holtzworth-Munroe, 2010;Okano, Langille, & Walsh, 2016;Panuzio et al, 2006;Theobald, Farrington, Coid, & Piquero, 2015;Thornton, Graham-Kevan, & Archer, 2016;Walsh et al, 2010;Wymbs, Dawson, Suhr, Bunford, & Gidycz, 2017) and convicted male batterers (see Table 4; Cunha & Gonçalves, 2013;Harris, Hilton, & Rice, 2011;Hilton, Harris, & Rice, 2001;Hilton, Harris, Rice, Houghton, & Eke, 2008;Hornsveld, Bezuijen, Leenaars, & Kraaimaat, 2008;Juodis, Starzomski, Porter, & Woodworth, 2014a;Kalichman, 1988;Rock, Sellbom, Ben-Porath, & Salekin, 2013;Swogger, Walsh, & Kosson, 2007;Swogger, Walsh, Kosson, Cashman-Brown, & Caine 2012;Taft, Murphy, Musser, & Remington, 2004). …”

“…•EVIDENCE FROM STUDIES CONDUCTED WITH CONVICTED MALE BATTERERS Again, among convicted male batterers, most studies evidenced a significant positive small-to-moderate correlation (.22 ≤ r ≤ .39) between psychopathy and male-to-female IPV perpetration (Harris et al, 2011;Hilton et al, 2008;Rock et al, 2013;Taft et al, 2004).…”

Psychopathy: Assessment and Forensic Implications

“…116,118 There is debate about the relative effectiveness of actuarial risk instruments and structured clinical assessments, but the empirical evidence indicates that they perform about equally well. The former are empirically derived sets of static (primarily criminal history and demographic) risk factors, and include the VRAG, 117 the SORAG, 119 and the DVRAG, 120 instruments that improve considerably on unstructured clinical judgments or impressions. Procedures that include structured clinical decisions based on specific criteria are also proving to be useful.…”

Predictive Analytics and Risk Assessment: A Logical Response to Intimate Partner Homicide

“…Unstructured clinical predictions are based on the professional's training, experience, and observations of a specific client. A clear advantage of this method is that it allows for individualized tailoring of safety planning and prevention strategies in a victim-context situation (Hilton, et al, 2008;Kropp, et al 1999). A disadvantage, however, is that the method lacks rigor and raises questions concerning its reliability,…”