2021
DOI: 10.5540/tcam.2021.022.02.00157
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Fractional Derivatives Applied to Epidemiology

Abstract: We seek investigate the use of fractional derivatives, both analytically and through simulations. We derivate some models and perform investigations about them, discussing difficulties and differences between classic and fractional models. Also, we analyzed the COVID-19 pandemic using a fractional epidemiological SIR model and performed a numerical analysis using finite differences and implementation in MATLAB.

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Cited by 16 publications
(33 citation statements)
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References 18 publications
(26 reference statements)
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“…In [3] the role of the memory effect, introduced by fractional derivatives due to its non-local characteristics, is investigated in COVID-19 dynamics for several countries. A detailed study of the application of a fractional SIR model to the spread of COVID-19 in Brazil was carried out in [7]. It is important to stress that one important difference between our present work and the references [3,7] is that, while we consider two distinct populations in interaction, in [3,7] all people in the country belongs to a single population.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 95%
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“…In [3] the role of the memory effect, introduced by fractional derivatives due to its non-local characteristics, is investigated in COVID-19 dynamics for several countries. A detailed study of the application of a fractional SIR model to the spread of COVID-19 in Brazil was carried out in [7]. It is important to stress that one important difference between our present work and the references [3,7] is that, while we consider two distinct populations in interaction, in [3,7] all people in the country belongs to a single population.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 95%
“…The articles [3,7] focus on the role of fractional calculus to model the dynamic of COVID-19. Both works consider a fractional SIR model.…”
Section: Introductionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Finalizando, acreditamos que é possível modelar um sistema fisicamente, com formalismo semelhante ao dos "pais" Kermack e McKendrick, de maneira que o surgimento de derivadas fracionárias decorra de leis potenciais nas funções de infecciosidade e remoção. Assim, em [18], apresentamos uma derivação física de um modelo fracionário, seguindo os passos de Angstmann, Henry e Mc-Gann [3] e a linguagem probabilística dos Passeios Aleatórios em Tempo Contínuo (PATC). Ainda em [18], modelamos a COVID-19 em seus meses iniciais.…”
Section: Conclusõesunclassified
“…Assim, em [18], apresentamos uma derivação física de um modelo fracionário, seguindo os passos de Angstmann, Henry e Mc-Gann [3] e a linguagem probabilística dos Passeios Aleatórios em Tempo Contínuo (PATC). Ainda em [18], modelamos a COVID-19 em seus meses iniciais. Trabalhos futuros pretendem fornecer análises de parâmetros e um maior entendimento do problema de valor inicial e dos pontos de equilíbrio tanto do modelo fracionário discutido quanto do modelo apresentado em [18].…”
Section: Conclusõesunclassified
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