O rápido processo de envelhecimento populacional do Brasil: sérios desafios para as políticas públicas

Wong, Laura Rodríguez; Carvalho, José Alberto Magno de

doi:10.1590/s0102-30982006000100002

Cited by 174 publications

(177 citation statements)

References 9 publications

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“…This population requires greater investment of resources in health and social security. The brazilian government had been developing more efficient public policies to provide better quality of life conditions to elderly population 18 .…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Estado mental e impacto do zumbido em idosos

Gois

Pereira

et al. 2014

Rev. CEFAC

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Objetivo analisar o desempenho de uma população idosa no Mini Exame do Estado Mental; verificar os resultados da aplicação do Tinnitus Handicap Inventory (THI); averiguar a interferência das variáveis gênero, escolaridade e zumbido no desempenho geral no MEEM e THI; verificar possíveis relações do estado mental com o autorrelato das características psicoacústicas e escala emocional do THI. Métodos estudo clínico descritivo, exploratório, quantitativo e qualitativo em que se submeteram ao MEEM e THI, 108 voluntários, de gênero masculino e feminino, com idade entre 60 a 80 anos encaminhados da Coordenadoria de Atenção Básica de Itabaiana – SE. Para a análise dos dados foram utilizadas a distribuição percentual simples e a correlação de Spearman com p<0,05. Resultados a média de idade foi 65,63 anos. Os resultados no MEEM agruparam-se em quatro níveis de escolaridade: sem escolaridade (37,0%); ≥1 a ≤8 anos (55,6%); ≥9 a ≤11 anos (4,6%) e ≥12 anos (2,8%); a média no MEEM foi 21,7. Observou-se que 49,1% pontuaram abaixo da nota de corte, enquanto 50,9% apresentaram nota igual ou superior ao parâmetro adotado. No THI, observou-se que 59,3% apresentavam queixa de zumbido. Verificou-se que o zumbido interfere na qualidade de vida de 89,10% da população estudada. Conclusão uma parcela expressiva dos participantes apresentou alteração no MEEM. Não existiu associação significante entre gênero, escolaridade e pontuação do MEEM e THI e a maioria dos participantes desta pesquisa referiu prejuízo na qualidade de vida com associação ao zumbido. Inexistiu relação entre queixa das características psicoacústicas do zumbido e resultados exibidos pelo MEEM, todavia, os achados apontaram que a maioria da população testada autorrelataram presença de zumbido.

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Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

Estado mental e impacto do zumbido em idosos

Gois

Pereira

et al. 2014

Rev. CEFAC

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“…Considering demographic change in Brazil, Wong and Carvalho (2006) discuss the effect on labor supply and economic productivity and government expenditures. Brazilian economically active population (EAP) is expected to grow at least until 2045 and after this point tends to decrease.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The Retirement Consumption Puzzle: Evidences for Brazil and the State of Rio Grande Do Sul

Stampe

Porsse

Portugal

et al. 2017

RAE

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Abstract:The life cycle/permanent income theories predict that consumption would be constant over time but such result has been challenged by some empirical studies which show a systemic decrease in consumption at retirement. This paper aims to investigate the so-called retirement consumption puzzle for Brazil and the State of Rio Grande do Sul. We estimated consumption functions controlling age effects for 12 composite goods using information from the 2008-2009 Household Budget Survey. The results showed that households' expenditures systematic decrease with age for 7 composite goods (food, clothing, transport, hygiene, education, recreation and miscellaneous) and increase with age for 2 composite good (health care and housing). The patterns found to the households' expenditures by age structure brings evidence of retirement consumption puzzle in Brazil.Keywords: Households behavior. Demographics. Retirement consumption puzzle. Resumo:As teorias da renda permanente e do ciclo de vida predizem que o consumo é uma variável constante ao longo do tempo, porém esse resultado tem sido desafiado pelas evidencias empíricas de alguns estudos que mostram uma redução sistemática no consumo das famílias na aposentadoria. O objetivo do presente artigo é investigar o chamado enigma do consumo na aposentadoria para o caso do Brasil e do Estado do Rio Grande do Sul. Para tanto, a partir dada base de dados da Pesquisa de Orçamentos Familiares

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“…Their evaluation of economic and policy alternatives such as postponement of retirement, growing participation of women in formal labor markets, and reduction in benefit levels toward German or Italian levels demonstrate the large potential impact of policy action in limiting the fiscal impact of aging -with reductions in pension costs of 25% to 50% relative to their baseline projection. Wong and Carvalho (2006) in this journal examined the overall fiscal impact of population aging by considering pensions, health care, and education programs combined. Using estimates of benefits by age and taxes by age from Turra (2001), they examine a counterfactual in which these age profiles are fixed at current levels while the population ages.…”

Section: Introductionmentioning

confidence: 99%

The fiscal impact of population aging in Brazil: 2005-2050

Miller¹,

Castanheira²

2013

Rev. bras. estud. popul.

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In this paper, we estimate the fiscal impact on population aging in Brazil from 2005 through 2050. We focus on three key areas of public spending: education, pensions, and health care. Our projections are based on a simple model in which aggregate public expenditures are driven by changes in the age structure of the population as well as by changes in the average public benefits received per age. We assess the likely increases in public spending over the coming decades, contrasting the divergent trends in public spending on education, pensions, and health care. We also assess the magnitude of these changes in terms of growth in spending relative to GDP annually through 2050 and estimate the present value of the increase in spending. We find that changing population age structure will lead to increasing cost pressures in health care and especially in pensions. Our projections show that beginning around 2015, public spending will begin a sustained and rapid increase lasting several decades rising from 18% of GDP to reach 27% of GDP by 2050. The needs for increased investment in students will compete against those for sustaining pension benefits and facing increasing demands for health care. In particular, our projections show that an ambitious educational reform aimed at reaching the OECD level of investment per youth within a decade would amount to only about one fourth of the projected cost increases in public health and pension programs.

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O rápido processo de envelhecimento populacional do Brasil: sérios desafios para as políticas públicas

Cited by 174 publications

References 9 publications

Estado mental e impacto do zumbido em idosos

Estado mental e impacto do zumbido em idosos

The Retirement Consumption Puzzle: Evidences for Brazil and the State of Rio Grande Do Sul

The fiscal impact of population aging in Brazil: 2005-2050

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