The effects of conditional cash transfer programmes on adult labour supply: an empirical analysis using a time-series-cross-section sample of brazilian municipalities

Abstract

ResumoNeste trabalho, estimamos os efeitos dos Programas Condicionais de Transferência de Renda (PCTR), no Brasil, sobre a oferta de trabalho de mulheres e homens adultos. Para tanto, utilizamos o painel de municípios que são continuamente cobertos pela Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicílios (PNAD/ IBGE) durante o período entre 2001 e 2005. Os efeitos dos PCTR brasileiros são estimados tanto sobre a taxa de participação quanto sobre o número médio de horas trabalhadas. Como a PNAD não investiga diretamente a participação das famílias em PCTR, utilizamos um procedimento indireto para identificar as famílias beneficiárias desses programas. Nossos resultados indicam que os efeitos de interesse não são significativos tanto do ponto de vista estatístico como em termos de magnitude. Palavras-Chave programas sociais, oferta de trabalho, dados de painel AbstractIn this paper, we estimate the effects of the Conditional Cash Transfer (CCT) programmes in Brazil on the labour supply of adult males and females. We employ the panel of municipalities that are continuously investigated by the Pesquisa Nacional por Amostra de Domicílios (PNAD/IBGE) over the years [2001][2002][2003][2004][2005]. The effects of the Brazilian CCT programmes are estimated both on the participation rate and the mean number of hours worked. Since PNAD does not ask directly surveyed families about CCT programme participation, we use an indirect procedure to identify beneficiary families. Our results indicate that the effects of interest are not significant both on statistical grounds and in terms of magnitude.

The Effect of Unconditional Cash Transfers on Adult Labour Supply: A Unitary Discrete Choice Model for the Case of Ecuador

“…In the case of Mexico, Skoufias and Di Maro (2008) exploiting the experimental deign of the cash transfer programme PROGRESA found no significant effect on adult labour force participation and leisure time, but substantial reduction in poverty. Foguel and de Barros (2010) found positive effects of a conditional cash transfer programme on male labour participation in Brazil. Similar results were found by Barrientos and Villa (2013) using data from Colombia.…”

Argentina: Impacts of the child allowance programme on the labour-market behaviour of adults

“…A subsequent study by Ferro, Kassouf and Levison (2010) found similar results: the programme led to an increase in the economic participation of mothers and fathers in urban areas but had no significant effects in rural areas. Foguel and Paes de Barros (2010) find that the programme had null effects on the economic participation of women and a small impact among men. Regarding the number of hours worked, they find a negative effect of minor magnitude for women and no significant effects for men.…”

Os efeitos do Programa Bolsa Família sobre a duração do emprego formal dos indivíduos de baixa renda

“…It can be stated, based on a large amount of evidence, that there is no empirical support to sustain the work-disincentive hypothesis. [Oliveira and Soares, 2012:30] In addition to Oliveira and Soares (2012), a range of other studies indicate that there is no significant effect of the Bolsa Família on the labor supply of adult relatives, either from the statistical point of view or from the degree of magnitude (Ferro et al, 2010;Chitolina et al, 2016;Foguel and Barros, 2010;Soares, 2012). Most of the findings are related to the reduction of the number of working hours, especially by mothers and women.…”