[1] A series of satellite total solar irradiance (TSI) observations can be combined in a precise solar magnetic cycle length composite TSI database by determining the relationship between two non-overlapping components: ACRIM1 and ACRIM2. [Willson and Hudson, 1991;Willson, 1994] An ACRIM composite TSI time series using the Nimbus7/ERB results [Hoyt et al., 1992] to relate ACRIM1 and ACRIM2 demonstrates a secular upward trend of 0.05 percent-per-decade between consecutive solar activity minima. [Willson, 1997] A PMOD TSI composite using ERBS [Lee et al., 1995] comparisons to relate ACRIM1 and ACRIM2 [Fröhlich and Lean, 1998] differs from the ACRIM composite in two significant respects: a negligible trend between solar minima and lower TSI at solar maxima. Our findings indicate the lower PMOD trend and lower PMOD TSI at the maxima of solar cycles 22 and 23 are artifacts of ERBS degradation. Lower PMOD TSI during the maximum of cycle 21 results from modifications of Nimbus7/ERB and ACRIM1 published results that produces better agreement with a TSI/solar proxy model [Foukal and Lean, 1988;Lean et al., 1995; Frö hlich and Lean, 1998].
Context. Solar activity cycles vary in amplitude and duration. The variations can be at least partly explained by fluctuations in dynamo parameters. Aims. We want to restrict uncertainty in fluctuating dynamo parameters and find out which properties of the fluctuations control the amplitudes of the magnetic field and energy in variable dynamo cycles. Methods. A flux-transport model for the solar dynamo with fluctuations of the Babcock-Leighton type α-effect was applied to generate statistics of magnetic cycles for our purposes. The statistics were compared with data on solar cycle periods to restrict the correlation time of dynamo fluctuations. Results. A characteristic time of fluctuations in the α-effect is estimated to be close to the solar rotation period. The fluctuations produce asymmetry between the times of rise and descent of dynamo cycles, the rise time being on average shorter. The affect of the fluctuations on cycle amplitudes depends on the phase of the cycle in which the fluctuations occur. Negative fluctuations (decrease in α) in the rise phase delay decay of poloidal field and increase the cycle amplitude in toroidal field and magnetic energy. Negative fluctuation in the decline phase reduces the polar field at the end of a cycle and the amplitude of the next cycle. The low amplitude of the 24th solar cycle compared to the preceding 23rd cycle can be explained by this effect. Positive fluctuations in the descent phase enhance the magnetic energy of the next cycle by increasing the seed poloidal field for the next cycle. The statistics of the computed energies of the cycles suggest that superflares of ≥ 10 34 erg are not possible on the Sun.
Detailed study of the solar magnetic field is crucial to understand its generation, transport and reversals. The timing of the reversals may have implications on space weather and thus identification of the temporal behavior of the critical surges that lead to the polar field reversals is important. We analyze the evolution of solar activity and magnetic flux transport in Cycles 21–24. We identify critical surges of remnant flux that reach the Sun’s poles and lead to the polar field reversals. We reexamine the polar field buildup and reversals in their causal relation to the Sun’s low-latitude activity. We further identify the major remnant flux surges and their sources in the time-latitude aspect. We find that special characteristics of individual 11-year cycles are generally determined by the spatiotemporal organization of emergent magnetic flux and its unusual properties. We find a complicated restructuring of high-latitude magnetic fields in Cycle 21. The global rearrangements of solar magnetic fields were caused by surges of trailing and leading polarities that occurred near the activity maximum. The decay of non-Joy and anti-Hale active regions resulted in the remnant flux surges that disturbed the usual order in magnetic flux transport. We finally show that the leading-polarity surges during cycle minima sometimes link the following cycle and a collective effect of these surges may lead to secular changes in the solar activity. The magnetic field from a Babcock–Leighton dynamo model generally agrees with these observations.
Synoptic magnetograms and relevant proxy data were analyzed to study the evolution of the Sun's polar magnetic fields. Time-latitude analysis of large-scale magnetic fields demonstrates cyclic changes in their zonal structure and the polar-field buildup. The time-latitude distributions of the emergent and remnant magnetic flux enable us to examine individual features of recent cycles. The poleward transport of predominantly following polarities contributed much of the polar flux and led to polar-field reversals. Multiple reversals of dominant polarities at the Sun's poles were identified in Cycles 20 and 21. Three-fold reversals were caused by remnant flux surges of following and leading polarities. Time-latitude analysis of solar magnetic fields in Cycles 20-24 revealed zones which are characterized by a predominance of negative (non-Joy's) tilts and appearance of active regions which violate Hale's polarity law. The decay of non-Joy's and anti-Hale's active regions result in remnant flux surges which disturb the usual order in magnetic flux transport and sometimes lead to multiple reversals of polar fields. The analysis of local and large-scale magnetic fields in their causal relation improved our understanding of the Sun's polar field weakening.
Relations between basic indices of the Sun and the cosmogenic isotope 14 C and 10 Be records were derived using the Artificial Neural Network (ANN) technique. A reconstruction of the sunspot indices and changes in Total Solar Irradiance (TSI) was carried out. Long-term changes in TSI appear in the amplitude modulation of its 11-year cyclic variation as well as in its lower envelope describing variability of the background irradiance of the Sun. According to the reconstruction the irradiance has increased about 2.5 W m −2 since 1441.
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