This paper proposes a meta-modeling workflow to forecast the cooling and heating loads of buildings at individual and district levels in the early design stage. Seven input variables, with large impacts on building loads, are selected for designing meta-models to establish the MySQL database. The load profiles of office, commercial, and hotel models are simulated with EnergyPlus in batches. A sequence-to-sequence (Seq2Seq) model based on the deep-learning method of a one-dimensional convolutional neural network (1D-CNN) is introduced to achieve rapid forecasting of all-year hourly building loads. The method performs well with the load effective hour rate (LEHR) of around 90% and MAPE less than 10%. Finally, this meta-modeling workflow is applied to a district as a case study in Shanghai, China. The forecasting results well match the actual loads with R2 of 0.9978 and 0.9975, respectively, for the heating and cooling load. The LEHR value of all-year hourly forecasting loads is 98.4%, as well as an MAPE of 4.4%. This meta-modeling workflow expands the applicability of building-physics-based methods and improves the time resolution of conventional data-driven methods. It shows small forecasting errors and fast computing speed while meeting the required precision and convenience of engineering in the building early design stage.
The concept of green building plays an important role in carbon emission reduction. This paper focuses on the energy conservation in the building operational phase to assess the carbon emission reduction potential of several major green building technologies. Energy use intensity is simulated using EnergyPlus with prototypical models of various green building scenarios for office buildings and hotels in Shanghai and Harbin. The carbon emission factor is calculated according to the energy structure in the building sector in China. Results shows that passive technologies such as daylighting and natural ventilation can bring significant reductions in carbon emissions followed by retrofitting of building envelopes and energy efficiency improvement of HVAC equipment. Covering all green building technologies considered, the total operational carbon emission reduction rate can reach nearly 19% for office buildings and 25% for hotels.
This study examined three different approaches to reduce the heating cost while maintaining indoor thermal comfort at acceptable levels in an educational office building, including decentralized (DDRC) and centralized demand response control (CDRR) and limiting peak demand. The results showed that although all these approaches did not affect the indoor air temperature significantly, the DDRC method could adjust the heating set point to between 20–24.5 °C. The DDRC approach reached heating cost savings of up to 5% while controlling space heating temperature without sacrificing the thermal comfort. The CDRC of space heating had limited potential in heating cost savings (1.5%), while the indoor air temperature was in the acceptable range. Both the DDRC and CDRC alternatives can keep the thermal comfort at good levels during the occupied time. Depending on the district heating provider, applying peak demand limiting of 35% can not only achieve 13.6% maximum total annual district heating cost saving but also maintain the thermal comfort level, while applying that of 43% can further save 16.9% of the cost, but with sacrificing a little thermal comfort. This study shows that demand response on heating energy only benefited from the decentralized control alternative, and the district heating-based peak demand limiting has significant potential for saving heating costs.
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