To mitigate risk and enhance safety in oil port, this study proposes a method to analyze the civil liability risk and criminal liability risk of oil spills in oil port. By scenario analysis and data analysis, this study estimates the probability, spillage, casualty, actual compensation and total spill cost of each spillage scenario, including loading arm/hose rupture and hull failure when a vessel is berthing, maneuvering near a berth and moving through the port. Based on these estimated factors and the legal liability, the civil liability risk and criminal liability risk borne by the oil ports and ship owners are respectively estimated. Finally, data of an oil terminal in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area are taken as a study case to verify the applicability of the proposed method. The estimated probability and consequence can help to judge which scenario would result in crime and provide reference for emergency capacity equipping, and the estimated risks are useful to loss mitigation and crime prevention. The findings and analysis reveal the low compensation ratio and the inconsistency in the incriminating standards of oil spills in China, so it is suggested to strengthen the enforcement of civil compensation and unity the incriminating standards.
scite is a Brooklyn-based organization that helps researchers better discover and understand research articles through Smart Citations–citations that display the context of the citation and describe whether the article provides supporting or contrasting evidence. scite is used by students and researchers from around the world and is funded in part by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute on Drug Abuse of the National Institutes of Health.