A quantitative liability risk assessment of oil spills in oil ports: the case of the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area

Abstract

To mitigate risk and enhance safety in oil port, this study proposes a method to analyze the civil liability risk and criminal liability risk of oil spills in oil port. By scenario analysis and data analysis, this study estimates the probability, spillage, casualty, actual compensation and total spill cost of each spillage scenario, including loading arm/hose rupture and hull failure when a vessel is berthing, maneuvering near a berth and moving through the port. Based on these estimated factors and the legal liability, the civil liability risk and criminal liability risk borne by the oil ports and ship owners are respectively estimated. Finally, data of an oil terminal in the Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area are taken as a study case to verify the applicability of the proposed method. The estimated probability and consequence can help to judge which scenario would result in crime and provide reference for emergency capacity equipping, and the estimated risks are useful to loss mitigation and crime prevention. The findings and analysis reveal the low compensation ratio and the inconsistency in the incriminating standards of oil spills in China, so it is suggested to strengthen the enforcement of civil compensation and unity the incriminating standards.

Emerging Ict and Port Community Systems: A Survey of Scientific Literature

“…The comparison "PCS wave-work area" identified the couple "IoT-L&T" as the one with the highest number of publications in common (10). The comparison "PCS wave-geographical distribution" identified the couple "IoT-ME" as the one with the highest number of publications in common (7). The comparison "work area-geographical distribution" identified the couple "L&T-ME" as the one with the highest number of publications in common (16).…”

“…The first-generation of ports was built close to the cities, and it was the dominant model for centuries [4], [5]. The second-generation of ports was built close to industrial areas to support the supply of raw materials and final products of industrial plants in the second half of the 20th century [6], [7]. The third-generation of ports emerged after 1980s, principally due to worldwide diffusion of container and to the growing requirements of the international trade, becoming generators of added value.…”