Implementation of the intelligent elevator control systems based on machine-learning algorithms should play an important role in our effort to improve the sustainability and convenience of multi-floor buildings. Traditional elevator control algorithms are not capable of operating efficiently in the presence of uncertainty caused by random flow of people. As opposed to conventional elevator control approach, the proposed algorithm utilizes the information about passenger group sizes and their waiting time, provided by the image acquisition and processing system. Next, this information is used by the probabilistic decision-making model to conduct Bayesian inference and update the variable parameters. The proposed algorithm utilizes the variable elimination technique to reduce the computational complexity associated with calculation of marginal and conditional probabilities, and Expectation-Maximization algorithm to ensure the completeness of the data sets. The proposed algorithm was evaluated by assessing the correspondence level of the resulting decisions with expected ones. Significant improvement in correspondence level was obtained by adjusting the probability distributions of the variables affecting the decision-making process. The aim was to construct a decision engine capable to control the elevators actions, in way that improves user's satisfaction. Both sensitivity analysis and evaluation study of the implemented model, according to several scenarios, are presented. The overall algorithm proved to exhibit the desired behavior, in 94% case of the scenarios tested.

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A fast and reliable vertical transportation system is an important component of modern office buildings. Optimization of elevator control strategies can be easily done using the state-of-the-art artificial intelligence (AI) algorithms. This study presents a novel method for optimal dispatching of conventional passenger elevators using the information obtained by surveillance cameras. It is assumed that a real-time video is processed by an image processing system that determines the number of passengers and items waiting for an elevator car in hallways and riding the lifts. It is supposed that these numbers are also associated with a given uncertainly probability. The efficiency of our novel elevator control algorithm is achieved not only by the probabilistic utilization of the number of people and/or items waiting but also from the demand to exhaustively serve a crowded floor, directing to it as many elevators as there are available and filling them up to the maximum allowed weight. The proposed algorithm takes into account the uncertainty that can take place due to inaccuracy of the image processing system, introducing the concept of effective number of people and items using Bayesian networks. The aim is to reduce the waiting time. According to the simulation results, the implementation of the proposed algorithm resulted in reduction of the passenger journey time. The proposed approach was tested on a 10-storey office building with five elevator cars and traffic size and intensity varying from 10 to 300 and 0.01 to 3, respectively. The results showed that, for the interfloor traffic conditions, the average travel time for scenarios with varying traffic size and intensity improved by 39.94% and 19.53%, respectively.

The proposed study presents a novel probabilistic method for optimal allocation of spinning reserves taking into consideration load, wind and solar forecast errors, inter-zonal spinning reserve trading, and demand response provided by consumers as a single framework. The model considers the system contingencies due to random generator outages as well as the uncertainties caused by load and renewable energy forecast errors. The study utilizes a novel approach to model wind speed and its direction using the bivariate parametric model. The proposed model is applied to the IEEE two-area reliability test system (RTS) to analyze the influence of inter-zonal power generation and demand response (DR) on the adequacy and economic efficiency of energy systems. In addition, the study analyzed the effect of the bivariate wind prediction model on obtained results. The results demonstrate that the presence of inter-zonal capacity in ancillary service markets reduce the total expected energy not supplied (EENS) by 81.66%, while inclusion of a DR program results in an additional 1.76% reduction of EENS. Finally, the proposed bivariate wind prediction model showed a 0.27% reduction in spinning reserve requirements, compared to the univariate model.

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Purpose This study aims to introduce a methodology for optimal allocation of spinning reserves taking into account load, wind and solar generation by application of the univariate and bivariate parametric models, conventional intra and inter-zonal spinning reserve capacity as well as demand response through utilization of capacity outage probability tables and the equivalent assisting unit approach. Design/methodology/approach The method uses a novel approach to model wind power generation using the bivariate Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern probability density function (PDF). The study also uses the Bayesian network (BN) algorithm to perform the adjustment of spinning reserve allocation, based on the actual unit commitment of the previous hours. Findings The results show that the utilization of bivariate wind prediction model along with reserve allocation adjustment algorithm improve reliability of the power grid by 2.66% and reduce the total system operating costs by 1.12%. Originality/value The method uses a novel approach to model wind power generation using the bivariate Farlie–Gumbel–Morgenstern PDF. The study also uses the BN algorithm to perform the adjustment of spinning reserve allocation, based on the actual unit commitment of the previous hours.