A quasi-one-dimensional dense-snow avalanche model has been developed to predict avalanche runout and flow velocity in a general two-dimensional terrain. The model contains three different dense-snow-avalanche flow laws. These are: (1) a Voellmy-fluid flow law with longitudinal active/passive straining, (2) a Voellmy-fluid flow law advanced bv Russian researchers in which the Coulomb-like drv friction is limited bv a yield stress, a~d (3) a modified Criminale-Ericksen-Filby fluid m~del proposed by No;wegian researchers. The application of the Voellmy-fluid law with active/passive straining to solve practical avalanche-dynamics problems is evaluated by applying the model to simulate laboratory experiments and field case-studies. The model is additionally evaluated by comparing simulation results using the Russian and Norwegian models. In a final analysis the influence of the initial conditions on avalanche runout is investigated. vVeconclude that the model resolves many of the shortcomings of the Voellmy-Salm model, which is traditionally used in Switzerland to predict avalanche runout. Furthermore, sinee the model contains the three well-calibrated parameters of the Swiss Guidelines on avalanche calculation it can be readily applied in practice. vVediscuss why we believe the Russian and Norwegian models are not ready for practical application. Finally, we show that many problems remain, such as the specification of the initial release conditions. vVe conclude that numerical models require a more detailed description of initial fracture conditions.
This paper demonstrates the application of cost effectiveness analysis and cost benefit analysis to alternative avalanche risk reduction strategies in Davos, Switzerland. The advantages as well as limitations of such analysis for natural hazards planning are discussed with respect to 16 avalanche risk reduction strategies. Scenarios include risk reduction measures that represent the main approaches to natural hazards planning in Switzerland, such as technical, organisational, and land use planning measures. The methodologies used outline how concepts and techniques from risk analysis, hazard mapping, Geographic Information System, and economics can be interdisciplinary combined. The results suggest important considerations, such as possible sources of uncertainty due to different choices in the calculation of cost effectiveness ratio and net present value. Given the parameters and assumptions, it seems as if the current approach to avalanche risk reduction in the study area approximates to economic and cost efficiency and serves the aim of reducing risk to human fatalities.
A quasi-one-dimensional dense-snow avalanche model has been developed to predict avalanche runout and flow velocity in a general two-dimensional terrain. The model contains three different dense-snow-avalanche flow laws. These are: (1) a Voellmy-fluid flow law with longitudinal active/passive straining, (2) a Voellmy-fluid flow-law advanced by Russian researchers in which the Coulomb-like dry friction is limited by a yield stress, and (3) a modified Criminale—Ericksen—Filby fluid model proposed by Norwegian researchers. The application of the Voellmy-fluid law with active/passive straining to solve practical avalanche-dynamics problems is evaluated by applying the model to simulate laboratory experiments and field case-studies. The model is additionally evaluated by comparing simulation results using the Russian and Norwegian models. In a final analysis the influence of the initial conditions on avalanche runout is investigated. We conclude that the model resolves many of the shortcomings of the Voellmy–Salm model, which is traditionally used in Switzerland to predict avalanche runout. Furthermore, since the model contains the three well-calibrated parameters of the Swiss Guidelines on avalanche calculation it can be readily applied in practice. We discuss why we believe the Russian and Norwegian models are not ready for practical application. Finally, we show that many problems remain, such as the specification of the initial release conditions. We conclude that numerical models require a more detailed description of initial fracture conditions.
During winter 1999 three large avalanche events were triggered by explosives at SLF’s avalanche test site, Vallée de la Sionne, canton Valais, Switzerland. One important goal of these large-scale field experiments was to measure the release and deposition volumes of avalanches by photogrammetric methods. In this paper, the photogrammetric measurements of all three avalanches are summarized. For one avalanche event it was possible to realize the whole measuring procedure as planned, and to obtain volume measurements before and after the avalanche triggering In the other two avalanche events, the photographs before the triggering of the avalanche failed. Nevertheless the photographs taken after the avalanche provide valuable information on the fracture depth at the fracture line. The mean fracture depth of the largest avalanche was about 2.10 m, varying between 1 and 3.5 m over a width of > 1000 m. The total volume of the deposition of all three avalanche events was about 1300 000 m3. The deposits are distributed over a length of > 1000 m with depths up to 30 m. The difference between the released and deposited volumes proved that avalanches entrain a large amount of snow along the avalanche track. Furthermore, the snow distribution in the deposition zone provides important information about the behaviour of a dense flowing avalanche in the runout zone.
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