Abstract. In 2015 large parts of Europe were affected by drought. In this paper, we analyze the hydrological footprint (dynamic development over space and time) of the drought of 2015 in terms of both severity (magnitude) and spatial extent and compare it to the extreme drought of 2003. Analyses are based on a range of low flow and hydrological drought indices derived for about 800 streamflow records across Europe, collected in a community effort based on a common protocol. We compare the hydrological footprints of both events with the meteorological footprints, in order to learn from similarities and differences of both perspectives and to draw conclusions for drought management. The region affected by hydrological drought in 2015 differed somewhat from the drought of 2003, with its center located more towards eastern Europe. In terms of low flow magnitude, a region surrounding the Czech Republic was the most affected, with summer low flows that exhibited return intervals of 100 years and more. In terms of deficit volumes, the geographical center of the event was in southern Germany, where the drought lasted a particularly long time. A detailed spatial and temporal assessment of the 2015 event showed that the particular behavior in these regions was partly a result of diverging wetness preconditions in the studied catchments. Extreme droughts emerged where preconditions were particularly dry. In regions with wet preconditions, low flow events developed later and tended to be less severe. For both the 2003 and 2015 events, the onset of the hydrological drought was well correlated with the lowest flow recorded during the event (low flow magnitude), pointing towards a potential for early warning of the severity of streamflow drought. Time series of monthly drought indices (both streamflow- and climate-based indices) showed that meteorological and hydrological events developed differently in space and time, both in terms of extent and severity (magnitude). These results emphasize that drought is a hazard which leaves different footprints on the various components of the water cycle at different spatial and temporal scales. The difference in the dynamic development of meteorological and hydrological drought also implies that impacts on various water-use sectors and river ecology cannot be informed by climate indices alone. Thus, an assessment of drought impacts on water resources requires hydrological data in addition to drought indices based solely on climate data. The transboundary scale of the event also suggests that additional efforts need to be undertaken to make timely pan-European hydrological assessments more operational in the future.
Abstract. Numerous indices exist for the description of hydrological drought. The EURO FRIEND-Water Low flow and Drought Group has repeatedly discussed changing paradigms in the perception and use of existing and emerging new indices for hydrological drought identification and characterization. Group members have also tested the communication of different indices to stakeholders in several national and international transdisciplinary research projects. This contribution presents the experience gained with regard to the purpose and applicability of different classes of drought indices. A recent paradigm shift is the use of anomalies, traditionally from climatology, in hydrology. For instance, anomaly-based indices, such as the Standardized Streamflow Index (SSI) and the variable threshold level method to define streamflow deficiencies, are used increasingly for real-time monitoring. How these indices relate to low flows and their impacts may have become less clear as a result. Assessments of the severity of a particular drought may also differ depending on whether return periods based on traditional low flow or drought frequency analyses or whether SSI time series index values are used. These experiences call for a systematic comparison, classification and evaluation of different low flow and drought indices and their usages.
Abstract. In 2015 large parts of Europe were affected by a drought. In two companion papers we summarize a collaborative initiative of members of UNESCO’s EURO FRIEND-Water program to perform a timely pan-European assessment of the event. In this second paper, we analyse the event of 2015 relative to the event of 2003 based on streamflow observations. Analyses are based on range of low flow and hydrological drought indices for about 800 records across Europe that were collected in a community effort based on a common protocol. We compare the hydrological footprints of both events with the meteorological footprints presented by Ionita et al. (2016), in order to learn from similarities and differences of both perspectives and to draw conclusions for drought management. Overall, the hydrological drought of 2015 is characterised by a different spatial extent than the drought of 2003. In terms of low flow magnitude, a region around the Czech Republic was most affected with annual low flows that exhibited return intervals of 100 years and more. In terms of deficit volumes, the geographical centre of the event was in the area of Southern Germany where the drought lasted particularly long. A detailed assessment at various spatial and temporal scales showed that the different behaviour in these regions was also a result of diverging wetness preconditions in the catchments. Extreme droughts emerged where antecedent conditions were particularly dry. In regions with wet preconditions, low flow events developed later, and were mostly less severe. The space-time patterns of monthly low flow characteristics show that meteorological and hydrological events spread differently across Europe, and they evolved differently in regard to extent and severity. The results underline that drought is a hazard that leaves different footprints on the various components of the water cycle, on different spatial and temporal scales. The different dynamic development of major hydrometeorological characteristics, temperature and precipitation anomalies versus the streamflow magnitude, duration and deficit volume also determine differences in the impacts of hydrological drought on various water use sectors and on river ecology. For an assessment of drought impacts on water resources, therefore, hydrological data is required in addition to the hydro-meteorological drought indices. Additional efforts with a pan-European dimension need to be undertaken to make timely hydrological assessments more operational in the future.
Several quite severe droughts occurred in Europe in the 21st century; three of them (2003, 2012 and 2015) hit also Slovakia. The Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) and Standardized Precipitation and Evapotranspiration Index (SPEI) were used for assessment of meteorological drought occurrence. The research was established on discharge time series representing twelve river basins in Slovakia within the period 1981–2015. Sequent Peak Algorithm method based on fixed threshold, three parametric Weibull and generalized extreme values distribution GEV, factor and multiple regression analyses were employed to evaluate occurrence and parameters of hydrological drought in 2003, 2011–2012 and 2015, and the relationship among the water balance components. Results showed that drought parameters in evaluated river basins of Slovakia differed in respective years, most of the basins suffered more by 2003 and 2012 drought than by the 2015 one. Water balance components analysis for the entire period 1931–2016 showed that because of continuously increasing air temperature and balance evapotranspiration there is a decrease of runoff in the Slovak territory.
Intermittent rivers are prevalent in many countries across Europe and in Mediterranean countries outside Europe, but little is known about the temporal evolution of intermittency characteristics and their relationships with climate variability. In this study, a trend analysis is performed on the annual and seasonal number of zero-flow days, the maximum duration of dry 1
BackgroundEarly diagnosis of acute compartment syndrome (ACS) of the leg is essential to improve the outcome. Direct invasive measurement is currently recommended to measure intracompartmental pressure. A non-invasive and reproducible means of making the diagnosis would be a step forward. The purpose of this exploratory study was to investigate the feasibility of non-invasive ultrasound-guided angle measurement as a surrogate of increased pressure in a model of ACS.MethodsA model of ACS was generated by infusion of saline into the anterior compartment of the leg of human cadavers to incrementally increase the intracompartmental pressure from 10 to 100 mmHg. In 40 legs (20 cadavers), the angle (TFA, tibia-fascia angle) between the anterolateral cortex of the tibia and the fascia of the anterior compartment was measured at each 10 mmHg pressure increase using ultrasound in a standardized transversal plane. A multilevel linear regression model was used to estimate intracompartmental pressure from delta TFA (ΔTFA).ResultsTFA (mean [± SD]) increased from 61.0° (± 12.0°) at 10 mmHg up to 81.1° (± 11.1°) at 100 mmHg compartment pressure. Each increase ΔTFA by one degree was associated with an increase in pressure by 3.9 mmHg (95% CI, 3.8–4.0, p < 0.001).ConclusionsWe found that intracompartmental pressure of the anterior compartment of the calf can be well estimated by ultrasound-based ΔTFA in this post mortem experiment. Our findings indicate that non-invasive TFA measurement is feasible and it is reasonable that this will hold true in real life, but the findings are too preliminary to be used in clinical practice now.
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