The techniques available for the interrogation and analysis of neuroimaging data have a large influence in determining the flexibility, sensitivity and scope of neuroimaging experiments. The development of such methodologies has allowed investigators to address scientific questions which could not previously be answered and, as such, has become an important research area in its own right.In this paper, we present a review of the research carried out by the Analysis Group at the Oxford Centre for Functional MRI of the Brain (FMRIB). This research has focussed on the development of new methodologies for the analysis of both structural and functional magnetic resonance imaging data . The majority of the research laid out in this paper has been implemented as freely available software tools within FMRIB's Software Library (FSL).

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The Human Connectome Project consortium led by Washington University, University of Minnesota, and Oxford University is undertaking a systematic effort to map macroscopic human brain circuits and their relationship to behavior in a large population of healthy adults. This overview article focuses on progress made during the first half of the 5-year project in refining the methods for data acquisition and analysis. Preliminary analyses based on a finalized set of acquisition and preprocessing protocols demonstrate the exceptionally high quality of the data from each modality. The first quarterly release of imaging and behavioral data via the ConnectomeDB database demonstrates the commitment to making HCP datasets freely accessible. Altogether, the progress to date provides grounds for optimism that the HCP datasets and associated methods and software will become increasingly valuable resources for characterizing human brain connectivity and function, their relationship to behavior, and their heritability and genetic underpinnings.

We present a direct extension of probabilistic diffusion tractography to the case of multiple fibre orientations. Using automatic relevance determination, we are able to perform online selection of the number of fibre orientations supported by the data at each voxel, simplifying the problem of tracking in a multi-orientation field. We then apply the identical probabilistic algorithm to tractography in the multi- and single-fibre cases in a number of example systems which have previously been tracked successfully or unsuccessfully with single-fibre tractography. We show that multi-fibre tractography offers significant advantages in sensitivity when tracking non-dominant fibre populations, but does not dramatically change tractography results for the dominant pathways.

Our decisions are guided by outcomes that are associated with decisions made in the past. However, the amount of influence each past outcome has on our next decision remains unclear. To ensure optimal decision-making, the weight given to decision outcomes should reflect their salience in predicting future outcomes, and this salience should be modulated by the volatility of the reward environment. We show that human subjects assess volatility in an optimal manner and adjust decision-making accordingly. This optimal estimate of volatility is reflected in the fMRI signal in the anterior cingulate cortex (ACC) when each trial outcome is observed. When a new piece of information is witnessed, activity levels reflect its salience for predicting future outcomes. Furthermore, variations in this ACC signal across the population predict variations in subject learning rates. Our results provide a formal account of how we weigh our different experiences in guiding our future actions.

A fully probabilistic framework is presented for estimating local probability density functions on parameters of interest in a model of diffusion. This technique is applied to the estimation of parameters in the diffusion tensor model, and also to a simple partial volume model of diffusion. In both cases the parameters of interest include parameters defining local fiber direction. A technique is then presented for using these density functions to estimate global connectivity (i.e., the probability of the existence of a connection through the data field, between any two distant points), allowing for the quantification of belief in tractography results. This technique is then applied to the estimation of the cortical connectivity of the human thalamus. The resulting connectivity distributions correspond well with predictions from invasive tracer methods in nonhuman primate. Key words: diffusion-weighted MRI; probability density functions Uncertainty and its representation have an important role to play in any situation where the goal is to infer useful information from noisy data. In diffusion-weighted MRI (DW-MRI) scientists attempt to infer information about, for example, diffusion anisotropy or underlying fiber tract direction, by fitting models of the diffusion and measurement processes to DW-MRI data (e.g., Refs. 1,2). In this scheme there is uncertainty caused both by the noise and artifacts present in any MR scan, but also by the incomplete modeling of the diffusion signal. That is, the true diffusion signal is more complicated than we choose to model. This additional complexity in the diffusion signal appears as residuals when we fit a simple model to the data, causing additional uncertainty in the model parameters. All of the uncertainty in these parameters may be represented in the form of probability density functions (pdfs). This article is essentially divided into two parts, dealing separately with uncertainty at the local and global levels. In the first part, we describe a technique for estimating the pdfs on all parameters in any local model of diffusion. We will show results derived from two simple models of the diffusion process within a voxel: The diffusion tensor model which assumes a local 3D Gaussian diffusion profile, and a simple partial volume model of local diffusion, which assumes that a fraction of diffusion is along a single dominant direction, and that the remainder is isotropic. We will then make suggestions for the extension to more complete models of the diffusion process which are able to account for one, or more, distribution of fiber directions within the voxel. In all of these models, the use of Bayesian techniques allows for the application of prior constraints on parameters in the model where such constraints are sensible. For example, in the fitting of the diffusion tensor model, the eigenvalues of the diffusion tensor are constrained to be positive.The distributions on parameters in a diffusion model are of great significance when making inference on the basis of these param...

Evidence concerning anatomical connectivities in the human brain is sparse and based largely on limited post-mortem observations. Diffusion tensor imaging has previously been used to define large white-matter tracts in the living human brain, but this technique has had limited success in tracing pathways into gray matter. Here we identified specific connections between human thalamus and cortex using a novel probabilistic tractography algorithm with diffusion imaging data. Classification of thalamic gray matter based on cortical connectivity patterns revealed distinct subregions whose locations correspond to nuclei described previously in histological studies. The connections that we found between thalamus and cortex were similar to those reported for non-human primates and were reproducible between individuals. Our results provide the first quantitative demonstration of reliable inference of anatomical connectivity between human gray matter structures using diffusion data and the first connectivity-based segmentation of gray matter.

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