The Indo‐Asian Monsoon (IAM) has changed as the topographies of Asia were assembled into their current configuration. Understanding complex interactions between topography and the IAM through time has been hampered, in part, by poorly resolved topography and atmospheric dynamics in climate models. Here, we employ high‐resolution (0.23° × 0.31°) global climate simulations, to more accurately capture these interactions. We find that the Himalayas and Tibet primarily redirect the onshore moisture transport and produce local orographic precipitation. The Iranian Plateau is the primary gatekeeper, insulating the pool of high‐enthalpy air in the Indo‐Gangetic Plain (IGP) from westerly low‐enthalpy advection. But, even when such high‐enthalpy air exists along the IGP, vigorous precipitation in the region (poleward of 25°N) still requires orographic steering and lifting. The large‐scale circulations—largely governed by sea surface temperature gradients—robustly advect water vapor onshore regardless of topography. Thus, neither topography nor localized enthalpy air drives onshore monsoon flow.
Significance The temperature difference between low and high latitudes is one measure of the efficiency of the global climate system in redistributing heat and is used to test the ability of models to represent the climate system through time. Here, we show that the latitudinal temperature gradient has exhibited a consistent inverse relationship with global mean sea-surface temperature for at least the past 95 million years. Our results help reduce conflicts between climate models and empirical estimates of temperature and argue for a fundamental consistency in the dynamics of heat transport and radiative transfer across vastly different background states.
Accurately simulating the Indo‐Asian monsoon (IAM) using atmospheric general circulation models (AGCMs) is challenging but crucial. This study uses reanalysis products European Centre of Medium‐Range Forecast Interim reanalysis, Japanese Reanalysis year 55, and High Asia Reanalysis to highlight an easterly, low‐level barrier jet along the Indo‐Gangetic Plain (referred from here as IG LLJ), which we identify as the primary moisture transport mechanism for the northeastern branch of the IAM. We show that the NCAR family of AGCMs (Community Atmospheric Model (CAM)) does not capture this circulation until 1/2° or greater spatial horizontal resolution is used. The IG LLJ develops due to a persistent low‐pressure system centered over the Ganges basin and is enhanced by the Himalayas. Using diabatic heating rates and the moist Froude number as diagnostics, we find that in CAM, this branch of the IAM displays two different dynamical regimes as a function of resolution. At low resolution, the atmosphere near the Himalayas is statically unstable, diabatic heating is strong, and the moisture flow is southwesterly from the Arabian Sea and moves over the terrain (unblocked). At high resolution, the moist static stability near the Himalayan Mountains is stable, diabatic heating is weak, and the flow primarily enters easterly from the Bay of Bengal and moves parallel to the terrain (blocked). During the summer season, the low‐resolution CAM is locked into the unblocked mode, which has serious implications for interpreting topography‐monsoon interactions. For a broader context, we demonstrate that more than half of the CMIP5 models do not capture the IG LLJ, which further highlights model‐data mismatch across the IAM region.
The isotopic composition of precipitation is used to trace water cycling and climate change, but interpretations of the environmental information recorded in central Andean precipitation isotope ratios are hindered by a lack of multi‐year records, poor spatial distribution of observations, and a predominant focus on Rayleigh distillation. To better understand isotopic variability in central Andean precipitation, we present a three‐year record of semimonthly δ18Op and δ2Hp values from 15 stations in southern Peru and triple oxygen isotope data, expressed as ∆′17Op, from 32 precipitation samples. Consistent with previous work, we find that elevation correlates negatively with δ18Op and that seasonal δ18Op variations are related to upstream rainout and local convection. Spatial δ18Op variations and atmospheric back trajectories show that both eastern‐ and western‐derived air masses bring precipitation to southern Peru. Seasonal d‐excessp cycles record moisture recycling and relative humidity at remote moisture sources, and both d‐excessp and ∆′17Op clearly differentiate evaporated and non‐evaporated samples. These results begin to establish the natural range of unevaporated ∆′17Op values in the central Andes and set the foundation for future paleoclimate and paleoaltimetry studies in the region. This study highlights the hydrologic understanding that comes from a combination of δ18Op, d‐excessp, and ∆′17Op data and helps identify the evaporation, recycling, and rainout processes that drive water cycling in the central Andes.
To paraphrase former Speaker of the House Tip O'Neill, “All climate change is local”—that is, society reacts most immediately to changes in local weather such as regional heat waves and heavy rainstorms. Such phenomena are not well resolved by the current generation of coupled climate models. Here it is shown that dynamical downscaling of climate reanalyses using a high‐resolution regional model can reproduce both the means and extremes of temperature and precipitation as observed in the well‐measured northeastern United States. Given this result, the downscaling is applied to climate projections for the middle and end of the 21st century under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 as well as for the historical time period to help assess regional climate impacts in the northeastern United States. The resulting high‐resolution projections are intended to support regional sustainability studies for the northeastern United States and are made publicly available.
The widening of the South Atlantic Basin led to the reorganization of regional atmospheric and oceanic circulations. However, the response of the Atlantic Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ), and South American and African monsoons across paleoclimate states, especially under constant paleogeographic and climatic changes, has not been well understood. Here we report on paleoclimate simulations of the Cenomanian (∼95 Ma), early Eocene (∼55 Ma), and middle Miocene (∼14 Ma) using the Community Earth System Model version 1.2 to understand how the migration of the South American and African continents to their modern‐day positions, uplift of the Andes and East African Rift Zone, and the decline of atmospheric CO2 changed the Atlantic ITCZ, and the South American and African monsoons and rainforests. Our work demonstrates that the South Atlantic widening developed the Atlantic ITCZ. The South Atlantic widening and Andean orogeny led to a stronger South American monsoon. We find the orogeny of the East African Rift Zone is the primary mechanism that strengthened the East African monsoon, whereas the West African monsoon became weaker through time as West Africa migrated toward the subtropics and CO2 levels fell below 500 ppm. We utilize the Köppen‐Geiger Climate Classification as an indicator for maximum rainforest extent. We find that during the Cenomanian and early Eocene, a Pan‐African rainforest existed, while the Amazon rainforest was restricted toward the northwestern corner of South America. During the middle Miocene, the Pan‐African rainforest was reduced to near its modern‐day size, while the Amazon rainforest expanded eastward.
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