This paper explores the effect of carbon trading on low-carbon transformation of high energy consumption enterprises in China. Based on the mechanism of interaction and restriction among high energy consumption enterprises, carbon verification agencies and the government, a tripartite evolutionary game model is constructed. The three-dimensional dynamic system is built to analyze the behavior patterns of the three parties. The evolution path of the tripartite game is visualized, and the low-carbon transformation states of high energy consumption enterprises in different situations are described. The results show that the high energy consumption enterprises, verification organization and the government cannot reach the optimal game equilibrium (low-carbon transformation, verification and supervision) temporarily when seeking their own interests. The corresponding measures should be taken with different situations of the tripartite game. No matter what strategy the government chooses, the low-carbon transformation could be promoted by carbon trading through carbon verification mechanism.
This paper attempts to explore the dynamic relationship between new energy industry development and energy structure transformation in China. Based on the real option model and stochastic frontier analysis (SFA), the development scale and technical level of the new energy industry are measured at the provincial level. The eastern region is in the lead, but there has been a certain degree of technological efficiency retreat, especially in Liaoning. The new energy industry in the central region has developed rapidly due to the deepening of the industrialization process. With the aid of PVAR model, impulse response function and variance decomposition, the results show that there exists a bidirectional dynamic relationship between the new energy industry and energy structure. In other words, the development of the new energy industry and the energy transition can be mutually predicted. Specifically, technology effect has a positive continuous and dramatic influence on the transformation of energy structure. In turn, the energy transition first elicits a response to size effects, but has a long-term impact on technology effects. This implies that the new energy industry will usher in scale expansion at the early stage of energy transition. It is worth noting that scale expansion will not always accelerate the transition process. At that time, technology played a long-term and central role. Therefore, reasonable expansion of new energy industry scale and efforts to develop new energy technology are important measures to ensure the orderly energy transition.
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