The combination of Shewhart control charts and an exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts to simultaneously monitor shifts in the mean output of a production process has proven very effective in handling both small and large shifts. To improve the sensitivity of the control chart to detect off-target processes, we propose a combined Shewhart-EWMA (CSEWMA) control chart for monitoring mean output using a more structured sampling technique, i.e. ranked set sampling (RSS) instead of the traditional simple random sampling. We evaluated the performance of the proposed charts in terms of different run length (RL) properties including average RL, standard deviation of the RL, and percentile of the RL. Comparisons of these charts with some existing control charts designed for monitoring small, large, or both shifts revealed that the RSS-based CSEWMA charts are more sensitive and offer better protection against all types of shifts than other schemes considered in this study.
The arising air pollution has addressed much attention globally due to its detrimental effects on human health and environment. As an early warning system for air quality control and management, it is important to provide precise information about the future concentrations in pollutants. We present here a time series model in predicting the Air Pollution Index (API) from three different stations; industrial, residential, and sub-urban areas between 2000 and 2009. In this paper, the Box-Jenkins approach of seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA), artificial neural network (ANN), and three models of fuzzy time series (FTS) have been compared by using the mean absolute percentage error, mean absolute error, mean square error, and root mean square error. Although all the methods were used as operational tools, the ANN seemed more accurate in forecasting API. The results showed that FTS (i.e. Chen's, Yu's, and Cheng's) performed inconsistent results since the conventional methods of ARIMA outperformed the performance of FTS. However, consistent results were achieved as the ANNs gave the smallest forecasting error compared to FTS and ARIMA.
A control chart is a graphical tool used for monitoring a production process and quality improvement. One such charting procedure is the Shewhart-type control chart, which is sensitive mainly to the large shifts. For small shifts, the cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charts and exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts were proposed. To further enhance the ability of the EWMA control chart to quickly detect wide range process changes, we have developed an EWMA control chart using the median ranked set sampling (RSS), median double RSS and the double median RSS. The findings show that the proposed median-ranked sampling procedures substantially increase the sensitivities of EWMA control charts. The newly developed control charts dominate most of their existing counterparts, in terms of the run-length properties, the Average Extra Quadratic Loss and the Performance Comparison Index. These include the classical EWMA, fast initial response EWMA, double and triple EWMA, runs-rules EWMA, the max EWMA with mean-squared deviation, the mixed EWMA-CUSUM, the hybrid EWMA and the combined Shewhart-EWMA based on ranks. An application of the proposed schemes on real data sets is also given to illustrate the implementation and procedural details of the proposed methodology.
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