Background
Advancements in the field, including novel procedures and multiple interventions, require an updated approach to accurately assess patient risk. This study aims to modernize patient hemodynamic and procedural risk classification through the creation of risk assessment tools to be used in congenital cardiac catheterization.
Methods and Results
Data were collected for all cases performed at sites participating in the C3PO (Congenital Cardiac Catheterization Project on Outcomes) multicenter registry. Between January 2014 and December 2017, 23 119 cases were recorded in 13 participating institutions, of which 88% of patients were <18 years of age and 25% <1 year of age; a high‐severity adverse event occurred in 1193 (5.2%). Case types were defined by procedure(s) performed and grouped on the basis of association with the outcome, high‐severity adverse event. Thirty‐four unique case types were determined and stratified into 6 risk categories. Six hemodynamic indicator variables were empirically assessed, and a novel hemodynamic vulnerability score was determined by the frequency of high‐severity adverse events. In a multivariable model, case‐type risk category (odds ratios for category: 0=0.46, 1=1.00, 2=1.40, 3=2.68, 4=3.64, and 5=5.25; all
P
≤0.005) and hemodynamic vulnerability score (odds ratio for score: 0=1.00, 1=1.27, 2=1.89, and ≥3=2.03; all
P
≤0.006) remained independent predictors of patient risk.
Conclusions
These case‐type risk categories and the weighted hemodynamic vulnerability score both serve as independent predictors of patient risk for high‐severity adverse events. This contemporary procedure‐type risk metric and weighted hemodynamic vulnerability score will improve our understanding of patient and procedural outcomes.
OBJECTIVES:Currently, there are no prediction tools available to identify patients at risk of needing high-complexity care following cardiac catheterization for congenital heart disease. We sought to develop a method to predict the likelihood a patient will require intensive care level resources following elective cardiac catheterization.
DESIGN:Prospective single-center study capturing important patient and procedural characteristics for predicting discharge to the ICU. Characteristics significant at the 0.10 level in the derivation dataset (July 1, 2017 to December 31, 2019) were considered for inclusion in the final multivariable logistic regression model. The model was validated in the testing dataset (January 1, 2020 to December 31, 2020). The novel pre-procedure cardiac status (PCS) feature, collection started in January 2019, was assessed separately in the final model using the 2019 through 2020 dataset.SETTING: Tertiary pediatric heart center.
ObjectiveAs COVID-19 continues to affect the global population, it is crucial to study the impact of the disease in vulnerable populations. This study of a diverse, international cohort aims to provide timely, experiential data on the course of disease in paediatric patients with congenital heart disease (CHD).MethodsData were collected by capitalising on two pre-existing CHD registries, the International Quality Improvement Collaborative for Congenital Heart Disease:Improving Care in Low- and Middle-Income Countriesand the Congenital Cardiac Catheterization Project on Outcomes. 35 participating sites reported data for all patients under 18 years of age with diagnosed CHD and known COVID-19 illness during 2020 identified at their institution. Patients were classified as low, moderate or high risk for moderate or severe COVID-19 illness based on patient anatomy, physiology and genetic syndrome using current published guidelines. Association of risk factors with hospitalisation and intensive care unit (ICU) level care were assessed.ResultsThe study included 339 COVID-19 cases in paediatric patients with CHD from 35 sites worldwide. Of these cases, 84 patients (25%) required hospitalisation, and 40 (12%) required ICU care. Age <1 year, recent cardiac intervention, anatomical complexity, clinical cardiac status and overall risk were all significantly associated with need for hospitalisation and ICU admission. A multivariable model for ICU admission including clinical cardiac status and recent cardiac intervention produced a c-statistic of 0.86.ConclusionsThese observational data suggest risk factors for hospitalisation related to COVID-19 in paediatric CHD include age, lower functional cardiac status and recent cardiac interventions. There is a need for further data to identify factors relevant to the care of patients with CHD who contract COVID-19 illness.
ObjectivesWhile procedure length is considered an important metric for cardiothoracic surgical procedures, the relationship between procedure length and adverse events (AEs) in congenital cardiac catheterizations has little published data available. Furthermore, most existing congenital cardiac catheterization risk prediction models are built on logistic regression models. This study aimed to characterize the relationship between case length and AE occurrence in congenital cardiac catheterization while adjusting for known risk factors and to investigate the potential role of non-linear analysis in risk modeling.DesignAge, case type, and procedure duration were evaluated for relationships with the primary outcome using logistic regression. Non-linearity of the associations with continuous risk factors was assessed using restricted cubic spline transformations.Setting and participantsAll diagnostic and interventional congenital cardiac catheterization cases performed at Boston Children’s Hospital between January 1, 2014 and October 31, 2019 were analyzed.Main outcome measureThe primary outcome was defined as the occurrence of any clinically significant (level 3/4/5) AE.ResultsA total of 7011 catheterization cases met inclusion criteria, with interventional procedures accounting for 68% of cases. Median case duration was 97 min. A multivariable model including age, procedure type, and case duration showed a significant relationship between case duration and AE occurrence (OR 1.07 per 10 min increase, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.09, p<0.001).ConclusionsThis study demonstrated the importance of procedure duration as a potential frontier for procedure risk management. Better understanding of the role of procedure duration in cardiac catheterizations may provide opportunities for quality improvement in patient safety and resource planning.
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