Phenotypic traits and their associated trade-offs have been shown to have globally consistent effects on individual plant physiological functions 1-3 , but how these effects scale up to influence competition, a key driver of community assembly in terrestrial vegetation, has remained unclear 4 . Here we use growth data from more than 3 million trees in over 140,000 plots across the world to show how three key functional traits-wood density, specific leaf area and maximum height-consistently influence competitive interactions. Fast maximum growth of a species was correlated negatively with its wood density in all biomes, and positively with its specific leaf area in most biomes. Low wood density was also correlated with a low ability to tolerate competition and a low competitive effect on neighbours, while high specific leaf area was correlated with a low competitive effect. Thus, traits generate trade-offs between performance with competition versus performance without competition, a fundamental ingredient in the classical hypothesis that the coexistence of plant species is enabled via differentiation in their successional strategies 5 . Competition within species was stronger than between species, but an increase in trait dissimilarity between species had little influence in weakening competition. No benefit of dissimilarity was detected for specific leaf area or wood density, and only a weak benefit for maximum height. Our traitbased approach to modelling competition makes generalization possible across the forest ecosystems of the world and their highly diverse species composition.Phenotypic traits are considered fundamental drivers of community assembly and thus species diversity 1,6 . The effects of traits on individual plant physiologies and functions are increasingly understood, and have been shown to be underpinned by well-known and globally consistent trade-offs 1-3 . For instance, traits such as wood density and specific leaf area capture trade-offs between the construction cost and longevity or strength of wood and leaf tissues 2,3 . By contrast, we still have a limited understanding of how such trait-based trade-offs translate into competitive interactions between species, particularly for long-lived organisms such as trees. Competition is a key filter through which ecological and evolutionary success is determined 4 . A long-standing hypothesis is that the intensity of competition decreases as two species diverge in trait values 7 (trait dissimilarity). The few studies [8][9][10][11][12][13] that have explored links between traits and competition have shown that linkages were more complex than this, as particular trait values may also confer competitive advantage independently from trait dissimilarity 9,13,14 . This distinction is fundamental for species coexistence and the local mixture of traits. If neighbourhood competition is driven mainly by trait dissimilarity, this will favour a wide spread of trait values at a local scale. By contrast, if neighbourhood interactions are mainly driven by the c...
The knowledge about potential climate change impacts on forests is continuously expanding and some changes in growth, drought induced mortality and species distribution have been observed. However despite a significant body of research, a knowledge and communication gap exists between scientists and non-scientists as to how climate change impact scenarios can be interpreted and what they imply for European forests. It is still challenging to advise forest decision makers on how best to plan for climate change as many uncertainties and unknowns remain and it is difficult to communicate these to practitioners and other decision makers while retaining emphasis on the importance of planning for adaptation. In this paper, recent developments in climate change observations and projections, observed and projected impacts on European forests and the associated uncertainties are reviewed and synthesised with a view to understanding the implications for forest management. Current impact assessments with simulation models contain several simplifications, which explain the discrepancy between results of many simulation studies and the rapidly increasing body of evidence about already observed changes in forest productivity and species distribution. In simulation models uncertainties tend to cascade onto one another; from estimating what future societies will be like and general circulation models (GCMs) at the global level, down to forest models and forest management at the local level. Individual climate change impact studies should not be uncritically used for decision-making without reflection on possible shortcomings in system understanding, model accuracy and other assumptions made. It is important for decision makers in forest management to realise that they have to take long-lasting management decisions while uncertainty about climate change impacts are still large. We discuss how to communicate about uncertainty - which is imperative for decision making - without diluting the overall message. Considering the range of possible trends and uncertainties in adaptive forest management requires expert knowledge and enhanced efforts for providing science-based decision support.
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