A change in the cutoff age in the current AJCC/UICC staging system from 45 years to 55 years would lead to a downstaging of 12% of patients, and would improve the statistical validity of the model. Such a change would be clinically relevant for thousands of patients worldwide by preventing overstaging of patients with low-risk disease while providing a more realistic estimate of prognosis for those who remain high risk.

Background: In most staging systems, 45 years of age is used to differentiate low risk thyroid cancer from high risk thyroid cancer. However, recent studies have questioned both the precise 45 year age point and the concept of using a binary cut off as accurate predictors of disease specific mortality. Methods: A cohort of 3664 thyroid cancer patients that received surgery and adjuvant treatment at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) from the years 1985 to 2010 were analyzed to determine the significance of age at diagnosis as a categorical variable at a variety of age cutoffs (5 year intervals between 30 and 70 years of age). The unadjusted and adjusted hazard ratio for the association between disease-specific survival and age was determined using a Cox proportional hazards model adjusted for other predictive variables sex, histology, and pathological T, N, and M status. Furthermore, predictive nomograms of disease-specific mortality were created and validated on an external dataset of 4551 patients to evaluate the impact of age at diagnosis as both a categorical and continuous variable. Results: In the MSKCC cohort, with a median follow-up time of 54 months (range 1-332), there were 59 deaths from thyroid cancer with a 10 year disease-specific survival of 96%. Adjusted hazard ratios for all age cutoffs from age 30 to age 70 years were significant. There was no specific cutoff age which risk stratifies patients with differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC). Categorizing age into five strata (<40, 40-49, 50-59, 60-69 and >70 years) showed a 37-fold increase in hazard ratio from age <40 years to age >70 years. A predictive nomogram using age as a continuous variable with other predictive variables had a high concordance index of 96%. Validation on the external cohort had a concordance index of 73%. Conclusions: Mortality from DTC increases progressively with advancing age. There is no specific cutoff age which risk stratifies patients with DTC. A predictive nomogram using age as a continuous variable may be a more appropriate tool for stratifying patients with DTC and for predicting outcome.

TSH suppression significantly increases the risk of postoperative osteoporosis without changing tumor recurrence in ATA low- and intermediate-risk patients with DTC. Future interventions should focus on avoiding harm in indolent disease.

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Background The majority of differentiated thyroid cancer tends to present with limited locoregional disease, leading to excellent long-term survival after operative treatment. Even patients with advanced local disease may survive for long periods with appropriate treatment. The aim of this study is to present our institutional experience of the management of locally advanced differentiated thyroid cancer and to analyze factors predictive of outcome. Methods We reviewed our institutional database of 3,664 previously untreated patients with differentiated thyroid cancer operated between 1986 and 2010. A total of 153 patients had tumor extension beyond the thyroid capsule that invaded the subcutaneous soft tissues, recurrent laryngeal nerve, larynx, trachea, or esophagus. Details on extent of operation and adjuvant therapy were recorded. Disease-specific survival and locoregional recurrence-free probability were determined by the Kaplan-Meier method. Factors predictive of outcome were determined by multivariate analysis. Results The median age of the 153 patients with tumor extension beyond the thyroid capsule was 55 years (range 11–91 years). Eighty-nine patients (58.2%) were female. Twenty-three patients (15.0%) were staged as M1 at presentation, and 122 (79.7%) had pathologically involved lymph nodes. The most common site of extrathyroidal extension was the recurrent laryngeal nerve (51.0%) followed by the trachea (46.4%) and esophagus (39.2%). Sixty-three patients (41%) required resection of the recurrent laryngeal nerve due to tumor involvement. After surgery, 20 patients (13.0%) had gross residual disease (R2), 63 (41.2%) had a positive margin of resection (R1), and 70 (45.8%) had complete resection with negative margins (R0). With a median follow-up of 63.9 months, 5-year, disease-specific survival, when stratified by R0/R1/R2 resection, was 94.4%, 87.6%, and 67.9%, respectively (P = .030). The data do not demonstrate a statistical difference in survival between R0 versus R1 (P = .222). The 5-year distant recurrence-free probability for M0 patients was 90.8%, 90.3%, and 70.7% (P = .410). The locoregional recurrence-free probability was 85.8% for R0 patients and 85.5% for R1 patients (P = .593). Conclusion With an appropriate operative strategy, patients with locally advanced thyroid cancer with an R0 or R1 resection have excellent survival outcome.

BACKGROUND Survival rates are commonly used to measure success in treating cancer, but can be misleading. Modern diagnostic practices can lead to the appearance of improving cancer survival, as tumors are diagnosed earlier (lead-time bias) or as an increasing proportion are slow-growing (length bias), whereas the actual burden of cancer deaths is unchanged. Increasingly, more subclinical thyroid cancers are being diagnosed. The objective of the current study was to determine whether thyroid cancer survival rates have been affected by this phenomenon. METHODS The authors analyzed survival data from patients with thyroid cancer who were treated at Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSKCC) from 1950 to 2005, and United States population-based incidence, prevalence, and survival data from 1973 to 2009 in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results data set. RESULTS US thyroid cancer incidence has increased 3-fold from 1975 to 2009. Over time, the proportion of thyroid cancers that are subcentimeter in size has increased from 23% (1983) to 36% (2009). At MSKCC, this percentage rose from 20% (1950) to 35% (2005). The incidence rates of large tumors (>6 cm) and distant metastasis have not changed. In the United States, 10-year relative survival improved from 95.4% to 98.6% (1983-1999). At MSKCC, 10-year disease-specific survival improved from 91.1% to 96.1% (1950-2005). However, when stratified by tumor size and stage, no changes in survival outcomes were observed. US thyroid cancer mortality rates have remained stable (1975-2009). CONCLUSIONS Modern medical practices increasingly uncover small, asymptomatic thyroid cancers. Survival rates appear improved, but this finding is spurious, attributable instead to shifts in the characteristics of disease being diagnosed. Relying on survival rates to measure success in treating thyroid cancer may reinforce inappropriately aggressive management. Treatment decisions in thyroid cancer should be made based on mortality, not survival data.

MODM are associated with a poorer survival compared to patients with SODM. A serum Tg level >30 ng/mL at the time of first distant metastases confers more than a fivefold risk of having MODM identified during follow-up.

Background: In contrast to other head and neck cancers, the impact of histological thyroid specimen margin status in differentiated thyroid cancer (DTC) is not well understood. The aim of this study was to investigate the prognostic value of margin status on local recurrence in DTC. Method: The records of 3664 consecutive patients treated surgically for DTC between 1986 and 2010 were identified from an institutional database. Patients with less than total thyroidectomy, unresectable or gross residual disease, or M1 disease at presentation and those with unknown pathological margin status were excluded from analysis. In total, 2616 patients were included in the study; 2348 patients (90%) had negative margins and 268 patients (10%) had positive margins. Microscopic positive margin status was defined as tumor present at the specimen's edge on pathological analysis. Patient, tumor, and treatment characteristics were compared by Pearson's chi-squared test. Local recurrence free survival (LRFS) was calculated for each group using the Kaplan Meier method. Results: The median age of the cohort was 48 years (range 7-91 years) and the median follow-up was 50 months (range 1-330 months). Age, sex, and histology types were similar between groups. As expected, patients who had positive margins were more likely to have larger tumors ( p < 0.001), extrathyroidal extension (ETE) ( p < 0.001), multicentric disease ( p < 0.001), or nodal disease ( p < 0.001) and were more likely to receive adjuvant radioactive iodine therapy ( p < 0.001) as well as external beam radiotherapy ( p < 0.001). The LRFS at 5 years for patients with positive margins status was slightly poorer compared with patients with negative margins (98.9% vs. 99.5%, p = 0.018). Twelve patients developed local recurrence-8/2348 (0.34%) patients with negative margins and 4/263 (1.52%) patients with positive margins. Univariate predictors of LRFS were sex ( p = 0.006), gross ETE (<0.001), and positive margins ( p = 0.018). However, when controlling for presence of gross ETE on multivariate analysis, microscopic positive margin status was not an independent predictor of LRFS ( p = 0.193). Conclusion: Patients with resectable, M0 disease that undergo total thyroidectomy have an excellent five year LRFS of 99.4%. Microscopic positive margin status was not a significant predictor for local failure after adjusting for ETE or pathological tumor (pT) stage.