Background - Pulmonary vein isolation (PVI) is an effective treatment strategy for patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), but many experience AF recurrence and require repeat ablation procedures. The goal of this study was to develop and evaluate a methodology which combines machine learning (ML) and personalized computational modeling to predict, prior to PVI, which patients are most likely to experience AF recurrence after PVI. Methods - This single-center retrospective proof-of-concept study included 32 patients with documented paroxysmal AF who underwent PVI and had pre-procedural late gadolinium enhanced magnetic resonance imaging (LGE-MRI). For each patient, a personalized computational model of the left atrium simulated AF induction via rapid pacing. Features were derived from pre-PVI LGE-MRI images and from results of simulations (SimAF). The most predictive features were used as input to a quadratic discriminant analysis ML classifier, which was trained, optimized, and evaluated with 10-fold nested cross validation to predict the probability of AF recurrence post-PVI. Results - In our cohort, the ML classifier predicted probability of AF recurrence with an average validation sensitivity and specificity of 82% and 89%, respectively, and a validation AUC of 0.82. Dissecting the relative contributions of SimAF and raw images to the predictive capability of the ML classifier, we found that when only features from SimAF were used to train the ML classifier, its performance remained similar (validation AUC=0.81). However, when only features extracted from raw images were used for training, the validation AUC significantly decreased (0.47). Conclusions - ML and personalized computational modeling can be used together to accurately predict, using only pre-PVI LGE-MRI scans as input, whether a patient is likely to experience AF recurrence following PVI, even when the patient cohort is small.
Machine learning (ML), a branch of artificial intelligence, where machines learn from big data, is at the crest of a technological wave of change sweeping society. Cardiovascular medicine is at the forefront of many ML applications, and there is a significant effort to bring them into mainstream clinical practice. In the field of cardiac electrophysiology, ML applications have also seen a rapid growth and popularity, particularly the use of ML in the automatic interpretation of ECGs, which has been extensively covered in the literature. Much lesser known are the other aspects of ML application in cardiac electrophysiology and arrhythmias, such as those in basic science research on arrhythmia mechanisms, both experimental and computational; in the development of better techniques for mapping of cardiac electrical function; and in translational research related to arrhythmia management. In the current review, we examine comprehensively such ML applications as they match the scope of this journal. The current review is organized in 3 parts. The first provides an overview of general ML principles and methodologies that will afford readers of the necessary information on the subject, serving as the foundation for inviting further ML applications in arrhythmia research. The basic information we provide can serve as a guide on how one might design and conduct an ML study. The second part is a review of arrhythmia and electrophysiology studies in which ML has been utilized, highlighting the broad potential of ML approaches. For each subject, we outline comprehensively the general topics, while reviewing some of the research advances utilizing ML under the subject. Finally, we discuss the main challenges and the perspectives for ML-driven cardiac electrophysiology and arrhythmia research.
Patients with myocardial infarction have an abundance of conduction channels (CC); however, only a small subset of these CCs sustain ventricular tachycardia (VT). Identifying these critical CCs (CCCs) in the clinic so that they can be targeted by ablation remains a significant challenge. The objective of this study is to use a personalized virtual-heart approach to conduct a three-dimensional (3D) assessment of CCCs sustaining VTs of different morphologies in these patients, to investigate their 3D structural features, and to determine the optimal ablation strategy for each VT. To achieve these goals, ventricular models were constructed from contrast enhanced magnetic resonance imagings of six postinfarction patients. Rapid pacing induced VTs in each model. CCCs that sustained different VT morphologies were identified. CCCs' 3D structure and type and the resulting rotational electrical activity were examined. Ablation was performed at the optimal part of each CCC, aiming to terminate each VT with a minimal lesion size. Predicted ablation locations were compared to clinical. Analyzing the simulation results, we found that the observed VTs in each patient model were sustained by a limited number (2.7 5 1.2) of CCCs. Further, we identified three types of CCCs sustaining VTs: I-type and T-type channels, with all channel branches bounded by scar, and functional reentry channels, which were fully or partially bounded by conduction block surfaces. The different types of CCCs accounted for 43.8, 18.8, and 37.4% of all CCCs, respectively. The mean narrowest width of CCCs or a branch of CCC was 9.7 5 3.6 mm. Ablation of the narrowest part of each CCC was sufficient to terminate VT. Our results demonstrate that a personalized virtual-heart approach can determine the possible VT morphologies in each patient and identify the CCCs that sustain reentry. The approach can aid clinicians in identifying accurately the optimal VT ablation targets in postinfarction patients.
Sudden cardiac death from arrhythmia is a major cause of mortality worldwide. In this study, we developed a novel deep learning (DL) approach that blends neural networks and survival analysis to predict patient-specific survival curves from contrast-enhanced cardiac magnetic resonance images and clinical covariates for patients with ischemic heart disease. The DL-predicted survival curves offer accurate predictions at times up to 10 years and allow for estimation of uncertainty in predictions. The performance of this learning architecture was evaluated on multi-center internal validation data and tested on an independent test set, achieving concordance indexes of 0.83 and 0.74 and 10-year integrated Brier scores of 0.12 and 0.14. We demonstrate that our DL approach, with only raw cardiac images as input, outperforms standard survival models constructed using clinical covariates. This technology has the potential to transform clinical decision-making by offering accurate and generalizable predictions of patient-specific survival probabilities of arrhythmic death over time.
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