Background: Clinical features may be used to determine which patients with suspected acute coronary syndrome (ACS), but a normal or non-diagnostic ECG, should be selected for further investigation or inpatient care. We aimed to measure the diagnostic value of clinical features for ACS. Methods: Standardised data relating to presenting characteristics, associated features and risk factors were collected at seven chest pain units established for the ESCAPE trial. All patients received troponin measurement at least 6 h after last significant symptoms, creatine kinase MB(mass) gradient over 2 h and, if appropriate, treadmill exercise testing. The reference standard of ACS was defined as troponin .0.03 ng/ml, creatine kinase MB(mass) gradient .3.0 ng/ml or early positive treadmill exercise test. Results: 1576 patients were analysed, including 132 (8.4%) with ACS. Patients with ACS were older, had longer symptom duration, were more likely to be a man, hypertensive and an ex-smoker or have pain radiating to their right arm. On multivariate analysis, only age, duration, sex and radiation of pain to the right arm were independently associated with ACS. Likelihood ratios (95% CI) were radiation of pain to the right arm, 2.9 (95% CI 1.4 to 6.3), male sex 1.2 (95% CI 1.0 to 1.3) and female sex 0.79 (95% CI 0.62 to 1.0). The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve for age was 0.629 (95% CI 0.573 to 0.686) and for duration was 0.546 (95% CI 0.481 to 0.610). Conclusion: Clinical features have very limited value for diagnosing ACS in patients with a normal or nondiagnostic ECG. Radiation of pain to the right arm increases the likelihood of ACS.Acute chest pain is one of the most common diagnostic challenges in emergency medicine.
From 1963 to 1971, aortic and mitral valves were replaced in 100 patients; 22 died in hospital. Follow-up in survivors is 100%. Catheterization was performed preoperatively in 99 patients and postoperatively in 85% of survivors. The influence of 19 preoperative potential risk factors on hospital mortality, postoperative symptomatic improvement, and long-term survival (assessed by monthly cohort-adjusted survival tables) was determined. Long-term survival was also assessed by comparing average values of the various risk factors in patients surviving 1, 2, and 3 years with values in patients who died during these intervals. In addition, changes induced by operation were studied 6 months postoperatively and their value in predicting subsequent longevity assessed.
Significant (
P
< 0.05) findings were: a higher hospital mortality in patients with left atrial pressures ≥30 mm Hg or with fabric-covered valves; less postoperative symptomatic improvement in older patients; lower long-term survival rate in men and in patients with high left atrial, right atrial, pulmonary arterial, or right ventricular end-diastolic pressures. A decrease in radiographic heart size or a New York Heart Association class I or II status 6 months postoperatively was associated with a favorable subsequent prognosis. Postoperative hemodynamic values did not predict subsequent survival.
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