Background and aims-Controversy surrounds the risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) in ulcerative colitis (UC). Many studies have investigated this risk and reported widely varying rates. Methods-A literature search using Medline with the explosion of references identified 194 studies. Of these, 116 met our inclusion criteria from which the number of patients and cancers detected could be extracted. Overall pooled estimates, with 95% confidence intervals (CI), of cancer prevalence and incidence were obtained using a random eVects model on either the log odds or log incidence scale, as appropriate. Results-The overall prevalence of CRC in any UC patient, based on 116 studies, was estimated to be 3.7% (95% CI 3.2-4.2%). Of the 116 studies, 41 reported colitis duration. From these the overall incidence rate was 3/1000 person years duration (pyd), (95% CI 2/1000 to 4/1000). The overall incidence rate for any child was 6/1000 pyd (95% CI 3/1000 to 13/1000). Of the 41 studies, 19 reported results stratified into 10 year intervals of disease duration. For the first 10 years the incidence rate was 2/1000 pyd (95% CI 1/1000 to 2/1000), for the second decade the incidence rate was estimated to be 7/1000 pyd (95% CI 4/1000 to 12/1000), and in the third decade the incidence rate was 12/1000 pyd (95% CI 7/1000 to 19/1000). These incidence rates corresponded to cumulative probabilities of 2% by 10 years, 8% by 20 years, and 18% by 30 years. The worldwide cancer incidence rates varied geographically, being 5/1000 pyd in the USA, 4/1000 pyd in the UK, and 2/1000 pyd in Scandinavia and other countries. Over time the cancer risk has increased since 1955 but this finding was not significant (p=0.8). Conclusions-Using new meta-analysis techniques we determined the risk of CRC in UC by decade of disease and defined the risk in pancolitics and children. We found a non-significant increase in risk over time and estimated how risk varies with geography. (Gut 2001;48:526-535)

The British Society of Gastroenterology (BSG) and the Association of Coloproctology for Great Britain and Ireland (ACPGBI) commissioned this update of the 2002 guidance. The aim, as before, is to provide guidance on the appropriateness, method and frequency of screening for people at moderate and high risk from colorectal cancer. This guidance provides some new recommendations for those with inflammatory bowel disease and for those at moderate risk resulting from a family history of colorectal cancer. In other areas guidance is relatively unchanged, but the recent literature was reviewed and is included where appropriate.

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CRC risk among UC patients can be reduced by regular therapy with 5-ASA medication. Colonoscopic surveillance may be best targeted on those unable to take 5-ASAs (e.g. due to allergy) and those with a positive family history of CRC.

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Over a third of patients considered IBD medication harmful to unborn children. Fear of infertility and concerns about inheritance may explain high rates of voluntary childlessness. Attitudes contrary to medical evidence were associated with significantly lower knowledge. Young women with IBD, particularly those with poor knowledge, should be offered education and counselling about pregnancy-related issues.

Histological dysplasia is the cornerstone of colorectal cancer surveillance in ulcerative colitis (UC). Recently, pathologists have received unfavourable media attention concerning other cancer screening programmes. The aim of this study was to determine whether colonic biopsy specimens should be examined by gastrointestinal pathologists as opposed to generalists, by examining inter-observer variation between the two groups. Fifty-one coded slides showing varying degrees of dysplasia were mailed to seven gastrointestinal and six general histopathologists. Pathologists allocated each biopsy into one of four categories without the benefit of a clinical history or an opportunity to use the 'indefinite' category that is included in the Riddell classification. The responses were analysed using kappa statistics. The overall kappa statistic for gastrointestinal pathologists was 0.30 [95% confidence interval (CI)=0.26-0.34] and for general pathologists 0.28 (95% CI=0.23-0.32). Agreement was best for high-grade dysplasia (kappa of 0.54 and 0.61 for GI and general pathologists, respectively). There was total concordance of the 13 pathologists in only four of the 51 slides (7.8%) (95% CI=0.4-15.2%). It is concluded from these results that gastrointestinal pathologists are no better than generalists when grading dysplasia in UC and that agreement is poor in both groups. There is therefore no evidence that there would be any benefit in having specialist histopathology centres concentrating specifically on the interpretation of all surveillance colonoscopy biopsies from around the UK. It must be made clear to the public that surveillance and screening programmes carry a significant rate of histological error and that perfection cannot be expected or achieved with present methods.