A new set of climate change scenarios for 2050 for the Netherlands was produced recently. The scenarios span a wide range of possible future climate conditions, and include climate variables that are of interest to a broad user community. The scenario values are constructed by combining output from an ensemble of recent General Climate Model (GCM) simulations, Regional Climate Model (RCM) output, meteorological observations and a touch of expert judgment. For temperature, precipitation, potential evaporation and wind four scenarios are constructed, encompassing ranges of both global mean temperature rise in 2050 and the strength of the response of the dominant atmospheric circulation in the area of interest to global warming. For this particular area, wintertime precipitation is seen to increase between 3.5 and 7% per degree global warming, but mean summertime precipitation shows opposite signs depending on the assumed response of the circulation regime. Annual maximum daily mean wind speed shows small changes compared to the observed (natural) variability of this variable. Sea level rise in the North Sea in 2100 ranges between 35 and 85 cm. Preliminary assessment of the impact of the new scenarios on water management and coastal defence policies indicate that particularly dry summer scenarios and increased intensity of extreme daily precipitation deserves additional attention in the near future.

Scenarios have become a powerful tool in integrated assessment and policy analysis for climate change. Socio-economic and climate scenarios are often combined to assess climate change impacts and vulnerabilities across different sectors and to inform risk management strategies. Such combinations of scenarios can also play an important role in enabling the interaction between experts and other stakeholders, framing issues and providing a means for making explicit and dealing with uncertainties. Drawing on experience with the application of scenarios to climate change assessments in recent Dutch research, the paper argues that scenario approaches need to be matched to the frames of stakeholders who are situated in specific decision contexts. Differentiated approaches (top-down, bottom-up and interactive) are needed to address the different frames and decision-making contexts of stakeholders. A framework is proposed to map scenarios and decision contexts onto two dimensions: the spatial scale of the context and the starting point of approach used in scenario development (top-down, bottom-up or incidentdriven). Future climate and socio-economic scenario development will be shaped by the need to become better aligned with multiple interacting uncertainties salient to stakeholders.

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Four Indonesian and two Latin-American cassava genotypes (Manihot esculenta Crantz), were evaluated for their ability to develop somatic embryos from young leaf lobes. All genotypes formed somatic embryos but they differed in the frequency of embryos induced. The best genotypes, M. Col 22 and Tjurug, produced germinating embryos (GE) on 81% (22.1 GE/initial leaf lobe) and 46% (4.3 GE/initial leaf lobe) of the cultured leaf lobes, respectively. Up to 57% of the germinating embryos of M. Col 22 and 12% of Tjurug produced either normal or malformed shoots. Most malformed shoots developed into shoots with normal morphology after prolonged culture. All shoots formed roots after transfer to medium without BAE Roots of all normal and most malformed regenerants had the original ploidy level (2n = 36). Regardless of whether the plants were multiplied in vitro (t50 plants) or in the greenhouse (30 plants) there were no morphological differences compared to parent plants.

The storage of a clone of Colocasia esculenta at 28/24°C over a 12-h photoperiod in the absence of mannitol, was not feasible with transfer intervals of more than eight months. Mannitol had a positive effect on survival at this temperature, but caused abnormalities at high concentrations. At 9°C in total darkness, C. escutenta could be stored for more than eight years with transfer intervals of approximately three years. After this period, more than 90% of the cultures showed living shoots, but not all shoots per culture showed regrowth. Cultures which were transferred three times during the experimental period, had a significantly (3' = 0.05) lower number of regrowing shoots than cultures which were transferred twice. This might be due to the fact that the former cultures were transferred at a less favourable developmental stage. The addition of mannitol to the storage medium did not improve survival and regrowth, nor did a more gradual lowering of the temperature to 9°C.

Capsule The main goals and activities of the EUSTACE project are discussed along with some key results, including a global, multi-decadal daily air temperature record from satellite and in situ measurements.

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