Background: The incidence of papillary microcarcinoma (PMC) of the thyroid is rapidly increasing globally, making the management of PMC an important clinical issue. Excellent oncological outcomes of active surveillance for low-risk PMC have been reported previously. Here, unfavorable events following active surveillance and surgical treatment for PMC were studied.Methods: From February 2005 to August 2013, 2153 patients were diagnosed with low-risk PMC. Of these, 1179 patients chose active surveillance and 974 patients chose immediate surgery. The oncological outcomes and the incidences of unfavorable events of these groups were analyzed.Results: In the active surveillance group, 94 patients underwent surgery for various reasons; tumor enlargement and the appearance of novel lymph node metastases were the reasons in 27 (2.3%) and six patients (0.5%), respectively. One of the patients with conversion to surgery had nodal recurrence, and five patients in the immediate surgery group had a recurrence in a cervical node or unresected thyroid lobe. All of these recurrences were successfully treated. None of the patients had distant metastases, and none died of the disease. The immediate surgery group had significantly higher incidences of transient vocal cord paralysis (VCP), transient hypoparathyroidism, and permanent hypoparathyroidism than the active-surveillance group did (4.1% vs. 0.6%, p < 0.0001; 16.7% vs. 2.8%, p < 0.0001; and 1.6% vs. 0.08%, p < 0.0001, respectively). Permanent VCP occurred only in two patients (0.2%) in the immediate surgery group. The proportion of patients on L-thyroxine for supplemental or thyrotropin (TSH)-suppressive purposes was significantly larger in the immediate surgery group than in the active surveillance group (66.1% vs. 20.7%, p < 0.0001). The immediate surgery group had significantly higher incidences of postsurgical hematoma and surgical scar in the neck compared with the active surveillance group (0.5% vs. 0%, p < 0.05; and 8.0% vs. 100%, p < 0.0001, respectively).Conclusions: The oncological outcomes of the immediate surgery and active surveillance groups were similarly excellent, but the incidences of unfavorable events were definitely higher in the immediate surgery group. Thus, active surveillance is now recommended as the best choice for patients with low-risk PMC.

Tg-DT (all data or first four data) is a very strong prognostic predictor superior to the classical prognostic factors in patients with PTC.

We established a new classification system, iStage, based not only on preoperative but also on intraoperative findings, which has high utility. Appropriate intraoperative evaluation is mandatory to grade biological characteristics, including prognosis, of papillary carcinoma.

These findings suggest that solitary T1N0M0 patients have an excellent prognosis when they undergo thyroidectomy and elective lymph node dissection without radioiodine therapy. Regarding the extent of thyroidectomy, hemithyroidectomy is adequate for these patients, if a 1% risk of recurrence to the remnant thyroid is accepted.

The estimated lifetime disease progression probabilities of papillary microcarcinoma during active surveillance vary greatly according to the age at presentation.

Background: We report on the growth of papillary microcarcinoma during active surveillance and before clinical presentation. Methods: We conducted a retrospective study of 169 patients with papillary microcarcinoma who were enrolled in active surveillance at our hospital between 20 0 0 and 2004. Patients were followed for a median of 10.1 years using serial ultrasonography (median, 12 examinations), used to calculate the tumor doubling time. To contextualize tumor growth rates during active surveillance, we calculated the hypothetical tumor doubling time before clinical presentation. To resolve the limitations in tumor doubling time, tumor doubling rates were inversely transformed into doubling rates. Results: The doubling rates (per year) during active surveillance (median: 0.0) were > 0.5, 0.1 to 0.5, −0.1 to 0.1, and < −0.1 in 5, 38, 97, and 29 cases, respectively. The proportions of tumors with rather rapid growth, slow growth, stable, and a decrease in size were 3%, 22%, 57%, and 17%, respectively. Conclusion: Tumor growth of papillary microcarcinomas varies from rather rapid growth to a decrease in size during active surveillance.

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