2018
DOI: 10.1016/j.surg.2017.03.028
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Estimation of the lifetime probability of disease progression of papillary microcarcinoma of the thyroid during active surveillance

Abstract: The estimated lifetime disease progression probabilities of papillary microcarcinoma during active surveillance vary greatly according to the age at presentation.

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Cited by 141 publications
(106 citation statements)
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“…Recent data from observation trials of PTMs proved an indolent feature of PTMs after middle age. Most of them stay at the same size, and some even shrink [18]. Data accumulated thus far support the concept that most papillary carcinomas are initiated in childhood, undergo a rapid growth period during adolescence and early adulthood, and become indolent or nonprogressive in middle age.…”
Section: Natural History Of Juvenile Thyroid Cancermentioning
confidence: 77%
“…Recent data from observation trials of PTMs proved an indolent feature of PTMs after middle age. Most of them stay at the same size, and some even shrink [18]. Data accumulated thus far support the concept that most papillary carcinomas are initiated in childhood, undergo a rapid growth period during adolescence and early adulthood, and become indolent or nonprogressive in middle age.…”
Section: Natural History Of Juvenile Thyroid Cancermentioning
confidence: 77%
“…Also, one study showed that only a subset of PTMC enlarges during pregnancy and, if enlarged, surgery after delivery remains safe (21). Although low-risk PTMC in young patients is more likely to progress (9-11), Miyauchi et al estimated that more than 50% of patients who are in their 20s at presentation and *75% of the patients in their 30s will not require surgery in their lifetime (22). Furthermore, older patients have a lower probability of needing surgery (22).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…Although low-risk PTMC in young patients is more likely to progress (9-11), Miyauchi et al estimated that more than 50% of patients who are in their 20s at presentation and *75% of the patients in their 30s will not require surgery in their lifetime (22). Furthermore, older patients have a lower probability of needing surgery (22). Miyauchi et al conducted a kinetic analysis on tumor volume of PTMCs during AS and reported that only 3% of the tumors showed rapid growth, 22% showed slow growth, 57% showed stable disease, and 17% showed a decrease in their tumor volume over time (23).…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%
“…In Japan, the recommended clinical management for SFM/malignant nodules include surgical resection, lobectomy, or total thyroidectomy [21], while reaspiration is not recommended. Meanwhile, follow-up (active surveillance) is optional in low-risk papillary microcarcinoma [22,23]. Low risk means nodules without the following findings: nodal and/or distant metastasis, signs or symptoms of invasion to the recurrent laryngeal nerve or trachea, high-grade malignancy on cytology, and size enlargement or novel appearance of nodal metastasis during observation [23].…”
Section: Discussionmentioning
confidence: 99%