The result of the accuracy by using cross-correlation matrix between the LULC model in 2015 with the LULC reference in 2015 is 75.88 %. The dynamics of LULC changes showed that area-class forest, dry land, paddy fields and shrubbery would be expected to experience an area decreases in the extent from the year 2015 to 2050, with the rate of change in average: 10.52, 13.22, 14.49 and 1.15 ha/year, respectively. Meanwhile, the area-class bare soil, plantation, settlement and water body would be expected to experience an area increases, with the rate of change in average: 6.79, 11.14, 11.49 and 9.7 ha/year, respectively. Furthermore, flood damage assessment can be calculated by estimating LULC area affected by the flood, which is determined based on the overlay between LULC maps from the result of Markov-CA with flood maps from the result of Monte Carlo algorithm. Under current conditions, estimated flood damage exposure to extreme flood events with return periods of 100 years for the water level scenario Hc = 3 m and Hc = 5 m is more than €520 and €958 million, respectively.

In Indonesia, flooding is one of the natural hazards that often occurs during the rainy season. Surface runoff coefficient values are an essential indicator of the supply of regional water resources. The smaller the surface runoff value, the greater the water storage in the ground, and the smaller surface was running water. This study analyses the spatial and temporal distribution of the estimated surface runoff caused by land use/land cover changes in the upstream Citarum watershed. The study area is located in the upstream Citarum watershed, West Java, Indonesia. The site has a long history of flooding and various complex environmental problems. The geographic Information System method was used as a tool in analyzing the spatially and temporally. The research result shows that there has been a change in land cover in several periods of the year in the Citarum upstream watershed. The occurrence of the LULC phenomenon positively affects the surface runoff coefficient. The increasing area of Built land and plantation in the Citarum upstream watershed will further increase the surface runoff coefficient and, in the end, will potentially increase the surface runoff and contribute to flooding in the Bandung basin. This study results can be used to provide input in determining the direction and policies for watershed management, taking into account the varying characteristics of each subwatershed.

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Himawari-8 is the last generation of the low spatial resolution satellite imagery that has capability to detect the thermal variation on the earth of every 10 minute. This must be very potential to be used for detecting land/forest fire. This paper has explored the spectral prospective of the Himawari-8 for detecting land/forest fire hotspot. The main objective for this study is to identify the potential use of Himawari-8 for detecting of land forest fire hotspot. The study area was performed in Ogan Komering Ilir, South of Sumatra, which on 2015 occur great forest/land fire event. The main process included in this study are image projection, training sample collection and spectral statistical analysis measured by calculate statistic, they are average values, standard deviation values from reflectance visible band value and brightness temperature value, beside that validation of data obtained from medium resolution data of Landsat 8 with the similar acquisition time. The study found that the Himawari-8 has good capacity to identify land/forest fire hotspot as expressed for high accuracy assessment using band 3 and band 7.

Forest and land fires in Indonesia take place almost every year, particularly in the dry season and in Sumatra and Kalimantan. Such fires damage the ecosystem, and lower the quality of life of the community, especially in health, social and economic terms. To establish the location of forest and land fires, it is necessary to identify and analyse burnt areas. Information on these is necessary to determine the environmental damage caused, the impact on the environment, the carbon emissions produced, and the rehabilitation process needed. Identification methods of burnt land was made both visually and digitally by utilising satellite remote sensing data technology. Such data were chosen because they can identify objects quickly and precisely. Landsat 8 image data have many advantages: they can be easily obtained, the archives are long and they are visible to thermal wavelengths. By using a combination of visible, infrared and thermal channels through the semi-automatic object-based image analysis (OBIA) approach, the study aims to identify burnt areas in the geographical area of Indonesia. The research concludes that the semi-automatic OBIA approach based on the red, infrared and thermal spectral bands is a reliable and fast method for identifying burnt areas in regions of Sumatra and Kalimantan.

This paper describes the detection of the surface water area in Cirata dam,  upstream Citarum, using a water index derived from Sentinel-2. MSI Level 1C (MSIL1C) data from 16 November 2018 were extracted into a water index such as the NDWI (Normalized Difference Water Index) model of Gao (1996), McFeeters (1996), Roger and Kearney (2004), and Xu (2006). Water index were analyzed based on the presence of several objects (water, vegetation, soil, and built-up). The research resulted in the ability of each water index to separate water and non-water objects. The results conclude that the NDWI of McFeeters (1996) derived from Sentinel-2 MSI showed the best results in detecting the surface water area of the reservoir.

This study proposes a new model for flood inundation modeling using the Raster-based Probability Flood Inundation Model (RProFIM) approach. The flood modeling was carried out based on the landuse/landcover (LULC) change scenario and the difference in return periods in the study area. The aims of this study were: a) to estimate the volume of discharge in the LULC change scenario between 1990 and 2050 and the difference in return periods between 2 and 100 years; b) to create and produce flood inundation maps using the RProFIM approach; and c) to analyse flood damage assessment based on the results provided by overlaying LULC data with flood inundation maps. In general, the flood probability modeling generated by RProFIM provided the same pattern and conditions it was shown by reference data. The results found several potential areas in Citarum watershed, West Java-Indonesia which are likely to be flooded based on the RProFIM approach in the Districts of Margaasih, Kutawaringin, Margahayu, Katapang, Dayeuhkolot, and Baleendah. Flood damage assessment by the flood scenario with a return period of 2–100 years and changes in LULC in the range of 1990–2050, shows that the largest estimated loss based on market value is on built-up land and agriculture. This research is expected to be used as one of the considerations in managing environmental problems in overcoming flooding in the study area.