This paper compares the performance of three geostatistical algorithms, which integrate elevation as an auxiliary variable: kriging with external drift (KED
Rainfall data are an essential input for many simulation models. In fact, these latter have a decisive role in the development and application of rational water policies. Since the accuracy of the simulation depends strongly on the available data, the task of optimizing the monitoring network is of great importance. In this paper, an application is presented aiming at the evaluation of a precipitation monitoring network by predicting monthly, seasonal, and interannual average rainfall. The method given here is based on the theory of the regionalized variables using the well-known geostatistical variance reduction method. The procedure, which involves different analysis methods of the available data, such as estimation of the interpolation uncertainty and data cross validation, is applied to a case study data set in Tunisia in order to demonstrate the potential for improvement of the observation network quality. Root mean square error values are the criteria for evaluating rainfall estimation, and network performance is discussed based on kriging variance reduction. Based on this study, it was concluded that some sites should be dropped to eliminate redundancy and some others need to be added to the existing network, essentially in the center and the south, to have a more informative network.
A new high‐resolution (5 km) gridded daily precipitation dataset for Tunisia between 1979 and 2015 is introduced. This product combines 960 rain gauges with the SAFRAN analysis to produce the precipitation gridded data. A validation approach on two different datasets reveals that the SAFRAN analysis outperforms other standard interpolation methods such as Inverse Distance, Nearest Neighbors, Ordinary Kriging or Residual Kriging with altitude. When compared to EOBS, a widely used gridded dataset over Europe, a strong negative bias in EOBS precipitation is found. However due to the aridity and the low density of rain gauges in south Tunisia, results in this region must be analyzed with care. The SAFRAN product could be useful for various purposes such as climate model evaluation, climate studies, hydrological modelling to support the planning and management of surface water resources in Tunisia.
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