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Both scoring systems were found to underestimate the degree of fracture instability and to have a negative predictive value between 47 and 50% in a prospective series of patients. In fractures predicted to have a low probability of instability in both models, we found a poor correlation between predicted instability and actual instability. Our results demonstrate the limitations of two scoring systems in predicting fracture stability and in making clinical decisions on the basis of their results.

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