Background Recently, two centers have independently developed a risk score for predicting postoperative nausea and vomiting (PONV). This study investigated (1) whether risk scores are valid across centers and (2) whether risk scores based on logistic regression coefficients can be simplified without loss of discriminating power. Methods Adult patients from two centers (Oulu, Finland: n = 520, and Wuerzburg, Germany: n = 2202) received inhalational anesthesia (without antiemetic prophylaxis) for various types of surgery. PONV was defined as nausea or vomiting within 24 h of surgery. Risk scores to estimate the probability of PONV were obtained by fitting logistic regression models. Simplified risk scores were constructed based on the number of risk factors that were found significant in the logistic regression analyses. Original and simplified scores were cross-validated. A combined data set was created to estimate a potential center effect and to construct a final risk score. The discriminating power of each score was assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic curves. Results Risk scores derived from one center were able to predict PONV from the other center (area under the curve = 0.65-0.75). Simplification did not essentially weaken the discriminating power (area under the curve = 0.63-0.73). No center effect could be detected in a combined data set (odds ratio = 1.06, 95% confidence interval = 0.71-1.59). The final score consisted of four predictors: female gender, history of motion sickness (MS) or PONV, nonsmoking, and the use of postoperative opioids. If none, one, two, three, or four of these risk factors were present, the incidences of PONV were 10%, 21%, 39%, 61% and 79%. Conclusions The risk scores derived from one center proved valid in the other and could be simplified without significant loss of discriminating power. Therefore, it appears that this risk score has broad applicability in predicting PONV in adult patients undergoing inhalational anesthesia for various types of surgery. For patients with at least two out of these four identified predictors a prophylactic antiemetic strategy should be considered.
The numbers of new cancer cases in 16 common sites occurring in 1980 have been estimated for 24 areas of the world for which the United Nations produces population estimates. For the world as a whole, the total number of new cases was 6.35 million, almost exactly evenly divided between the developed and developing countries. In males, the most important sites were lung, stomach, colon/rectum, mouth/pharynx, prostate and oesophagus, and in females breast, cervix, colon/rectum, stomach, corpus uteri and lung. When the two sexes are combined, stomach cancer emerges as the most common cancer in 1980 (669,400 new cases per year), but this estimate is only slightly greater than that of lung cancer (660,500 new cases), and comparisons with earlier estimates for 1975 suggest that, with declining incidence rates for stomach cancer and the continuing rise for lung cancer, the latter would become the most common cancer in the world by the end of 1981. The implications for cancer control in the developed and developing countries of the world are discussed.
SummaryA prospective interview-based survey on the incidence of postoperative nausea and vomiting in 1107 in-patients aged 4-86 years was conducted during a 3-month period. Nausea, emetic episodes and the need for anti-emetic medication were recorded for 24 h postoperatively. In the recovery room, the incidence of nausea and vomiting was 18% and 5%, respectively. Over the whole 24-h period, these figures were 52% and 25%, respectively; severe nausea was experienced by 8%. The highest incidence of emetic sequelae was observed in gynaecological patients; 52% of the 822 patients who received general anaesthesia and 38% of the 285 patients who received regional anaesthesia reported nausea. The most important predictive factors associated with an increased risk for nausea and vomiting were female gender, a previous history of postoperative sickness, a longer duration of surgery, nonsmoking and a history of motion sickness. Based on these five items, a simple score predicting the risk of nausea and vomiting was constructed with a moderately good discriminating power. Nausea and emetic episodes still persist as the most common complaints following anaesthesia and surgery. Many adults find postoperative nausea and vomiting even more distressing than postoperative pain. The overall incidence of postoperative nausea and vomiting in the recovery room is around 10% [1] but ranges from 20% to 30% during the first 24 h after surgery according to recent reports [1][2][3][4]. Despite the advances in modern anaesthetic practice and surgical techniques, there is still room for improvement in identifying the causative factors as well as in the prophylaxis and treatment of this problem.The objective of this epidemiological survey of postoperative complications was to get representative numerical estimates of the present incidence of postoperative nausea and vomiting for different types of common surgical procedures in a tertiary care setting. The aim was also to analyse the predictive factors associated with these symptoms and to construct a risk score based on patient-related factors, as well as on some key anaesthetic and surgical factors. Methods
This study was designed to estimate the relative cancer risk of patients with moderate to severe psoriasis, with reference to different treatments. A cohort of 5687 hospitalized patients with psoriasis obtained from the Finnish Hospital Discharge Register in 1973-84 was linked with the records of the Finnish Cancer Registry. Standardized incidence ratios for cancer were calculated by dividing the observed number of cases by the expected cases, which were based on the national sex-specific and age-specific cancer incidence rates. By the end of 1995, 533 cancer cases were observed in the cohort. The overall cancer incidence was increased (standardized incidence ratio 1.3, 95% confidence interval 1.2-1.4). The estimated relative risks were highest for Hodgkin's disease (standardized incidence ratio 3.3, 95% confidence interval 1.4-6.4), squamous cell skin carcinoma (standardized incidence ratio 3.2, 95% confidence interval 2.3-4.4), non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (standardized incidence ratio 2.2, 95% confidence interval 1.4-3.4), and laryngeal cancer (standardized incidence ratio 2.9, 95% confidence interval 1.5-5.0). The role of prior oral antipsoriatic medications or phototherapy on the development of these cancers was assessed in a nested case-control study, for which 67 cases and 199 sex and age matched controls were selected from the psoriasis cohort. The relative risks were estimated using conditional logistic regression analysis. Oral 8-methoxy-psoralen plus ultraviolet-A radiation therapy and the use of retinoids were associated with an increased risk of squamous cell skin carcinoma (relative risk adjusted for the other treatment variables 6.5, 95% confidence interval 1.4-31, and 7.4, 95% confidence interval 1.4-40, respectively), whereas none of the treatments could be linked with the occurrence of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma.
In all studies the suicide rates among doctors were higher than those in the general population and among other academic occupational groups.
Despite early diagnosis and treatment, almost 20% of patients with early-stage (cT1-cT2N0) oral tongue squamous cell carcinoma (OTSCC) still die of their disease. The prognosis of OTSCC patients is influenced by several demographic, clinical, and histopathologic factors. The aim of this multicenter international study was to find which of the factors age, gender, stage, grade, lymphocytic host response, perineural invasion, worst pattern of invasion, or depth of invasion has the strongest prognostic power in early-stage OTSCC. Patient data of 479 patients with early-stage (cT1-2N0) OTSCC in Finland, Brazil, and the USA were retrieved and analyzed using Cox proportional hazards regression models. Our results indicate that depth of invasion (DOI) and worst pattern of invasion (WPOI) are the strongest pathological predictors for locoregional recurrence, with a hazard ratio (HR) for 4 mm DOI of 1.67 (95% confidence interval (CI) 1.07-2.60) and HR for WPOI of 1.46 (95% CI 0.95-2.25). In addition, mortality from early OTSCC was also predicted by DOI (HR 2.44, 95% CI 1.34-4.47) and by WPOI (HR 2.34, 95% CI 1.26-4.32). We suggest that clinically early-stage oral tongue carcinomas 4 mm or deeper, or with a growth pattern of small cell islands or satellites, should be considered as high-risk tumors which require multimodality treatment.
Background:Identifying informative prognostic biomarkers for oral tongue squamous cell carcinoma (OTSCC) is of great importance in order to better predict tumour behaviour and to guide treatment planning. Here, we summarise existing evidence regarding immunohistochemical prognostic biomarkers for OTSCC.Methods:A systematic search of the literature was performed using the databases of Scopus, Ovid Medline, Web of Science and Cochrane Library. All studies which had investigated the prognostic significance of immunohistochemical biomarkers in OTSCC during the period from 1985 to 2015 were retrieved. For the five most often evaluated biomarkers a random-effects meta-analysis on overall survival was performed, including those studies that provided the necessary statistical results.Results:A total of 174 studies conducted during the last three decades were found, and in these 184 biomarkers were evaluated for the prognostication of OTSCC. The five biomarkers most frequently assessed were p53, Ki-67, p16, VEGFs and cyclin D1. In the meta-analyses, the most promising results of the prognostic power for OTSCC were obtained for cyclin D1. For studies of VEGF A and C the results were equivocal, but the pooled analysis of VEGF A separately showed it to be a useful prognosticator for OTSCC. There was no sufficient evidence to support p53, Ki-67 and p16 as prognostic biomarkers for OTSCC. Limitations in the quality of the published studies (e.g., small cohorts, lack of compliance with REMARK guidelines) are widespread.Conclusions:Numerous biomarkers have been presented as useful prognosticators for OTSCC, but the quality of the conduct and reporting of original studies is overall unsatisfactory which does not allow reliable conclusions. The value of two biomarkers (VEGF-A and cyclin D1) should be validated in a multicentre study setting following REMARK guidelines.
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