Highlights
The observed dynamics of Covid-19 pandemic in various countries shows that the daily growth rate of new infection cases has tendency to decrease linearly when the quarantine is imposed in a country until it reaches constant value corresponding to the effectiveness of quarantine measures.
Approach to forecast Covid-19 evolution and estimate the effectiveness of quarantine measures is developed on the basis of the daily growth rate of new infection cases.
Various countries are compared in context of the developed approach.
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