Evaluating the potential impact of COVID-19 passports in Lithuania

Compartmental modeling for pandemic data analysis: The gap between statistics and models

“…The obtained conclusion contrasts that of [12] , in which the authors conclude that the COVID-19 passport did curb the spread of COVID-19 during the delta wave in Lithuania. This difference can essentially be attributed to the different accounts of the natural course of the pandemic in the models used.…”

“…We explicitly acknowledge weaknesses of modeling based on COVID-19 deaths, as there are no standard foolproof criteria for their attribution, and very few autopsies were performed on people presumably dead from COVID-19. Nevertheless, these data are more reliable than COVID-19 cases used in other publications [12] , [37] , [38] , [39] because cases depend on the volume and strategy of testing as well as test used.…”

“…The motivation for examining such a seemingly unproblematic topic stems from the discussion raised in editorial letters on the impact of the COVID-19 passport on the spread of the virus in Lithuania [12] , [13] , [14] . In the letter that initiated the discussion, this impact was assessed using the principles and methods of descriptive statistics as well as some common sense assumptions.…”

Commentary on the impact of the COVID-19 passports in Lithuania

“…We bring to your attention the Letter to the Editor “Evaluating the potential impact of COVID-19 passports in Lithuania” from Stankunas M. et al [1] .…”

Authors’ reply to a commentary on the potential impact of COVID-19 passports to epidemiological situation

“…We read the commentary by Jankunas et al 1 that had raised some criticism to our previously published article in the journal 2 and we would like to take this opportunity to respond. The aim and scope of our study was to evaluate potential impact of COVID-19 passports to the epidemiological situation in Lithuania.…”